Millicom International Cellular Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 4/6
Millicom International Cellular has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 42.3%, while the Wireless Telecom industry saw earnings growing at 24.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 7.5% per year. Millicom International Cellular's return on equity is 37.6%, and it has net margins of 22.6%.
Key information
42.34%
Earnings growth rate
29.08%
EPS growth rate
| Wireless Telecom Industry Growth | 23.12% |
| Revenue growth rate | 7.55% |
| Return on equity | 37.62% |
| Net Margin | 22.62% |
| Next Earnings Update | 12 May 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 27
TIGO: Colombia Integration And Leverage Balance Will Shape Forward Risk Reward Profile
Analysts have lifted Millicom International Cellular's consensus price target to $89, citing updated models that factor in Colombia, slightly adjusted revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and refined P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has leaned more positive on Millicom International Cellular, with several bullish analysts revisiting their models and aligning around a higher US$89 price target.Seeking Alpha • Apr 20
Millicom's Next Growth Is Built On Colombian Simplicity And Chilean Optionality
Summary I rate Millicom International Cellular a Buy, transitioning from cleanup to robust cash generation and disciplined strategic expansion. TIGO posted a record 2025 revenue of $5.8 billion, net profit of $1.3 billion, and EFCF of $916 million, guiding for at least $900 million EFCF in 2026. Strategic acquisitions in Colombia and Chile are structured to limit balance sheet risk, supporting regional consolidation and scalable growth. The company trades at a 45% PEG discount to the sector median, with the market underappreciating its improved fundamentals and compounding potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 13
TIGO: Colombia Integration And Leverage Concerns Will Shape Future Risk Reward Profile
Analysts have raised their consolidated price target on Millicom International Cellular by $8.20 to $89, citing updated models that now incorporate Colombia, along with mixed views on leverage but generally more constructive long term assumptions regarding revenue, profit margins and the future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Millicom International Cellular show a cluster of optimistic views around valuation, execution and growth potential, even as some analysts remain cautious on leverage.Narrative Update • Mar 30
TIGO: Chile Bid Interest And Leverage Profile May Shape Upside Potential
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Millicom International Cellular to $89 from $75. This change reflects updated models that incorporate higher revenue growth assumptions, a revised future P/E of 15.39x, and recent price target increases from several research firms.
Narrative Update • Mar 16
TIGO: Telefonica Chile Bid And Rich P E Multiple Will Constrain Returns
Millicom International Cellular's updated analyst price target moves slightly to $46.65 from $46.80, as analysts factor in higher modeled revenue growth, a lower profit margin outlook, a higher P/E multiple, and a modestly higher discount rate amid mixed recent rating changes. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Millicom International Cellular reflects a split view, with some firms outlining upside scenarios at higher price targets and others flagging balance sheet and execution risks.Narrative Update • Mar 01
TIGO: Leverage Concerns And Chile Bid Interest May Guide Future Balance
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Millicom International Cellular up from $70.00 to $75.00, reflecting updated assumptions around profit margins and future P/E multiples, despite mixed recent rating changes on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has sent mixed signals, with some downgrades focused on what has been described as sub optimal leverage and a more cautious stance on the shares.Narrative Update • Feb 15
TIGO: Leverage Concerns And Chile Bid May Shape Balanced Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target on Millicom International Cellular to $70.00 from $62.60, reflecting updated views on growth, leverage and future P/E assumptions following recent mixed research that includes a downgrade on balance sheet concerns and an earlier upgrade supported by expectations for further share upside. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Millicom International Cellular shows a split tape, but there are some clear positives that bullish analysts keep coming back to, especially around valuation, execution and potential growth optionality.Narrative Update • Feb 01
TIGO: Telefonica Chile Bid And Rich P E Assumptions Will Pressure Returns
Narrative update on Millicom International Cellular Analysts have lifted their Millicom International Cellular price target to US$63 from US$55, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and P/E assumptions that underpin a steady fair value estimate of US$46.80. Analyst Commentary The recent move in the Millicom International Cellular price target to US$63 from US$55, with a fair value estimate cited at US$46.80, highlights how divided opinion is around the shares.Narrative Update • Jan 18
TIGO: Elevated Expectations Around Telefonica Chile Bid Will Likely Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Millicom International Cellular to US$46.80 from US$36.00, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and a lower forward P/E in light of recent positive research and higher Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Millicom International Cellular has leaned supportive, with some high profile firms maintaining constructive views on the shares and on the company´s positioning in Latin America.Narrative Update • Jan 04
TIGO: Future Margin Expansion May Support Balanced Upside Despite Recent Rally
Analysts have raised their price target on Millicom International Cellular from $55 to about $63 per share, citing expectations of stronger revenue growth and higher profit margins. They also see potential for continued share upside despite the recent rally.
