SoftBank Valuation

Is SFBQ.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SFBQ.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SFBQ.F ($1.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($2.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SFBQ.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SFBQ.F?

Key metric: As SFBQ.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SFBQ.F. This is calculated by dividing SFBQ.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SFBQ.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.8x
EarningsJP¥508.04b
Market CapJP¥9.04t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SFBQ.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SFBQ.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.2x
TMUS T-Mobile US
27.5x11.0%US$284.2b
TIGO Millicom International Cellular
27.8x27.9%US$4.4b
VEON VEON
7.4xn/aUS$2.3b
GOGO Gogo
18.1x19.3%US$1.0b
SFBQ.F SoftBank
17.8x6.0%US$9.0t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SFBQ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the peer average (20.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SFBQ.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Wireless Telecom Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SFBQ.F 17.8xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies9PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SFBQ.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the Global Wireless Telecom industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SFBQ.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SFBQ.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.8x
Fair PE Ratio27.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SFBQ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SFBQ.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.25
US$1.38
+10.0%
13.7%US$1.79US$0.99n/a13
Nov ’25US$1.36
US$1.35
-0.9%
14.9%US$1.77US$0.99n/a13
Oct ’25US$1.20
US$1.42
+18.2%
14.6%US$1.88US$1.04n/a14
Sep ’25US$1.55
US$1.39
-10.2%
15.0%US$1.88US$1.04n/a16
Aug ’25US$1.34
US$1.24
-7.5%
14.7%US$1.68US$0.93n/a16
Jul ’25US$1.25
US$1.23
-1.7%
16.2%US$1.69US$0.94n/a16
Jun ’25US$1.24
US$1.22
-2.2%
14.7%US$1.59US$0.95n/a16
May ’25US$1.22
US$1.27
+4.7%
15.7%US$1.69US$1.01n/a16
Apr ’25US$1.31
US$1.27
-3.0%
15.7%US$1.69US$1.01n/a16
Mar ’25US$1.30
US$1.27
-2.7%
15.4%US$1.66US$1.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$1.30
US$1.24
-4.8%
14.8%US$1.71US$1.03n/a17
Jan ’25US$1.22
US$1.26
+3.3%
14.4%US$1.76US$1.05n/a17
Dec ’24US$1.21
US$1.17
-2.6%
12.5%US$1.55US$1.01n/a19
Nov ’24US$1.12
US$1.13
+0.5%
12.2%US$1.48US$0.98US$1.3620
Oct ’24US$1.14
US$1.12
-1.8%
12.5%US$1.48US$0.97US$1.2020
Sep ’24US$1.12
US$1.13
+1.1%
12.8%US$1.51US$1.00US$1.5520
Aug ’24US$1.13
US$1.16
+2.4%
11.9%US$1.57US$1.04US$1.3420
Jul ’24US$1.07
US$1.17
+9.0%
12.2%US$1.58US$1.04US$1.2519
Jun ’24US$1.08
US$1.16
+7.6%
12.5%US$1.57US$1.03US$1.2418
May ’24US$1.14
US$1.19
+4.5%
11.4%US$1.64US$1.04US$1.2218
Apr ’24US$1.15
US$1.17
+1.8%
8.8%US$1.45US$1.03US$1.3119
Mar ’24US$1.14
US$1.17
+2.9%
8.7%US$1.45US$1.03US$1.3020
Feb ’24US$1.14
US$1.25
+9.3%
10.5%US$1.64US$1.09US$1.3020
Jan ’24US$1.10
US$1.20
+9.7%
11.5%US$1.59US$0.94US$1.2220
Dec ’23US$1.08
US$1.15
+6.6%
11.5%US$1.51US$0.89US$1.2119
Nov ’23US$0.99
US$1.10
+11.4%
10.6%US$1.38US$0.86US$1.1219

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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