Stock Analysis

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About ZIM Integrated Shipping Services' (NYSE:ZIM) Returns On Capital

NYSE:ZIM
Source: Shutterstock

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (NYSE:ZIM), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on ZIM Integrated Shipping Services is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.052 = US$367m ÷ (US$9.7b - US$2.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

Therefore, ZIM Integrated Shipping Services has an ROCE of 5.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Shipping industry average of 9.2%.

See our latest analysis for ZIM Integrated Shipping Services

roce
NYSE:ZIM Return on Capital Employed September 15th 2024

In the above chart we have measured ZIM Integrated Shipping Services' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for ZIM Integrated Shipping Services .

So How Is ZIM Integrated Shipping Services' ROCE Trending?

In terms of ZIM Integrated Shipping Services' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 8.5%, but since then they've fallen to 5.2%. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.

On a side note, ZIM Integrated Shipping Services has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 28% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

The Bottom Line On ZIM Integrated Shipping Services' ROCE

We're a bit apprehensive about ZIM Integrated Shipping Services because despite more capital being deployed in the business, returns on that capital and sales have both fallen. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 23% over the last three years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

On a separate note, we've found 2 warning signs for ZIM Integrated Shipping Services you'll probably want to know about.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if ZIM Integrated Shipping Services might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.