David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Ciena
What Is Ciena's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at January 2023 Ciena had debt of US$1.56b, up from US$1.08b in one year. However, it does have US$1.15b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$406.6m.
How Strong Is Ciena's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ciena had liabilities of US$1.02b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.82b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.15b in cash and US$1.23b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$451.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Ciena has a market capitalization of US$6.44b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With net debt sitting at just 0.96 times EBITDA, Ciena is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 7.6 times, which is more than adequate. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Ciena if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 39% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ciena can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Ciena's free cash flow amounted to 24% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Ciena's struggle to grow its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example, its net debt to EBITDA is relatively strong. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Ciena is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Ciena is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CIEN
Ciena
Provides hardware and software services for delivery of video, data, and voice traffic metro, aggregation, and access communications network worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet with moderate growth potential.