Rubrik Valuation

Is RBRK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RBRK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RBRK ($45.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($127.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RBRK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RBRK?

Key metric: As RBRK is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for RBRK. This is calculated by dividing RBRK's market cap by their current revenue.
What is RBRK's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio11.2x
SalesUS$732.88m
Market CapUS$8.03b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RBRK's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RBRK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.2x
OS OneStream
10.6x17.9%US$7.1b
S SentinelOne
11.9x18.7%US$8.8b
CVLT Commvault Systems
8.3x10.4%US$7.4b
DLB Dolby Laboratories
6.1x5.6%US$6.8b
RBRK Rubrik
11.2x19.7%US$8.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RBRK is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.2x) compared to the peer average (9.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does RBRK's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

81 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VYX NCR Voyix
0.6x-23.2%US$2.04b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.7x15.8%US$634.91m
XPER Xperi
0.8x1.8%US$378.82m
0.5x1.1%US$351.48m
RBRK 11.2xIndustry Avg. 5.1xNo. of Companies81PS048121620+
81 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RBRK is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.2x) compared to the US Software industry average (5.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RBRK's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RBRK PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio11.2x
Fair PS Ratio7.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: RBRK is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RBRK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$45.15
US$46.72
+3.5%
8.6%US$52.00US$38.00n/a18
Nov ’25US$41.38
US$45.17
+9.2%
8.5%US$52.00US$38.00n/a18
Oct ’25US$31.36
US$44.61
+42.3%
8.5%US$52.00US$38.00n/a18
Sep ’25US$34.82
US$45.19
+29.8%
7.5%US$50.00US$40.00n/a16
Aug ’25US$34.58
US$45.60
+31.9%
7.3%US$50.00US$40.00n/a15
Jul ’25US$30.00
US$45.86
+52.9%
7.2%US$50.00US$40.00n/a14
Jun ’25US$30.48
US$45.29
+48.6%
7.6%US$50.00US$40.00n/a14

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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