AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Stock Overview
Designs and develops the constellation of BlueBird satellites in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
ASTS Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 711 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$73.32 |
| 52 Week High | US$133.86 |
| 52 Week Low | US$36.08 |
| Beta | 2.68 |
| 1 Month Change | -16.03% |
| 3 Month Change | -22.74% |
| 1 Year Change | 60.86% |
| 3 Year Change | 1,629.25% |
| 5 Year Change | 565.94% |
| Change since IPO | 650.46% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jul 10
ASTS: Japan JV And FCC Approval Will Drive Direct-To-Phone Coverage Potential
Analysts now see fair value for AST SpaceMobile at $108, up from $95, reflecting updated assumptions on launch timing, direct to device positioning relative to Starlink, and the recent mix of price target revisions and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AST SpaceMobile highlights a wide spread of views, with some analysts focusing on execution risks and others pointing to upside potential tied to direct to device momentum and new partnership structures.Seeking Alpha • Jul 09
AST SpaceMobile: The CapEx Requirement Will Lead To Further Dilution
Summary AST SpaceMobile receives a "Sell" rating due to unsustainable unit economics and excessive capital requirements. ASTS’s business model relies on satellite-enabled global broadband, but revenue is capped by satellite capacity and high CapEx needs. Despite ambitious growth targets—90 satellites for global coverage and $1 billion in revenue by 2027—valuation remains rich at 20.7x FWD EV/EBITDA. Shareholder dilution is accelerating at 29.7% annually, with further dilution likely as ASTS funds its capital-intensive expansion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jun 26
ASTS: Launch Delays And Higher Capital Costs Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for AST SpaceMobile to about $41.47 from $43.00 as updated assumptions factor in higher discount rates, more conservative growth and margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple in light of recent launch delays and mixed recalibrations in Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AST SpaceMobile highlights a wide range of opinions, but the tilt in the latest batch of updates has been more cautious.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jul 10
ASTS: Japan JV And FCC Approval Will Drive Direct-To-Phone Coverage Potential
Analysts now see fair value for AST SpaceMobile at $108, up from $95, reflecting updated assumptions on launch timing, direct to device positioning relative to Starlink, and the recent mix of price target revisions and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AST SpaceMobile highlights a wide spread of views, with some analysts focusing on execution risks and others pointing to upside potential tied to direct to device momentum and new partnership structures.Seeking Alpha • Jul 09
AST SpaceMobile: The CapEx Requirement Will Lead To Further Dilution
Summary AST SpaceMobile receives a "Sell" rating due to unsustainable unit economics and excessive capital requirements. ASTS’s business model relies on satellite-enabled global broadband, but revenue is capped by satellite capacity and high CapEx needs. Despite ambitious growth targets—90 satellites for global coverage and $1 billion in revenue by 2027—valuation remains rich at 20.7x FWD EV/EBITDA. Shareholder dilution is accelerating at 29.7% annually, with further dilution likely as ASTS funds its capital-intensive expansion. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jun 26
ASTS: Launch Delays And Higher Capital Costs Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for AST SpaceMobile to about $41.47 from $43.00 as updated assumptions factor in higher discount rates, more conservative growth and margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple in light of recent launch delays and mixed recalibrations in Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AST SpaceMobile highlights a wide range of opinions, but the tilt in the latest batch of updates has been more cautious.Analysis Article • Jun 18
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Stock Could Be 53% Undervalued After BlueBird Satellite Deployment
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) has entered a new phase after successfully launching and deploying its BlueBird 8, 9, and 10 satellites, a milestone that shifts the story toward operational execution and real-world network performance. See our latest analysis for AST SpaceMobile. Despite the successful BlueBird 8, 9, and 10 launch giving AST SpaceMobile fresh technical momentum, the stock has been volatile, with the share price down 5.58% over one day and 17.32% over seven days, yet backed by a very...
New Narrative • May 29
AST SpaceMobile will achieve 80% revenue growth powered by their innovative future plans
For the custom valuation, I’m treating ASTS as a long-term scaling case, not something you can value off current earnings. The company is still in the early monetization phase, so current margins and PE don’t really tell you much about what the business could look like once the network is mature.
New Narrative • May 29
AST SpaceMobile: The Boldest Direct-to-Cell Bet in Public Markets
Rating: Speculative Buy / Execution-driven moonshot Style: Pre-scale space and telecom infrastructure growth Core debate: Is AST SpaceMobile building the first truly valuable space-based cellular broadband network for ordinary smartphones, or is the stock already pricing in a near-perfect rollout of a technically ambitious and capital-intensive business? Executive view AST SpaceMobile is one of the most ambitious infrastructure stories in the market.
