Stock Analysis

Is ArcBest (NASDAQ:ARCB) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqGS:ARCB
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that ArcBest Corporation (NASDAQ:ARCB) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for ArcBest

What Is ArcBest's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, ArcBest had US$264.6m of debt, up from US$226.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has US$326.0m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$61.4m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:ARCB Debt to Equity History February 6th 2023

How Healthy Is ArcBest's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that ArcBest had liabilities of US$768.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$574.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$326.0m and US$592.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$424.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since ArcBest has a market capitalization of US$2.10b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, ArcBest boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

On top of that, ArcBest grew its EBIT by 42% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ArcBest can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. ArcBest may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, ArcBest recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 93% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing Up

While ArcBest does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$61.4m. The cherry on top was that in converted 93% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$305m. So is ArcBest's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for ArcBest you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.