Stock Analysis

Here's Why Eagle Bulk Shipping (NASDAQ:EGLE) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NYSE:EGLE
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (NASDAQ:EGLE) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Eagle Bulk Shipping

What Is Eagle Bulk Shipping's Debt?

As you can see below, Eagle Bulk Shipping had US$380.2m of debt at March 2022, down from US$486.7m a year prior. On the flip side, it has US$83.6m in cash leading to net debt of about US$296.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:EGLE Debt to Equity History May 8th 2022

How Strong Is Eagle Bulk Shipping's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Eagle Bulk Shipping had liabilities of US$135.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$333.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$83.6m and US$40.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$344.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Eagle Bulk Shipping is worth US$927.1m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Eagle Bulk Shipping's net debt is only 0.84 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 10.8 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, Eagle Bulk Shipping grew its EBIT by 1,498% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Eagle Bulk Shipping's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Eagle Bulk Shipping burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Eagle Bulk Shipping's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to grow its EBIT is pretty flash. Considering this range of data points, we think Eagle Bulk Shipping is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 6 warning signs for Eagle Bulk Shipping (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.