CompoSecure Valuation

Is CMPO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CMPO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CMPO ($15.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($21.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CMPO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CMPO?

Key metric: As CMPO is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CMPO. This is calculated by dividing CMPO's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CMPO's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.2x
SalesUS$419.61m
Market CapUS$1.35b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CMPO's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CMPO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.4x
DBD Diebold Nixdorf
0.4x1.2%US$1.6b
XRX Xerox Holdings
0.2x-0.5%US$1.0b
CRSR Corsair Gaming
0.5x10.2%US$690.0m
PMTS CPI Card Group
0.7x8.6%US$295.9m
CMPO CompoSecure
3.2x6.5%US$1.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CMPO is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.2x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CMPO's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Tech Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
XRX Xerox Holdings
0.2x-0.5%US$1.05b
SONM Sonim Technologies
0.3x42.4%US$15.41m
QMCO Quantum
0.05x-2.1%US$14.28m
BRQS.F Borqs Technologies
0.2xn/aUS$5.79m
CMPO 3.2xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies7PS01.22.43.64.86+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CMPO is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.2x) compared to the US Tech industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CMPO's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CMPO PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.2x
Fair PS Ratio2.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CMPO is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CMPO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$15.40
US$16.79
+9.0%
18.7%US$23.00US$12.00n/a7
Nov ’25US$14.95
US$16.07
+7.5%
12.5%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$13.82
US$15.21
+10.1%
12.2%US$18.00US$12.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$11.73
US$13.79
+17.5%
18.2%US$18.00US$10.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$7.93
US$11.79
+48.6%
29.2%US$18.00US$7.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$6.89
US$12.25
+77.8%
28.6%US$18.00US$7.00n/a6
Jun ’25US$6.35
US$12.30
+93.9%
31.2%US$18.00US$7.00n/a5
May ’25US$7.02
US$11.50
+63.8%
35.9%US$17.00US$6.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$7.12
US$11.50
+61.5%
35.9%US$17.00US$6.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$4.72
US$10.70
+126.7%
33.9%US$15.00US$6.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$5.02
US$11.63
+131.6%
30.0%US$15.00US$6.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$5.40
US$11.63
+115.3%
30.0%US$15.00US$6.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$5.16
US$12.10
+134.7%
23.1%US$15.00US$7.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$6.05
US$13.00
+114.9%
18.8%US$16.00US$9.00US$14.955
Oct ’24US$6.45
US$13.00
+101.6%
18.8%US$16.00US$9.00US$13.825
Sep ’24US$6.42
US$13.00
+102.5%
18.8%US$16.00US$9.00US$11.735
Aug ’24US$7.32
US$13.80
+88.5%
15.5%US$16.00US$10.00US$7.935
Jul ’24US$6.86
US$13.80
+101.2%
15.5%US$16.00US$10.00US$6.895
Jun ’24US$6.83
US$14.00
+105.0%
16.8%US$16.00US$10.00US$6.354
May ’24US$7.37
US$13.33
+80.9%
17.7%US$15.00US$10.00US$7.023
Apr ’24US$7.36
US$13.33
+81.2%
17.7%US$15.00US$10.00US$7.123
Mar ’24US$6.79
US$12.50
+84.1%
20.0%US$15.00US$10.00US$4.722
Feb ’24US$6.22
US$12.50
+101.0%
20.0%US$15.00US$10.00US$5.022
Jan ’24US$4.91
US$11.33
+130.8%
23.2%US$15.00US$9.00US$5.403
Dec ’23US$5.01
US$12.50
+149.5%
20.0%US$15.00US$10.00US$5.162
Nov ’23US$5.25
US$12.50
+138.1%
20.0%US$15.00US$10.00US$6.052

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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