Narrative Update • Dec 16
TIGO: Future Will Weigh Latin America Upside Against Execution And Macro Risks
Analysts have lifted their price target on Millicom International Cellular to $63 from $55, citing continued share upside potential even after the stock's recent rally and reaffirming the company as a top pick in Latin America. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates highlight a constructive stance on Millicom International Cellular, with the higher price target framed around improving fundamentals and continued re-rating potential despite recent share gains.Narrative Update • Dec 02
TIGO: Future Will Balance Colombia Developments Against Peer Comparisons And Market Optimism
Millicom International Cellular's analyst fair value estimate has increased by $1.00 to $52.35. Analysts point to recent price target hikes and improved long-term profit margin expectations as reasons supporting a higher valuation.Narrative Update • Nov 18
TIGO: Medium-Term Outlook Will Weigh Colombia Market Developments Against Softer Regional Trends
Analysts have raised their fair value price target for Millicom International Cellular from $49.14 to $51.35. This reflects improved growth prospects, a higher profit margin outlook, and ongoing optimism following recent upward Street research revisions.Narrative Update • Nov 03
TIGO: Heavy Acquisition Costs And Colombia Deal Will Shape Future Performance
Millicom International Cellular’s analyst price target has risen notably, with recent updates reflecting an increase from $39.50 to $49.00. Analysts point to the company’s valuation now aligning with regional peers despite tempered growth expectations.Narrative Update • Oct 20
Low-Cost Competition And High Capex Will Weaken Latin American Networks
Millicom International Cellular’s analyst price target has increased notably from $46.51 to $49.14, as analysts cite valuation improvements relative to Latin American peers. This comes despite a softer growth outlook and ongoing interest concerns.Narrative Update • Oct 05
Low-Cost Competition And High Capex Will Weaken Latin American Networks
Millicom International Cellular's analyst price target has risen slightly from approximately $45.57 to $46.51. Analysts cite improved valuation alignment with peers but note that a softer growth outlook and lingering acquisition-related debt temper expectations for future performance.Narrative Update • Sep 19
Low-Cost Competition And High Capex Will Weaken Latin American Networks
Analysts have modestly raised Millicom International Cellular's price target to $45.57 as its valuation premium versus peers has diminished and growth remains subdued, with potential deal upside already reflected and high interest costs highlighting the need for successful execution of its turnaround strategy. Analyst Commentary Valuation for Millicom has caught up with regional peers, eroding its previous discount advantage.Narrative Update • Sep 04
Low-Cost Competition And High Capex Will Weaken Latin American Networks
Analysts remain cautiously optimistic about Millicom International Cellular’s turnaround strategy and growth potential following major acquisitions, but highlight elevated interest burden and execution risks, resulting in an unchanged consensus price target of $44.06. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising price targets reflecting expectations of an impressive turnaround strategy from Millicom.Seeking Alpha • Jan 27
Millicom International Cellular: Continued Potential For Outperformance Exists In 2025
Summary Millicom International Cellular has performed close to the S&P500 trend, with a 5% RoR, which I consider within the margin of error. I believe in diversifying investments in emerging markets, particularly in Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and LATAM/South America. Millicom, now focused on LATAM, benefits from divestments and operational changes, aligning with my strategy of increasing exposure to these regions. The next 100 years will see rising importance in South America, Latin America, and Africa, making this a "good" long-term investment strategy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 25
Millicom: Excellent Outperformance On A Too Small Position
Summary Millicom operates in politically volatile Latin American markets, leading to high volatility but significant growth potential, particularly in Guatemala, Panama, and Honduras. Despite geopolitical and debt risks, Millicom's 2Q24 results are strong, with EBITDA up 20%, leverage down, and positive free cash flow. Key transactions, including acquisitions in Colombia and a merger in Costa Rica, aim to enhance growth and market position, though they increase risk. I rate Millicom a speculative "BUY" with a $29/share PT, acknowledging its high risk/reward ratio and significant growth potential in the telco sector. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Sep 02
Efficiency, Expansion, And Decisive Shifts Set To Propel Profitability And Market Leadership
Strengthened market leadership and efficient operations suggest increased profitability and revenue growth in mobile and B2B segments.Seeking Alpha • Jul 24
