Stock Analysis

Cambium Networks Corporation (NASDAQ:CMBM) Analysts Are Reducing Their Forecasts For This Year

NasdaqGM:CMBM
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The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Cambium Networks Corporation (NASDAQ:CMBM), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.

Following the latest downgrade, the nine analysts covering Cambium Networks provided consensus estimates of US$321m revenue in 2022, which would reflect a discernible 4.4% decline on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to dive 82% to US$0.26 in the same period. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$358m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.15 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Cambium Networks' prospects, administering a substantial drop in revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.

View our latest analysis for Cambium Networks

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NasdaqGM:CMBM Earnings and Revenue Growth April 19th 2022

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 22% to US$36.00. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Cambium Networks, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$59.00 and the most bearish at US$19.00 per share. As you can see the range of estimates is wide, with the lowest valuation coming in at less than half the most bullish estimate, suggesting there are some strongly diverging views on how think this business will perform. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily on the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 4.4% by the end of 2022. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 11% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 6.8% per year. It's pretty clear that Cambium Networks' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Cambium Networks' revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Cambium Networks.

After a downgrade like this, it's pretty clear that previous forecasts were too optimistic. What's more, we've spotted several possible issues with Cambium Networks' business, like dilutive stock issuance over the past year. Learn more, and discover the 2 other concerns we've identified, for free on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cambium Networks is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.