Amphenol Valuation

Is APH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of APH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: APH ($69.88) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($52.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: APH is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for APH?

Key metric: As APH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for APH. This is calculated by dividing APH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is APH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio38.8x
EarningsUS$2.19b
Market CapUS$85.02b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does APH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for APH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30x
LFUS Littelfuse
30.5x17.6%US$6.0b
BDC Belden
26.7x21.4%US$4.8b
VSH Vishay Intertechnology
23.9x64.2%US$2.1b
ROG Rogers
38.8x29.6%US$1.9b
APH Amphenol
38.4x13.3%US$85.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: APH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.4x) compared to the peer average (30x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does APH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Electronic Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SHMD SCHMID Group
3.1xn/aUS$119.90m
DSWL Deswell Industries
4xn/aUS$41.27m
SGE Strong Global Entertainment
3.8xn/aUS$12.27m
SPEC Spectaire Holdings
0.03xn/aUS$976.88k
APH 38.8xIndustry Avg. 23.6xNo. of Companies10PE01632486480+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: APH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.4x) compared to the US Electronic industry average (23.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is APH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

APH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.8x
Fair PE Ratio28.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: APH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst APH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$69.88
US$75.81
+8.5%
9.8%US$87.00US$63.00n/a18
Nov ’25US$67.86
US$75.53
+11.3%
10.0%US$87.00US$63.00n/a18
Oct ’25US$63.62
US$72.15
+13.4%
10.1%US$82.00US$55.00n/a18
Sep ’25US$67.45
US$72.65
+7.7%
10.3%US$82.00US$55.00n/a18
Aug ’25US$62.12
US$72.59
+16.9%
10.4%US$82.00US$55.00n/a18
Jul ’25US$67.52
US$68.73
+1.8%
11.5%US$81.00US$50.00n/a16
Jun ’25US$66.19
US$66.14
-0.08%
13.7%US$80.00US$45.00n/a16
May ’25US$59.63
US$61.61
+3.3%
11.2%US$69.00US$45.00n/a16
Apr ’25US$57.03
US$55.52
-2.6%
9.9%US$62.50US$43.50n/a15
Mar ’25US$55.41
US$55.02
-0.7%
9.4%US$60.50US$43.50n/a15
Feb ’25US$51.21
US$53.93
+5.3%
10.7%US$60.50US$43.50n/a14
Jan ’25US$49.57
US$48.12
-2.9%
9.9%US$54.50US$37.50n/a13
Dec ’24US$46.14
US$46.62
+1.0%
7.9%US$51.50US$37.50n/a13
Nov ’24US$40.82
US$46.67
+14.3%
7.7%US$51.50US$37.50US$67.8613
Oct ’24US$42.00
US$47.23
+12.5%
8.7%US$51.50US$37.50US$63.6212
Sep ’24US$44.29
US$47.23
+6.6%
8.7%US$51.50US$37.50US$67.4512
Aug ’24US$44.31
US$45.98
+3.8%
9.5%US$51.50US$37.50US$62.1213
Jul ’24US$42.48
US$42.69
+0.5%
8.1%US$47.50US$35.00US$67.5213
Jun ’24US$37.91
US$42.38
+11.8%
8.1%US$47.50US$35.00US$66.1913
May ’24US$38.22
US$43.23
+13.1%
6.6%US$47.50US$37.50US$59.6313
Apr ’24US$40.86
US$43.71
+7.0%
6.6%US$48.50US$37.50US$57.0314
Mar ’24US$38.86
US$43.47
+11.9%
7.2%US$48.50US$37.50US$55.4115
Feb ’24US$40.57
US$43.47
+7.1%
7.2%US$48.50US$37.50US$51.2115
Jan ’24US$38.07
US$43.13
+13.3%
7.3%US$48.50US$37.50US$49.5716
Dec ’23US$40.44
US$42.90
+6.1%
7.3%US$48.50US$37.50US$46.1415
Nov ’23US$38.39
US$42.57
+10.9%
7.2%US$48.50US$37.50US$40.8215

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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