Luna Innovations Incorporated

NasdaqCM:LUNA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$72.2m

Luna Innovations Valuation

Is LUNA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LUNA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate LUNA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate LUNA's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LUNA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LUNA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LUNA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LUNA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22x
REFR Research Frontiers
54.8xn/aUS$70.1m
ODYS Odysight.ai
20.3xn/aUS$69.5m
RSKI.A George Risk Industries
3.3xn/aUS$75.0m
WRAP Wrap Technologies
9.7xn/aUS$67.0m
LUNA Luna Innovations
0.6x13.3%US$72.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LUNA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (22x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LUNA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Electronic Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LUNA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the US Electronic industry average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LUNA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LUNA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio1.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LUNA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LUNA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.08
US$9.83
+372.8%
19.6%US$12.50US$8.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$2.38
US$9.83
+313.2%
19.6%US$12.50US$8.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$3.00
US$9.83
+227.8%
19.6%US$12.50US$8.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$2.95
US$9.83
+233.3%
19.6%US$12.50US$8.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$3.34
US$9.13
+173.2%
22.7%US$12.50US$7.00n/a4
May ’25US$2.24
US$9.13
+308.3%
22.7%US$12.50US$7.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$3.03
US$9.13
+201.2%
22.7%US$12.50US$7.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$6.75
US$9.13
+35.2%
22.7%US$12.50US$7.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$7.35
US$9.13
+24.1%
22.7%US$12.50US$7.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$6.65
US$9.13
+37.2%
22.7%US$12.50US$7.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$6.09
US$9.13
+49.8%
22.7%US$12.50US$7.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$5.71
US$10.50
+83.9%
16.1%US$12.50US$8.00n/a4
Oct ’24US$5.86
US$10.50
+79.2%
16.1%US$12.50US$8.00US$2.134
Sep ’24US$7.04
US$10.50
+49.1%
16.1%US$12.50US$8.00US$2.384
Aug ’24US$8.88
US$10.38
+16.8%
20.8%US$12.50US$7.00US$3.004
Jul ’24US$9.12
US$9.67
+6.0%
21.3%US$12.00US$7.00US$2.953
Jun ’24US$9.14
US$9.67
+5.8%
21.3%US$12.00US$7.00US$3.343
May ’24US$6.38
US$9.75
+52.8%
17.9%US$11.50US$8.00US$2.242
Apr ’24US$7.19
US$9.75
+35.6%
17.9%US$11.50US$8.00US$3.032
Mar ’24US$9.92
US$8.75
-11.8%
8.6%US$9.50US$8.00US$6.752
Feb ’24US$8.63
US$10.50
+21.7%
24.3%US$14.00US$8.00US$7.353
Jan ’24US$8.79
US$10.50
+19.5%
24.3%US$14.00US$8.00US$6.653
Dec ’23US$7.27
US$10.50
+44.4%
24.3%US$14.00US$8.00US$6.093
Nov ’23US$5.23
US$11.17
+113.5%
22.0%US$14.00US$8.00US$5.713
Oct ’23US$4.44
US$11.17
+151.5%
22.0%US$14.00US$8.00US$5.863

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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