Harmonic Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Harmonic has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 15.8%, while the Communications industry saw earnings growing at 13.4% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 6.2% per year. Harmonic's return on equity is 7.3%, and it has net margins of 5.9%.
Key information
15.79%
Earnings growth rate
14.02%
EPS growth rate
| Communications Industry Growth | 31.77% |
| Revenue growth rate | -6.25% |
| Return on equity | 7.33% |
| Net Margin | 5.95% |
| Last Earnings Update | 03 Jul 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Aug 26
Harmonic: A Double Beat And Higher Guidance, Yet No Stock Reaction
Summary Harmonic delivered a 54% YoY Broadband revenue surge, double beat in Q2, and raised full-year guidance, yet shares remain flat. HLIT's margins are strengthening, with EBIT margin at 18.1% and management projecting a 4-5x profit increase for the year. Record broadband backlog and strong deployment cycle visibility support the thesis that 2026 marks a new growth phase, not just a rebound. I upgrade HLIT to Strong Buy because of improved fundamentals, attractive valuation, and a compelling risk/reward. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Aug 13
HLIT: Future Multiple Compression Will Follow Backlog Execution And Broadband Momentum
Harmonic's updated analyst price target has moved higher, reflecting a range supported by recent Q2 beat-and-raise reports, stronger broadband growth, record backlog, and expectations for modest multiple expansion that analysts link to improved revenue visibility and customer diversification. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Harmonic point to a more constructive stance on the stock, with price targets moving higher following the Q2 beat and raise.Analysis Article • Jun 20
Harmonic (HLIT) Stock Could Be 1.3% Undervalued as Growth Narrative Builds
Recent Performance Snapshot Harmonic (HLIT) has drawn investor attention after a recent upswing in its share price, with the stock showing gains over the past week, month and past 3 months on a total return basis. This move comes against a backdrop of reported annual revenue of US$397.34 million and net income of US$8.495 million, figures that give investors a reference point when weighing the stock’s recent strength. See our latest analysis for Harmonic. Against this backdrop, Harmonic’s...
Narrative Update • Jun 19
HLIT: Broadband Refocus And Buybacks Will Drive Stronger Future Cash Returns
Harmonic’s latest narrative update reflects a higher blended analyst price target, with recent $1 to $5 upward revisions tied to analyst views on its unchanged $20.00 fair value framework, modestly adjusted discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and slightly lower future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Harmonic clusters around higher price targets that anchor to the same US$20.00 fair value framework, with analysts adjusting inputs rather than changing the overall thesis.Narrative Update • Jun 04
HLIT: Broadband Focus And Share Buybacks Will Support Stronger Future Cash Returns
Harmonic's fair value estimate has been raised from $17.00 to $20.00 as analysts factor in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profitability, discount rates and future P/E, following a series of higher price targets from firms including Northland, Needham, Rosenblatt, Barclays and Jefferies. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are clustering around higher price targets for Harmonic, with recent moves ranging from US$1 to US$5 increases across several research updates.
Narrative Update • May 18
HLIT: Record Broadband Orders And Backlog Are Expected To Support Earnings
Analysts have lifted their average price target for Harmonic from $12.71 to $15.29, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profitability and future P/E along with recent price target increases from several firms following strong reported broadband orders. Analyst Commentary Recent price target increases cluster around similar themes, with most of the focus on Harmonic's broadband momentum and how that might feed into future execution and valuation.Narrative Update • Apr 29
HLIT: Record Broadband Orders And 3.5x Book To Bill Will Support Earnings
Analysts have lifted their price target on Harmonic to $14 from $12.50, citing record Q4 broadband orders of $347m, with a 3.5x book to bill, as a key driver behind their updated view. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the record Q4 Broadband orders of $347m as a strong indicator of customer demand, which they see as supportive of the higher $14 target price.Narrative Update • Apr 15
HLIT: Record Broadband Orders Will Support Stronger Profitability And Cash Returns
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Harmonic to $17 from $15, citing recent Street research that includes a higher $14 price target. The updated target is tied to record $347 million in Broadband orders and a 3.5x book-to-bill ratio in the latest Q4 update.Narrative Update • Mar 31
HLIT: Future Multiple Compression Will Follow Record Broadband Orders Momentum
Analysts have raised their price target on Harmonic to $14 from $12.50, citing record Q4 Broadband orders of $347m and a 3.5x book-to-bill ratio as key factors supporting their updated view. Analyst Commentary Street research points to a constructive view on Harmonic following the Q4 report, with the higher price target framed around record Broadband orders of US$347m and a 3.5x book to bill ratio.Narrative Update • Mar 17
HLIT: Future Earnings Multiple Contraction Will Follow Peak Broadband Booking Momentum
Analysts have nudged their view on Harmonic higher, with a fresh $14 price target, up from $12.50. They cite record Q4 broadband orders of $347m and a book to bill of 3.5x as key supports for the updated outlook.Narrative Update • Mar 03
HLIT: Record Broadband Orders Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have raised their price target on Harmonic to $14 from $12.50, citing record Q4 broadband orders of $347 million and an improved long-term profit margin outlook. This comes even as they account for a much lower expected revenue growth rate and a higher future P/E assumption.Narrative Update • Feb 17
HLIT: Broadband And Streaming Contracts Will Support Steady Long Term Prospects
Analysts have nudged their price target on Harmonic to $11.79, reflecting a slightly higher assumed discount rate and a modestly richer future P/E multiple in their models. What's in the News Czech Television, the public broadcaster of the Czech Republic, selected Harmonic's software-based XOS Advanced Media Processor to modernize its video streaming workflow, bringing transcoding in-house and aiming for higher control over streaming quality for millions of viewers (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 03
HLIT: Broadband And Streaming Wins Will Support Stronger Long Term Demand
Analysts have kept their price target for Harmonic broadly steady around $11.79, with only small tweaks to assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. These adjustments help to fine tune their view rather than shift it in a big way.Analysis Article • Jan 30
Harmonic (NASDAQ:HLIT) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Amongst other...Narrative Update • Jan 20
HLIT: Future Earnings Multiple Contraction Will Outweigh Broadband And Streaming Wins
Analysts have raised their price target on Harmonic, citing updated assumptions that include a revised fair value of 8.0, adjustments to revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple of 6.42x compared with the previous 15.28x. What's in the News Czech Television is working with Harmonic to modernize its video streaming workflow using the XOS Advanced Media Processor, bringing transcoding in-house and using AI-powered EyeQ encoding for multi device delivery across mobile, web apps and HbbTV (Client announcement).Narrative Update • Jan 05
HLIT: Broadband And Streaming Wins Will Support Stronger Profitability Ahead
Analysts have lifted their price target on Harmonic from US$12.50 to US$15.00, citing updated assumptions that reflect higher modeled revenue growth, a stronger profit margin profile, a slightly lower discount rate, and a reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News Czech Television selected Harmonic's XOS Advanced Media Processor to modernize its streaming workflow, bringing transcoding in-house, adding AI-powered EyeQ encoding and supporting mobile, web and HbbTV delivery for millions of viewers, with deployment supported by local partner Smart Informatics (Client announcement).Narrative Update • Dec 13
HLIT: Easing Broadband Headwinds Will Support Stronger Future Demand Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Harmonic by $3 to $14, citing improving industry conditions and the easing of prior headwinds following recent broadband sector insights. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts argue that the improved broadband demand backdrop should support a healthier order pipeline, justifying a higher valuation multiple on forward earnings.Narrative Update • Nov 28
HLIT: Recent Industry Tailwinds Will Drive Confidence in Broadband Demand Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Harmonic, increasing it by $0.43. This reflects improved sentiment as several industry headwinds have recently eased.Narrative Update • Nov 13
HLIT: Capital Deployment and Industry Developments Will Shape Outlook Amid Fading Headwinds
Analysts have raised their price target for Harmonic from $11.00 to $14.00, citing renewed confidence following industry events and the easing of earlier headwinds. Analyst Commentary Industry research following key broadband events has informed recent analyst perspectives on Harmonic's performance and outlook.Analysis Article • Nov 12
Harmonic's (NASDAQ:HLIT) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings
Harmonic Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:HLIT ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. While the headline numbers...Narrative Update • Oct 29
Lifting Industry Headwinds Will Support Broader Demand and Market Momentum Ahead
Narrative Update on Harmonic: Price Target Adjustment Analysts have increased Harmonic's price target by $3, to $14 from $11, citing improved industry conditions and the resolution of earlier headwinds as key factors in their revised outlook. Analyst Commentary Analysts offered a range of perspectives on Harmonic following the recent price target adjustment.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Global Broadband Upgrades Will Spur Lasting Market Expansion
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Harmonic from $10.07 to $10.50. This change reflects improved sentiment after headwinds in the company's results were seen to have eased.Analysis Article • Jul 11
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Harmonic (NASDAQ:HLIT)
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want...Analysis Article • Jun 25
Why Harmonic Inc. (NASDAQ:HLIT) Could Be Worth Watching
Harmonic Inc. ( NASDAQ:HLIT ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over...Analysis Article • Jun 10
Harmonic (NASDAQ:HLIT) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • May 08
Harmonic's (NASDAQ:HLIT) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture
The market for Harmonic Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:HLIT ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We think...Seeking Alpha • Apr 17
Harmonic: Fundamentals And Upside Potential Are In Harmony
Summary Harmonic Inc. shows strong topline growth and market penetration, driven by innovation and strategic partnerships, making it a promising potential addition to my portfolio. The asset-light business model and high free cash flow enhance profitability and sustainability, with a low Net Debt/EBITDA ratio of 0.25x. Despite recent downtrends, HLIT stock is undervalued with significant upside potential, supported by P/E Ratio and DCF Model analyses indicating a TP of up to $17.30. Technical analysis suggests a potential rebound, with improved momentum and buying opportunities, recommending a buy rating with a take profit at $10.48 and stop loss at $7.57. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Apr 16
Harmonic Inc. (NASDAQ:HLIT) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27x Harmonic Inc. ( NASDAQ:HLIT ) may be sending very bearish signals at...Analysis Article • Mar 17
Investors Will Want Harmonic's (NASDAQ:HLIT) Growth In ROCE To Persist
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common...Seeking Alpha • Feb 25
Harmonic: Get Ready To Buy On Dips
Summary Harmonic's stock is rated a hold with a $12 price target due to near-term headwinds from the Unified DOCSIS 4.0 transition. Despite impressive 2024 earnings including record Q4 revenue and EPS growth, 2025 is expected to be a weaker year. The video segment is now profitable, with a promising partnership with Akamai poised to drive future growth. Investors should consider buying if the stock dips to $8 or below, as long-term prospects remain strong. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Harmonic makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul 26 | 444 | 26 | 96 | 73 |
| 03 Apr 26 | 397 | 8 | 92 | 69 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 361 | 1 | 89 | 68 |
| 26 Sep 25 | 346 | 54 | 50 | 42 |
| 27 Jun 25 | 399 | 73 | 49 | 43 |
| 28 Mar 25 | 451 | 61 | 68 | 53 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 488 | 51 | 88 | 64 |
| 27 Sep 24 | 624 | 85 | 160 | 111 |
| 28 Jun 24 | 555 | 57 | 164 | 111 |
| 29 Mar 24 | 572 | 71 | 167 | 115 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 388 | 88 | 78 | 70 |
| 29 Sep 23 | 605 | 6 | 167 | 118 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 634 | 22 | 164 | 118 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 635 | 35 | 159 | 116 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 625 | 28 | 147 | 120 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 616 | 42 | 155 | 107 |
| 01 Jul 22 | 587 | 35 | 153 | 103 |
| 01 Apr 22 | 543 | 18 | 149 | 99 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 507 | 13 | 138 | 102 |
| 01 Oct 21 | 483 | 7 | 145 | 86 |
| 02 Jul 21 | 451 | 0 | 140 | 80 |
| 02 Apr 21 | 412 | -13 | 134 | 73 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 379 | -29 | 120 | 82 |
| 25 Sep 20 | 369 | -37 | 130 | 71 |
| 26 Jun 20 | 390 | -20 | 133 | 70 |
| 27 Mar 20 | 401 | -17 | 136 | 72 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 403 | -6 | 119 | 85 |
| 27 Sep 19 | 394 | -8 | 128 | 76 |
| 28 Jun 19 | 379 | -28 | 123 | 81 |
| 29 Mar 19 | 394 | -19 | 119 | 84 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 404 | -21 | 119 | 89 |
| 28 Sep 18 | 391 | -36 | 118 | 90 |
| 29 Jun 18 | 382 | -44 | 120 | 89 |
| 30 Mar 18 | 365 | -73 | 124 | 95 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 358 | -83 | 130 | 96 |
| 29 Sep 17 | 370 | -82 | 133 | 97 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 380 | -82 | 133 | 100 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 407 | -71 | 134 | 99 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 406 | -72 | 129 | 97 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 379 | -69 | 125 | 95 |
| 01 Jul 16 | 361 | -58 | 122 | 93 |
| 01 Apr 16 | 355 | -38 | 120 | 89 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 377 | -16 | 121 | 88 |
| 02 Oct 15 | 398 | -13 | 124 | 89 |
Quality Earnings: HLIT has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: HLIT's current net profit margins (5.9%) are lower than last year (18.1%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: HLIT has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 15.8% per year.
Accelerating Growth: HLIT's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: HLIT had negative earnings growth (-63.1%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Communications industry average (14.4%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: HLIT's Return on Equity (7.3%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/10 23:11 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/10 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/07/03 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Harmonic Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Amir Rozwadowski | Barclays |
| Timothy Long | Barclays |
| Tal Liani | BofA Global Research |