Is CalAmp (NASDAQ:CAMP) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies CalAmp Corp. (NASDAQ:CAMP) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for CalAmp

How Much Debt Does CalAmp Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at May 2022 CalAmp had debt of US$229.2m, up from US$187.7m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$59.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$170.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:CAMP Debt to Equity History August 4th 2022

A Look At CalAmp's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CalAmp had liabilities of US$85.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$260.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$59.0m and US$66.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$221.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$186.6m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CalAmp's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, CalAmp made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$281m, which is a fall of 11%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did CalAmp's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$21m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of US$34m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with CalAmp (including 1 which is potentially serious) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

MI
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

Gold miners still look inexpensive because the market thinks we're near the top of the cycle. Given what's happening to the dollar, I'm not so sure.

Gold miners still look inexpensive because the market thinks we're near the top of the cycle. Given what's happening to the dollar, I'm not so sure. cover
1110
ST
steve_investor

Is it a safer bet on gold to have just exposure to ETFs?

MA
marcus_l38oa

Between 2003 and 2011, gold nearly went 5x. Dollar went weak too. The gold companies did bad. It is worth noting that between 2003 and 2011, there was 2008! I will leave it your inference and research.

About OTCPK:CAMP.Q

CalAmp

A connected intelligence company, provides leverages a data-driven solutions ecosystem to people and organizations in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally.

Medium-low and fair value.

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