Smartsheet Inc.

NYSE:SMAR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.9b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Smartsheet Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Smartsheet is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 65% and 14% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 65.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 32.1% in 3 years.

Key information

65.0%

Earnings growth rate

65.24%

EPS growth rate

Software earnings growth19.9%
Revenue growth rate14.0%
Future return on equity32.07%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Dec 29

Smartsheet: A Hold Is Good, But A Sell Might Be More Favorable

Summary Smartsheet's acquisition by Blackstone and Vista Equity at $56.50 per share limits upside potential; stock is fully valued, posing significant risk if the merger fails. Smartsheet excels in user-friendly, scalable CWM solutions with strong integrations, but lacks AI innovation compared to competitors like Asana. Financials show stable revenue growth and improving margins, but slower growth compared to high-growth peers, indicating limited expansion potential. The current stock price offers minimal reward and significant risk, making it a cautious investment amid fierce competition and potential merger uncertainties. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 08

Smartsheet's Buyout Will Likely Improve Your Workflow Returns

Summary Blackstone and Vista Equity Partners are acquiring Smartsheet for $8.4 billion, with shareholders receiving $56.50 per share, backed by their strong track record in software investments. Smartsheet's lean operating structure, high gross margins, and increasing customer spend make it an attractive M&A target, trending towards profitability. Key risks include managing rapid growth, longer enterprise sales cycles, and regulatory compliance, but the deal's closing probability remains very high. The acquisition is supported by Blue Owl Capital's $3.2B private debt financing, with Blackstone and Vista being the most credible and capable buyers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 06

Smartsheet Earnings: A Smart Bet For Investors (Upgrade)

Summary Smartsheet's fiscal Q2 2025 earnings were well-received, showcasing stable mid-teens growth and a strong balance sheet with 10% of its market cap in cash. The company’s valuation at 23x next year's non-GAAP operating profits is compelling, especially with improved profit margins and consistent revenue growth. Smartsheet's enterprise customer base is expanding, with a 17% year-over-year increase in annual recurring revenue and significant customer expansions. Given stable growth, strong financials, and scalability within enterprises, Smartsheet presents a compelling buy opportunity for investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 01

Smartsheet: Private Takeout Interest Could Finally Unlock Its Real Value

Summary Smartsheet is a strong player in the PWM software space, with a conservative valuation and potential for upside. Recent Q1 results beat estimates, with enterprise segment strength and improving margins. Acquisition interest from private equity firms could lead to a potential takeout, driving the share price higher. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 17

Smartsheet: Dominant Player In The Project Management Software Space

Summary Smartsheet has a dominant position in the enterprise project management software space. Strong competitive advantages drive robust growth potential of at least 20%. Large addressable market and focus on complex needs of large enterprises support continued growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 06

Smartsheet Earnings: Stock Jumps Higher But Questions Remain

Summary Smartsheet's stock jumped 12% after a positive earnings report, but I'm less enthusiastic due to high valuation and decelerating growth rates. The Company provides a collaborative work management platform, similar to Asana but with better financials. I believe SMAR is fairly valued given its financial outlook, solid performance, and ample cash reserves. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 29

Smartsheet: Cheaper Than Ever, But I Wonder If It Is Smart

Summary Smartsheet Inc. offers collaboration software for unstructured work, as I wonder if the company could face competition from AI. Shares have traded flat while the business has tripled over the past five years, but per-share growth has been slower due to dilution from losses and stock-based compensation expenses. Smartsheet has seen narrowing losses and expects to see further sales growth, but concerns remain about economic profits and competition. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 15

Smartsheet Q4 Earnings: Do Not Buy This Dip (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Smartsheet Inc. disappointed investors with Q4 earnings showing decelerating growth rates and a high valuation. The introduction of AI features and a strong financial position offer some promise, but challenges remain in a competitive market. Smartsheet stock's forward non-GAAP EPS valuation of 34x is considered richly priced, leading to a sell rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 21

Smartsheet: A Mispriced SaaS Leader

Summary The Collaborative Work Management (CWM) market is often misunderstood by investors, leading to a low valuation of some companies in this sector. Smartsheet stands out as a leader in the CWM market, demonstrating robust growth, solid financials, and a compelling growth strategy. Smartsheet's valuation appears to lag behind its peers, indicating an undervaluation by the market. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 21

Smartsheet: Embracing Enterprise Clients And International Expansion Opportunities

Summary Smartsheet Inc. exceeded EPS and revenue expectations in Q3 2024, with YoY revenue growth of 23%. The company is successfully growing its enterprise customer base and has untapped growth potential internationally. Smartsheet has a solid financial position, although cautious of competition and demand downtrend amongst the SME segment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 11

