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Iteris Valuation

Is ITI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ITI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ITI ($7.19) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ITI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ITI?

Key metric: As ITI is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ITI. This is calculated by dividing ITI's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ITI's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.8x
SalesUS$174.22m
Market CapUS$309.47m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ITI's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ITI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.1x
VPG Vishay Precision Group
0.9x1.4%US$292.4m
FARO FARO Technologies
1.5x2.1%US$510.8m
SMRT SmartRent
1.6x7.4%US$310.0m
TROO TROOPS
48.4xn/aUS$172.7m
ITI Iteris
1.8x11.9%US$309.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ITI is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the peer average (17.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ITI's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Electronic Industry?

32 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SNX TD SYNNEX
0.2x5.3%US$10.11b
ARW Arrow Electronics
0.2x2.7%US$6.27b
INGM Ingram Micro Holding
0.1x3.5%US$5.17b
AVT Avnet
0.2x3.7%US$4.73b
ITI 1.8xIndustry Avg. 2.0xNo. of Companies32PS0246810+
32 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ITI is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the US Electronic industry average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ITI's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ITI PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.8x
Fair PS Ratio1.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ITI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ITI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$7.10
0%
1.4%US$7.20US$7.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$7.19
US$7.10
-1.3%
1.4%US$7.20US$7.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$7.15
US$7.10
-0.7%
1.4%US$7.20US$7.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$7.05
US$7.10
+0.7%
1.4%US$7.20US$7.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$4.55
US$9.00
+97.8%
24.0%US$12.00US$7.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$4.25
US$9.00
+111.8%
24.0%US$12.00US$7.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$4.53
US$7.70
+70.0%
25.8%US$11.00US$5.00n/a5
May ’25US$4.54
US$7.70
+69.6%
25.8%US$11.00US$5.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$4.85
US$6.88
+41.8%
18.1%US$8.50US$5.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$5.17
US$6.88
+33.0%
18.1%US$8.50US$5.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$4.90
US$6.00
+22.4%
11.8%US$7.00US$5.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$5.20
US$6.00
+15.4%
11.8%US$7.00US$5.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$4.27
US$6.00
+40.5%
11.8%US$7.00US$5.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$4.39
US$6.00
+36.7%
11.8%US$7.00US$5.00US$7.194
Oct ’24US$4.14
US$6.00
+44.9%
11.8%US$7.00US$5.00US$7.154
Sep ’24US$4.67
US$6.00
+28.5%
11.8%US$7.00US$5.00US$7.054
Aug ’24US$4.13
US$5.50
+33.2%
20.3%US$7.00US$4.00US$4.554
Jul ’24US$3.96
US$5.50
+38.9%
20.3%US$7.00US$4.00US$4.254
Jun ’24US$4.52
US$5.38
+18.9%
22.2%US$7.00US$4.00US$4.534
May ’24US$4.43
US$5.38
+21.3%
22.2%US$7.00US$4.00US$4.544
Apr ’24US$4.69
US$5.13
+9.3%
17.4%US$6.00US$4.00US$4.854
Mar ’24US$4.69
US$5.13
+9.3%
17.4%US$6.00US$4.00US$5.174
Feb ’24US$3.74
US$4.50
+20.3%
28.3%US$6.00US$3.00US$4.904
Jan ’24US$3.11
US$4.50
+44.7%
28.3%US$6.00US$3.00US$5.204
Dec ’23US$3.14
US$4.50
+43.3%
28.3%US$6.00US$3.00US$4.274
Nov ’23US$2.99
US$5.67
+89.5%
54.6%US$10.00US$3.00US$4.393

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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