Stock Analysis

How Does Corporación América Airports's (NYSE:CAAP) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

NYSE:CAAP
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Corporación América Airports (NYSE:CAAP) shares are down a considerable 44% in the last month. Given the 74% drop over the last year, some shareholders might be worried that they have become bagholders. For those wondering, a bagholder is someone who keeps holding a losing stock indefinitely, without taking the time to consider its prospects carefully, going forward.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

Check out our latest analysis for Corporación América Airports

How Does Corporación América Airports's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 33.00 that there is some investor optimism about Corporación América Airports. You can see in the image below that the average P/E (6.4) for companies in the infrastructure industry is a lot lower than Corporación América Airports's P/E.

NYSE:CAAP Price Estimation Relative to Market April 8th 2020
NYSE:CAAP Price Estimation Relative to Market April 8th 2020

Its relatively high P/E ratio indicates that Corporación América Airports shareholders think it will perform better than other companies in its industry classification. Shareholders are clearly optimistic, but the future is always uncertain. So investors should always consider the P/E ratio alongside other factors, such as whether company directors have been buying shares.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

When earnings fall, the 'E' decreases, over time. That means unless the share price falls, the P/E will increase in a few years. So while a stock may look cheap based on past earnings, it could be expensive based on future earnings.

Notably, Corporación América Airports grew EPS by a whopping 34% in the last year. In contrast, EPS has decreased by 41%, annually, over 3 years.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. That means it doesn't take debt or cash into account. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

How Does Corporación América Airports's Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

Net debt totals a substantial 293% of Corporación América Airports's market cap. If you want to compare its P/E ratio to other companies, you must keep in mind that these debt levels would usually warrant a relatively low P/E.

The Verdict On Corporación América Airports's P/E Ratio

Corporación América Airports trades on a P/E ratio of 33.0, which is above its market average of 13.0. While its debt levels are rather high, at least its EPS is growing quickly. So despite the debt it is, perhaps, not unreasonable to see a high P/E ratio. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become significantly less optimistic about Corporación América Airports over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 58.5 back then to 33.0 today. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for a contrarian, it may signal opportunity.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this free report on the analyst consensus forecasts could help you make a master move on this stock.

You might be able to find a better buy than Corporación América Airports. If you want a selection of possible winners, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20 (but have proven they can grow earnings).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.