uCloudlink Group Inc.

NasdaqGM:UCL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$48.7m

uCloudlink Group Valuation

Is UCL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UCL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UCL ($1.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($1.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UCL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UCL?

Key metric: As UCL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UCL. This is calculated by dividing UCL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UCL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.1x
EarningsUS$4.32m
Market CapUS$48.74m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UCL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UCL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.1x
KTEL KonaTel
2.1xn/aUS$8.9m
SPOK Spok Holdings
22x7.4%US$323.3m
GOGO Gogo
17.3x19.3%US$993.7m
VEON VEON
7.1xn/aUS$2.2b
UCL uCloudlink Group
11.1xn/aUS$48.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UCL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the peer average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UCL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Wireless Telecom Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UCL 11.1xIndustry Avg. 16.9xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UCL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the Global Wireless Telecom industry average (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UCL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UCL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UCL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UCL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.28
US$9.50
+642.2%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$1.14
US$9.50
+731.7%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$1.35
US$9.50
+603.7%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$1.35
US$9.50
+603.7%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$1.59
US$9.50
+497.5%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$1.76
US$9.50
+439.8%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$1.87
US$9.50
+408.0%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
May ’25US$1.52
US$9.50
+525.0%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$1.50
US$9.50
+533.3%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$1.48
US$9.50
+541.9%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$1.35
US$9.50
+603.7%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$1.75
US$9.50
+442.9%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$2.40
US$9.50
+295.8%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00n/a2
Nov ’24US$1.20
US$9.50
+691.7%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00US$1.142
Oct ’24US$2.12
US$9.50
+348.1%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00US$1.352
Sep ’24US$2.29
US$9.50
+314.8%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00US$1.352
Aug ’24US$3.08
US$9.50
+208.4%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00US$1.592
Jul ’24US$2.54
US$9.50
+274.0%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00US$1.762
Jun ’24US$3.64
US$9.50
+161.1%
5.3%US$10.00US$9.00US$1.872
Jan ’24US$3.34
US$7.94
+137.7%
25.9%US$10.00US$5.88US$1.752
Dec ’23US$3.79
US$7.94
+109.5%
25.9%US$10.00US$5.88US$2.402
Nov ’23US$0.78
US$6.44
+721.1%
8.7%US$7.00US$5.88US$1.202

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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