Viasat Valuation

Is VSAT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VSAT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VSAT ($7.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($128.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VSAT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VSAT?

Key metric: As VSAT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for VSAT. This is calculated by dividing VSAT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is VSAT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesUS$4.53b
Market CapUS$950.12m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VSAT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VSAT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.9x
DGII Digi International
2.7x2.8%US$1.1b
ADTN ADTRAN Holdings
0.7x10.6%US$612.1m
AAOI Applied Optoelectronics
5.9x50.7%US$1.2b
HLIT Harmonic
2.2x9.4%US$1.4b
VSAT Viasat
0.2x1.8%US$950.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VSAT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (2.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does VSAT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Communications Industry?

13 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.0x8.2%
VSAT Viasat
0.2x1.8%US$950.12m
COMM CommScope Holding Company
0.2x-0.08%US$895.90m
TESS TESSCO Technologies
0.2xn/aUS$83.30m
VSAT 0.2xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies13PS012345+
13 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.0x16.4%
VSAT Viasat
0.2x19.7%US$950.12m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VSAT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the US Communications industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VSAT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VSAT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VSAT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VSAT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$7.28
US$25.00
+243.4%
59.1%US$56.00US$12.00n/a6
Nov ’25US$9.50
US$26.33
+177.2%
52.3%US$56.00US$15.00n/a6
Oct ’25US$11.55
US$26.57
+130.1%
48.0%US$56.00US$15.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$15.70
US$30.86
+96.5%
34.5%US$56.00US$22.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$18.78
US$29.57
+57.5%
37.2%US$56.00US$22.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$12.58
US$29.57
+135.1%
37.2%US$56.00US$22.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$16.89
US$30.43
+80.2%
35.2%US$56.00US$22.00n/a7
May ’25US$16.08
US$31.16
+93.8%
32.2%US$56.00US$23.00n/a8
Apr ’25US$17.17
US$34.04
+98.3%
31.8%US$56.00US$23.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$19.75
US$35.29
+78.7%
31.3%US$56.00US$23.00n/a7
Feb ’25US$22.49
US$37.14
+65.2%
32.1%US$56.00US$22.00n/a7
Jan ’25US$27.95
US$37.14
+32.9%
32.1%US$56.00US$22.00n/a7
Dec ’24US$21.95
US$37.14
+69.2%
32.1%US$56.00US$22.00n/a7
Nov ’24US$17.63
US$40.71
+130.9%
29.7%US$56.00US$22.00US$9.507
Oct ’24US$18.46
US$46.67
+152.8%
25.3%US$66.00US$33.00US$11.556
Sep ’24US$28.89
US$47.17
+63.3%
24.3%US$66.00US$34.00US$15.706
Aug ’24US$29.97
US$51.60
+72.2%
22.9%US$66.00US$34.00US$18.785
Jul ’24US$41.26
US$54.00
+30.9%
30.9%US$81.00US$34.00US$12.585
Jun ’24US$45.89
US$54.00
+17.7%
30.9%US$81.00US$34.00US$16.895
May ’24US$36.74
US$50.40
+37.2%
31.9%US$79.00US$34.00US$16.085
Apr ’24US$33.84
US$50.40
+48.9%
31.9%US$79.00US$34.00US$17.175
Mar ’24US$31.66
US$51.00
+61.1%
30.4%US$79.00US$37.00US$19.755
Feb ’24US$35.13
US$51.00
+45.2%
29.5%US$78.00US$36.00US$22.495
Jan ’24US$31.65
US$54.60
+72.5%
39.8%US$96.00US$36.00US$27.955
Dec ’23US$34.46
US$53.70
+55.8%
31.5%US$85.00US$36.00US$21.955
Nov ’23US$41.45
US$52.42
+26.5%
30.4%US$85.00US$34.00US$17.636

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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