Cogeco Communications Inc.

OTCPK:CGEA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.0b

Cogeco Communications Valuation

Is CGEA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CGEA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CGEA.F ($47.61) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($308.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CGEA.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CGEA.F?

Key metric: As CGEA.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CGEA.F. This is calculated by dividing CGEA.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CGEA.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.4x
EarningsCA$335.53m
Market CapCA$2.81b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CGEA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CGEA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.2x
IDT IDT
20.2xn/aUS$1.3b
LICT LICT
20.2xn/aUS$248.1m
IRDM Iridium Communications
29.4x11.0%US$3.4b
VZ Verizon Communications
19.1x15.6%US$186.8b
CGEA.F Cogeco Communications
8.4x-0.04%US$2.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CGEA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the peer average (22.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CGEA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Telecom Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CGEA.F 8.4xIndustry Avg. 15.9xNo. of Companies32PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CGEA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the Global Telecom industry average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CGEA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CGEA.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CGEA.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CGEA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$47.61
US$57.00
+19.7%
5.5%US$64.02US$52.51n/a10
Nov ’25US$50.00
US$55.21
+10.4%
6.9%US$60.90US$46.57n/a10
Oct ’25US$51.94
US$53.22
+2.5%
10.8%US$62.70US$44.26n/a10
Sep ’25n/a
US$51.37
0%
11.1%US$62.33US$44.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$46.20
US$50.45
+9.2%
10.2%US$62.10US$43.84n/a10
Jul ’25US$40.00
US$49.56
+23.9%
10.3%US$58.44US$43.83n/a10
Jun ’25US$38.84
US$49.95
+28.6%
13.2%US$65.29US$43.53n/a10
May ’25n/a
US$49.95
0%
13.2%US$65.29US$43.53n/a10
Apr ’25US$42.95
US$53.25
+24.0%
13.6%US$69.36US$46.99n/a10
Mar ’25US$44.02
US$53.25
+21.0%
13.6%US$69.36US$46.99n/a10
Feb ’25US$46.17
US$53.25
+15.3%
13.6%US$69.36US$46.99n/a10
Jan ’25US$44.80
US$53.30
+19.0%
13.7%US$69.52US$47.09n/a10
Dec ’24US$39.75
US$50.51
+27.1%
14.3%US$64.46US$37.05n/a10
Nov ’24n/a
US$53.54
0%
13.3%US$69.60US$43.50US$50.0010
Oct ’24n/a
US$57.70
0%
13.3%US$71.02US$44.39US$51.9410
Sep ’24US$48.25
US$59.81
+24.0%
15.4%US$79.60US$45.49n/a10
Aug ’24n/a
US$59.81
0%
15.4%US$79.60US$45.49US$46.2010
Jul ’24US$50.47
US$58.92
+16.7%
16.1%US$78.21US$44.69US$40.0010
Jun ’24n/a
US$59.86
0%
15.7%US$78.41US$44.81US$38.8411
May ’24n/a
US$59.86
0%
15.7%US$78.41US$44.81n/a11
Apr ’24US$47.27
US$63.60
+34.5%
12.0%US$79.52US$53.50US$42.9510
Mar ’24US$52.00
US$64.36
+23.8%
13.1%US$82.00US$52.18US$44.0211
Feb ’24US$51.64
US$64.36
+24.6%
13.1%US$82.00US$52.18US$46.1711
Jan ’24n/a
US$68.59
0%
14.4%US$86.02US$53.86US$44.8011
Dec ’23US$54.95
US$68.59
+24.8%
14.4%US$86.02US$53.86US$39.7511
Nov ’23US$49.52
US$67.57
+36.4%
15.1%US$84.42US$52.85n/a10

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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