Stock Analysis

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:HTZ) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 27%

NasdaqGS:HTZ
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Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:HTZ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 69% share price drop in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Hertz Global Holdings may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Transportation industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.3x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Hertz Global Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:HTZ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

How Has Hertz Global Holdings Performed Recently?

Recent revenue growth for Hertz Global Holdings has been in line with the industry. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this modest revenue performance may begin to slide. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hertz Global Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Hertz Global Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hertz Global Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.4% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 65% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.7% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 8.3% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Hertz Global Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Hertz Global Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Despite Hertz Global Holdings' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As expected, our analysis of Hertz Global Holdings' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Hertz Global Holdings (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hertz Global Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.