Millicom International Cellular Q2 Earnings Preview (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Millicom's Q2 earnings preview includes EPS of $0.54 and revenue of $1.48 billion, with limited revisions. DCF analysis suggests a price target of $21.80, a 12% downside from current price, leading to a rating downgrade from buy to sell. Market has recognized Millicom's value, but the share price may be overvalued; potential upside from acquisition or further cash flow improvement, but downside risks remain. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 19
Millicom International Cellular Setting Up For A Great 2024
Summary The company has revised its 2022-2024 equity free cash flow guidance from $500 million to $600 million, indicating a positive outlook. Despite an expected dip in 2023 revenue and profit, the underlying business is improving, with cost restructuring efforts exceeding expectations and one-time items skewing profitability figures. Considering the current trends and updated free cash flow guidance, a DCF analysis yields a price target of $20.50, representing a 14% upside from current pricing. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Millicom International Cellular makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 5,819 | 1,316 | 1,738 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 5,594 | 1,099 | 1,601 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 5,605 | 955 | 1,693 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 5,691 | 357 | 1,750 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 5,804 | 256 | 1,800 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 5,851 | 158 | 1,870 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 5,844 | 103 | 1,894 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 5,779 | 3 | 1,935 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 5,661 | -86 | 1,956 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 5,567 | 34 | 1,977 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 5,530 | 4 | 1,929 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 5,585 | 39 | 1,891 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 5,624 | 64 | 1,890 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 5,498 | 666 | 1,876 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 5,117 | 724 | 1,763 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 4,670 | 618 | 1,660 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 4,261 | 618 | 1,546 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 4,094 | -94 | 1,503 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 4,114 | -160 | 1,506 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 4,082 | -182 | 1,472 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 3,805 | -284 | 1,383 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 4,233 | -54 | 1,500 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 4,304 | -139 | 1,537 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 4,389 | -43 | 1,607 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 4,336 | 92 | 1,588 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 4,166 | -226 | 1,585 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 4,059 | -31 | 1,565 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 4,005 | -10 | 1,548 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 3,946 | 23 | 1,616 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 4,022 | 151 | 1,573 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 4,054 | 95 | 1,590 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 4,055 | 60 | 1,600 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 3,936 | 27 | 1,531 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 4,071 | -118 | 1,634 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 4,079 | -114 | 1,638 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 4,075 | -43 | 1,633 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 4,043 | -12 | 1,627 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 4,690 | -304 | 1,878 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 5,260 | -289 | 2,087 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 5,929 | -411 | 2,344 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 6,572 | -476 | 2,590 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 6,796 | -39 | 2,647 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 6,870 | 95 | 2,669 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: TIGO has a large one-off gain of $769.0M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st December, 2025.
Growing Profit Margin: TIGO's current net profit margins (22.6%) are higher than last year (4.4%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: TIGO has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 42.3% per year.
Accelerating Growth: TIGO's earnings growth over the past year (414.1%) exceeds its 5-year average (42.3% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: TIGO earnings growth over the past year (414.1%) exceeded the Wireless Telecom industry -8.8%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: Whilst TIGO's Return on Equity (37.62%) is high, this metric is skewed due to their high level of debt.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 04:21 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Millicom International Cellular S.A. is covered by 22 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Barry Zeitoune | Berenberg |
| Justine Dimovic | BNP Paribas |
| Mathieu Robilliard | BNP Paribas |