Deutsche Post AG

OTCPK:DPST.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$61.6b

Deutsche Post Valuation

Is DPST.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DPST.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DPST.F ($54.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($91.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DPST.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DPST.F?

Key metric: As DPST.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DPST.F. This is calculated by dividing DPST.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DPST.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.8x
Earnings€3.54b
Market Cap€52.25b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DPST.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DPST.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22x
FDX FedEx
16.1x9.07%US$69.6b
UPS United Parcel Service
15.5x7.61%US$85.4b
CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide
32.5x9.55%US$19.5b
EXPD Expeditors International of Washington
24x0.80%US$20.3b
DPST.F Deutsche Post
14.8x5.77%US$52.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DPST.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the peer average (22x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DPST.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Logistics Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DPST.F 14.8xIndustry Avg. 16.0xNo. of Companies34PE01224364860+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DPST.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the Global Logistics industry average (16x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DPST.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DPST.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.8x
Fair PE Ratio17.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DPST.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DPST.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$54.15
US$52.50
-3.05%
12.69%US$70.25US$39.81n/a17
Dec ’26US$52.19
US$51.27
-1.76%
13.49%US$69.65US$39.47n/a17
Nov ’26US$45.32
US$49.39
+9.00%
13.90%US$69.40US$39.32n/a17
Oct ’26US$44.80
US$50.11
+11.86%
13.90%US$70.41US$39.90n/a17
Sep ’26US$45.14
US$50.99
+12.95%
13.29%US$70.18US$39.77n/a17
Aug ’26US$44.62
US$50.56
+13.31%
13.43%US$69.32US$39.28n/a17
Jul ’26US$45.38
US$51.48
+13.45%
13.31%US$70.74US$38.91n/a18
Jun ’26US$44.61
US$49.10
+10.07%
12.92%US$68.21US$37.51n/a18
May ’26US$43.86
US$48.58
+10.76%
13.24%US$67.74US$37.26n/a18
Apr ’26US$43.71
US$48.53
+11.02%
12.69%US$64.78US$35.63n/a18
Mar ’26US$39.18
US$42.95
+9.64%
10.39%US$52.12US$34.40n/a17
Feb ’26US$36.07
US$42.71
+18.42%
10.39%US$51.83US$34.21n/a17
Jan ’26US$35.25
US$43.64
+23.80%
10.11%US$52.17US$37.56n/a17
Dec ’25US$36.34
US$44.88
+23.51%
10.59%US$52.91US$38.10US$52.1917
Nov ’25US$40.07
US$47.03
+17.36%
10.42%US$54.38US$39.16US$45.3217
Oct ’25US$44.75
US$48.87
+9.20%
11.06%US$56.95US$40.20US$44.8016
Sep ’25US$43.42
US$48.50
+11.70%
9.97%US$56.37US$39.79US$45.1415
Aug ’25US$41.53
US$48.43
+16.62%
7.34%US$55.03US$43.16US$44.6215
Jul ’25US$41.63
US$48.41
+16.28%
7.81%US$55.84US$42.95US$45.3815
Jun ’25US$40.76
US$48.74
+19.57%
7.81%US$56.22US$43.24US$44.6115
May ’25US$41.63
US$49.43
+18.73%
9.19%US$58.71US$42.70US$43.8614
Apr ’25US$43.33
US$49.23
+13.61%
10.76%US$59.08US$40.17US$43.7114
Mar ’25US$46.23
US$52.69
+13.98%
11.09%US$63.77US$44.31US$39.1815
Feb ’25US$48.02
US$52.17
+8.64%
11.02%US$63.75US$44.30US$36.0715
Jan ’25US$50.09
US$52.71
+5.23%
11.46%US$67.69US$44.76US$35.2515
Dec ’24US$48.00
US$50.44
+5.09%
12.74%US$67.25US$37.75US$36.3415
US$52.12
Fair Value
3.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/12/26 06:18
End of Day Share Price 2025/12/22 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Deutsche Post AG is covered by 39 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Arancha PiñeiroBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Susanna InvernizziBarclays
Marco LimiteBarclays