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Darktrace Valuation

Is DRKT.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DRKT.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DRKT.F ($7.57) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($8.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DRKT.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DRKT.F?

Key metric: As DRKT.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DRKT.F. This is calculated by dividing DRKT.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DRKT.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio44.8x
EarningsUS$110.90m
Market CapUS$4.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DRKT.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DRKT.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.3x
QLYS Qualys
33x3.3%US$5.6b
CVLT Commvault Systems
43x-17.5%US$7.6b
PRGS Progress Software
36x24.5%US$3.0b
DLB Dolby Laboratories
29.4x8.3%US$7.7b
DRKT.F Darktrace
44.8x7.8%US$3.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DRKT.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.8x) compared to the peer average (33.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DRKT.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AISP Airship AI Holdings
4.3x-27.8%US$66.57m
GRRR Gorilla Technology Group
2.5x-67.4%US$55.50m
NISN Nisun International Enterprise Development Group
2xn/aUS$33.71m
NXTT Next Technology Holding
0.7xn/aUS$16.74m
DRKT.F 44.8xIndustry Avg. 42.4xNo. of Companies11PE020406080100+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DRKT.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.8x) compared to the US Software industry average (38.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DRKT.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DRKT.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio44.8x
Fair PE Ratio30.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DRKT.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DRKT.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$8.04
0%
2.5%US$8.27US$7.55n/a11
Nov ’25n/a
US$8.04
0%
2.5%US$8.27US$7.55n/a11
Oct ’25US$7.62
US$8.04
+5.6%
2.5%US$8.27US$7.55n/a11
Sep ’25US$7.36
US$8.08
+9.8%
2.4%US$8.31US$7.58n/a12
Aug ’25US$7.32
US$7.78
+6.3%
2.1%US$7.96US$7.27n/a12
Jul ’25US$7.37
US$7.78
+5.7%
2.1%US$7.96US$7.27n/a12
Jun ’25US$7.47
US$7.86
+5.2%
2.6%US$8.28US$7.32n/a13
May ’25US$7.50
US$7.90
+5.3%
8.4%US$9.99US$7.18n/a12
Apr ’25US$5.68
US$6.68
+17.7%
19.1%US$8.85US$3.41n/a16
Mar ’25US$4.52
US$6.54
+44.6%
19.4%US$8.92US$3.44n/a15
Feb ’25US$4.40
US$6.54
+48.6%
19.4%US$8.92US$3.44n/a15
Jan ’25US$4.60
US$6.67
+44.9%
19.7%US$8.88US$3.30n/a14
Dec ’24US$4.36
US$6.65
+52.5%
19.5%US$8.89US$3.30n/a14
Nov ’24US$4.23
US$6.18
+46.2%
18.2%US$7.89US$2.91n/a14
Oct ’24US$5.09
US$6.13
+20.5%
18.1%US$7.93US$2.93US$7.6214
Sep ’24US$4.58
US$6.15
+34.4%
22.5%US$8.27US$3.05US$7.3615
Aug ’24US$4.85
US$6.05
+24.8%
22.5%US$8.36US$3.09US$7.3215
Jul ’24US$3.85
US$5.24
+36.1%
28.2%US$8.03US$2.96US$7.3715
Jun ’24US$3.49
US$5.24
+50.1%
28.2%US$8.03US$2.96US$7.4715
May ’24US$3.34
US$5.68
+70.0%
23.4%US$8.09US$3.11US$7.5012
Apr ’24US$3.12
US$5.47
+75.3%
24.4%US$8.05US$3.10US$5.6813
Mar ’24US$3.17
US$5.38
+70.0%
25.2%US$7.83US$3.01US$4.5212
Feb ’24US$2.75
US$5.56
+102.3%
25.5%US$8.04US$3.09US$4.4012
Jan ’24US$3.15
US$6.27
+98.9%
17.2%US$7.96US$3.92US$4.6012
Dec ’23US$4.07
US$6.27
+53.9%
17.2%US$7.96US$3.92US$4.3612
Nov ’23US$4.17
US$5.82
+39.5%
19.3%US$7.35US$3.62US$4.2310

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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