Stock Analysis

Red Cat Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RCAT) Price In Tune With Revenues

Published
NasdaqCM:RCAT

Red Cat Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RCAT) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.8x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Electronic industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.7x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Red Cat Holdings

NasdaqCM:RCAT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 1st 2024

How Red Cat Holdings Has Been Performing

Recent times have been pleasing for Red Cat Holdings as its revenue has risen in spite of the industry's average revenue going into reverse. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader industry adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Red Cat Holdings.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Red Cat Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. The amazing performance means it was also able to deliver huge revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 63% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 6.7%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Red Cat Holdings is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Red Cat Holdings maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Electronic industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for Red Cat Holdings (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Red Cat Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.