Safe Bulkers Valuation

Is SB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SB ($4.73) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($3.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SB is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.4x
PEG Ratio0.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.1x
EGLE Eagle Bulk Shipping
30.5x43.8%US$693.2m
PANL Pangaea Logistics Solutions
11.8x31.4%US$313.0m
DSX Diana Shipping
7.4x33.7%US$329.3m
GSL Global Ship Lease
2.5x-25.8%US$740.7m
SB Safe Bulkers
7.6x25.4%US$525.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the peer average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Shipping Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the US Shipping industry average (7.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.6x
Fair PE Ratio14.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$4.73
US$4.79
+1.2%
25.8%US$6.00US$2.85n/a4
Apr ’25US$4.91
US$4.79
-2.5%
25.8%US$6.00US$2.85n/a4
Mar ’25US$4.71
US$4.79
+1.6%
25.8%US$6.00US$2.85n/a4
Feb ’25US$3.97
US$4.06
+2.3%
18.7%US$4.80US$2.85n/a4
Jan ’25US$3.93
US$4.06
+3.4%
18.7%US$4.80US$2.85n/a4
Dec ’24US$3.98
US$3.89
-2.3%
17.8%US$4.80US$2.85n/a4
Nov ’24US$3.14
US$3.82
+21.5%
19.0%US$4.60US$2.85n/a3
Oct ’24US$3.24
US$3.82
+17.8%
19.0%US$4.60US$2.85n/a3
Sep ’24US$3.20
US$4.42
+38.0%
33.5%US$6.40US$2.85n/a3
Aug ’24US$3.26
US$4.42
+35.5%
33.5%US$6.40US$2.85n/a3
Jul ’24US$3.26
US$4.48
+37.5%
35.0%US$6.60US$2.85n/a3
Jun ’24US$3.23
US$4.48
+38.8%
35.0%US$6.60US$2.85n/a3
May ’24US$3.67
US$4.15
+13.1%
41.8%US$6.60US$2.85n/a3
Apr ’24US$3.69
US$4.15
+12.5%
41.8%US$6.60US$2.85US$4.913
Mar ’24US$3.81
US$4.15
+8.9%
41.8%US$6.60US$2.85US$4.713
Feb ’24US$3.36
US$4.15
+23.5%
41.8%US$6.60US$2.85US$3.973
Jan ’24US$2.91
US$4.86
+67.1%
40.0%US$7.00US$2.85US$3.934
Dec ’23US$2.76
US$5.11
+85.2%
34.1%US$7.00US$2.85US$3.984
Nov ’23US$2.62
US$5.20
+98.5%
28.5%US$7.00US$3.50US$3.144
Oct ’23US$2.47
US$5.25
+112.6%
29.0%US$7.00US$3.50US$3.244
Sep ’23US$3.19
US$5.50
+72.4%
24.9%US$7.00US$3.50US$3.204
Aug ’23US$3.87
US$5.63
+45.3%
21.2%US$7.00US$4.00US$3.264
Jul ’23US$3.65
US$6.37
+74.4%
27.2%US$8.10US$4.00US$3.263
Jun ’23US$4.85
US$6.12
+26.2%
23.8%US$8.10US$4.00US$3.235
May ’23US$4.11
US$5.62
+36.7%
24.4%US$7.00US$3.50US$3.675
Apr ’23US$4.77
US$5.62
+17.8%
24.4%US$7.00US$3.50US$3.695

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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