New Narrative • Apr 17
ASTS: Technological Triumph Meets Financial Gravity; BlueBird 7 Launch marks the Peak, not the Pivot
Setup ASTS builds a low-Earth-orbit constellation that connects to unmodified mobile handsets using licensed carrier spectrum. BlueBird 7, the company's largest satellite to date, launched on Blue Origin's New Glenn-3 on 16 April 2026 , two days after Amazon's $11.6B acquisition of Globalstar turned a specialist niche into a hyperscaler land-grab.New Narrative • Feb 20
ASTS is a high upside/high execution risk stock.
A high-risk/high-reward potential, ASTS needs to meet all of the 2026 launch cadence/commercial activation milestones in order for me to consider the full bull-case. The Story AST Space Mobile is developing a space-based cellular broadband network which will allow phones to communicate via a network of satellites, and connect to a user's carrier.Analysis Article • Jan 22
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTS) Analysts Are More Bearish Than They Used To Be
The analysts covering AST SpaceMobile, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTS ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by...Seeking Alpha • Apr 09
AST SpaceMobile: Avoid For Now
Summary AST SpaceMobile remains highly speculative with major revenue ramp uncertainties and aggressive competition, particularly from Starlink. The company needs to launch 60 satellites by 2026, requiring significant capital expenditure and substantial cash burn. The recent SDA contract offers a short-term revenue boost, but long-term commercialization remains challenging. Investors should be cautious due to high hurdles and potential need for additional funding, making the stock less attractive at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 06
AST SpaceMobile: High Hopes, But I'll Pass
Summary I can see the long-term potential of AST SpaceMobile, but its cash burn is simply too high for my Inflection Investing strategy. The company burned through $300 million in free cash flow last year, with no clear path to breakeven anytime soon. While early revenues may start flowing in 2025, the lack of visibility makes it too risky for my portfolio. I’m cheering for the bulls from the sidelines, but this one doesn’t fit my investing criteria. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 30
What To Do After AST SpaceMobile Shares Fell By 11%
Summary AST SpaceMobile stock dropped on previously known concerns over Apple's iOS update supporting T-Mobile's Starlink texting service, impacting ASTS's satellite offering. ASTS's partnerships with Verizon and AT&T present a long-term investment opportunity. Short-sellers still dominate ASTS stock, but no company has a commanding market share in satellite services, making this a volatile yet promising sector. Long-term investors should see the current dip as a buying opportunity to gain exposure to the satellite telecommunications market. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 15
AST SpaceMobile: There's A Lot We Don't Know Yet
Summary AST SpaceMobile is launching its first five satellites, aiming to provide direct mobile phone coverage with existing deals from Verizon and AT&T. The company has a unique value proposition with large IP, minimal competition, and a largely fixed-cost, high-margin business model. Significant uncertainties remain, including customer uptake, carrier usage, and competition progress, making the investment outlook complex and uncertain. While the potential is high, substantial short positions and numerous variables suggest caution. The business model could generate significant cash if all goes well. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| ASTS | US Telecom | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -13.9% | -8.7% | 0.7% |
| 1Y | 60.9% | -10.3% | 20.6% |
Return vs Industry: ASTS exceeded the US Telecom industry which returned -10.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: ASTS exceeded the US Market which returned 20.6% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| ASTS volatility | |
|---|---|
| ASTS Average Weekly Movement | 17.2% |
| Telecom Industry Average Movement | 8.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: ASTS's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: ASTS's weekly volatility (17%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 1,126 | Abel Avellan | ast-science.com |
AST SpaceMobile, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops the constellation of BlueBird satellites in the United States. The company provides a cellular broadband network in space to be accessible directly by smartphones for commercial use and other applications, as well as for government use. Its SpaceMobile service provides cellular broadband services to end-users who are out of terrestrial cellular coverage.
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| ASTS fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$28.67b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$487.25m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$84.94m |
257.9x
P/S Ratio-45.0x
P/E RatioIs ASTS overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| ASTS income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$84.94m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$46.87m |
| Gross Profit | US$38.07m |
| Other Expenses | US$525.32m |
| Earnings | -US$487.25m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -1.63 |
| Gross Margin | 44.82% |
| Net Profit Margin | -573.67% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 111.7% |
How did ASTS perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/10 10:35 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/10 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mathieu Robilliard | Barclays |
| Michael Funk | BofA Global Research |
| Michael Crawford | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |