Citizen Watch Co., Ltd.

OTCPK:CHCL.Y Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.4b

Citizen Watch Valuation

Is CHCL.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CHCL.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CHCL.Y ($28.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($32.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CHCL.Y is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CHCL.Y?

Key metric: As CHCL.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CHCL.Y. This is calculated by dividing CHCL.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CHCL.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.1x
EarningsJP¥21.85b
Market CapJP¥219.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CHCL.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CHCL.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.7x
NSSC Napco Security Technologies
28.5x17.6%US$1.4b
OSIS OSI Systems
20.7x11.5%US$2.8b
CXT Crane NXT
19.5x23.3%US$3.3b
DAKT Daktronics
66.2x84.2%US$668.9m
CHCL.Y Citizen Watch
10.1x-0.4%US$220.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CHCL.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the peer average (33.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CHCL.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Electronic Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SHMD SCHMID Group
2.8xn/aUS$109.16m
SGE Strong Global Entertainment
3.8xn/aUS$12.27m
SPEC Spectaire Holdings
0.04xn/aUS$1.02m
SMX SMX (Security Matters)
0.5xn/aUS$753.74k
No more companies available in this PE range
CHCL.Y 10.1xIndustry Avg. 24.5xNo. of Companies10PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CHCL.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the US Electronic industry average (24x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CHCL.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CHCL.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CHCL.Y's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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