Smartsheet: Comfort In Profit Margins

Summary Smartsheet's stock has underperformed this year due to slower billing growth rates and increased competition in the workflow software market. Counterbalancing the deceleration in billings and revenue growth is a hugely improved operating margin, driven by largely flat opex. The Company remains an attractive long-term investment with potential for growth, but investors should take a conservative position here. In particular, competition weighs on SMAR as collaboration software is a flooded field, with incumbents like Atlassian dominating market share. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 16

Smartsheet: Once A Highly Valued Highflyer Now A Profitable GARP Story

Summary Smartsheet has become a GARP story as its growth has decelerated and valuations have compressed. The company's Q2 earnings release should have alleviated investor concerns, with reaffirmed billings growth and strong profitability. Smartsheet is gaining market share in the workflow management space and is expected to continue growing in the future. The company's AI releases have reached general availability and should start to become a tailwind to revenue growth next quarter. The company's business model has shown substantial improvement as expense discipline has significantly improved, and gross margins have remained above 80%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 08

Smartsheet Earnings: Steady Progress In A Fairly Priced Stock

Summary Smartsheet Inc. customer adoption growth rates are showing signs of slowing down, posing questions about future adoption rates. Despite compelling revenue growth rates, Smartsheet's billings and some leading indicators raise concerns about potential revenue lulls. Smartsheet remains fairly priced but not excessively cheap, with investors paying a premium for the stock amidst its evolving growth dynamics. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 16

Smartsheet: Buy The Correction, It's An Overreaction

Summary Smartsheet has seen a sharp correction over the past month due to concerns on slowing billings growth. The company expects billings to accelerate in the back half of the year, driven by Free plan conversions and a marketing push. Trading at ~5x forward revenue, Smartsheet is a great "growth at a reasonable price" investment. We also shouldn't ignore the company's rich double-digit pro forma operating margins. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 28

Smartsheet: A Recent Pullback Provides A Reasonable Entry Point

Summary Smartsheet's share price decline has brought its EV/S ratio to around 4.5X, with a projected free cash flow margin of around 12% over the next 12 months, making it an attractive investment opportunity. The company is a leader in the workflow management space, with strong growth in profitability and free cash generation, and is set to launch generative AI tools in the coming months. Smartsheet's valuation does not depend on the generative AI opportunity, and its shares are expected to perform well in the long term as the company continues to grow and improve its business model. Smartsheet growth is being buoyed by strong demand for its capabilities on the part of its largest users. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 07

Smartsheet Q1 Earnings: Unraveling The Growth Story Beyond The Numbers

Summary Smartsheet Inc. had a mixed Q1 earnings report: a beat on top line estimates, but the quarter's performance may have peaked. There are concerns over maturing customer adoption growth rates and billings falling below revenue growth rates. Cautious outlook for fiscal 2024 despite strong revenue beat, raising questions about future Smartsheet performance. Substantial stock-based compensation raises concerns about Smartsheet's underlying profitability. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:SMAR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
1/31/20271,503384134597
1/31/20261,291-530131017
1/31/20251,122-202392589
10/31/20241,083-9221232N/A
7/31/20241,042-42171184N/A
4/30/20241,001-84159173N/A
1/31/2024958-105145158N/A
10/31/2023914-138105118N/A
7/31/2023867-14689101N/A
4/30/2023818-1755063N/A
1/31/2023767-2161024N/A
10/31/2022712-226-93N/A
7/31/2022657-223-113N/A
4/30/2022602-204-22-6N/A
1/31/2022551-171-21-4N/A
10/31/2021503-147-612N/A
7/31/2021458-142-89N/A
4/30/2021417-124-86N/A
1/31/2021386-115-27-16N/A
10/31/2020354-114-42-31N/A
7/31/2020327-111-36-25N/A
4/30/2020300-104-38-26N/A
1/31/2020271-96-23-11N/A
10/31/2019245-79-18-7N/A
7/31/2019220-66-18-5N/A
4/30/2019198-59-15-4N/A
1/31/2019178-54-12-3N/A
10/31/2018159-51-23-13N/A
7/31/2018141-46N/A-18N/A
4/30/2018125-61N/A-16N/A
1/31/2018111-54N/A-14N/A
10/31/201798-50N/A-8N/A
1/31/201767-15N/A0N/A
1/31/201641-14N/A-5N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SMAR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: SMAR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: SMAR is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SMAR's revenue (14% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SMAR's revenue (14% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SMAR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (32.1%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/21 07:08
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/21 00:00
Earnings2024/10/31
Annual Earnings2024/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Smartsheet Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David HynesCanaccord Genuity
John DiFucciJefferies LLC
Brent ThillJefferies LLC