Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPD)?

NYSE:EXPD
Source: Shutterstock

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPD) received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NASDAQGS over the last few months, increasing to US$127 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$113. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Expeditors International of Washington's current trading price of US$115 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Expeditors International of Washington’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Expeditors International of Washington

What's The Opportunity In Expeditors International of Washington?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 2.2% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Expeditors International of Washington today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $117.32, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Expeditors International of Washington’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Expeditors International of Washington look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:EXPD Earnings and Revenue Growth October 3rd 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with a negative profit growth of -19% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Expeditors International of Washington. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Currently, EXPD appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on EXPD for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on EXPD should the price fluctuate below its true value.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Expeditors International of Washington, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

If you are no longer interested in Expeditors International of Washington, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Expeditors International of Washington might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.