D-Wave Quantum Inc.

NYSE:QBTS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$11.1b

D-Wave Quantum Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

D-Wave Quantum is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 23.4% and 45.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 32.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -13.5% in 3 years.

Key information

23.4%

Earnings growth rate

32.55%

EPS growth rate

Software earnings growth19.8%
Revenue growth rate45.2%
Future return on equity-13.48%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated21 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article May 15

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:QBTS) After Its First-Quarter Results

D-Wave Quantum Inc. ( NYSE:QBTS ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 31

D-Wave Quantum Still Lags Behind The Industry Average, But Pessimism Is Somewhat Bloviated Post Q1 2026 Revenue Drop

Summary D-Wave Quantum Inc. underperforms peers on return and volatility metrics and remains more unpredictable than other pure-play quantum companies, but investor pessimism is exaggerated. Recent revenue declines were expected due to prior one-time sales; upcoming bookings and $42.4M in performance obligations could materially lift revenue in Q3 or Q4 2026. QBTS's stock is more sensitive to revenue than EPS, with recent contracts and backlog potentially driving a near-term re-rating despite sector hype and volatility. With $588.4M in cash and a six-year runway, QBTS is positioned to weather short-term unpredictability; a 'Hold' rating is justified over prevailing 'Sell' sentiment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article May 15

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:QBTS) After Its First-Quarter Results

D-Wave Quantum Inc. ( NYSE:QBTS ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for...
Seeking Alpha Apr 27

D-Wave Quantum: A Speculative Bet On The Quantum Wave

Summary Investing in D-Wave Quantum Inc. (QBTS) requires belief in quantum computing's potential and a long-term outlook due to high volatility and speculations. Quantum computing is in its early stages, akin to investing in the 1990s internet infrastructure, with significant risks and potential for transformative impact across industries. QBTS stands out with its quantum annealing tech, but faces competition and risks from evolving gate-based quantum algorithms and high speculative valuation. Consider QBTS as a speculative bet with potential; better to wait for price corrections around earnings for a more favorable entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 25

D-Wave: Too Complex, Too Uncertain, Just Avoid

Summary D-Wave Quantum's recent breakthrough in annealing quantum computing led to a 27% stock price jump, but I recommend selling due to high risks and uncertain profitability. The company's valuation is extremely high, with a price-to-sales ratio of 182, not suitable for investment. Technological breakthroughs, research funding, and industry growth are potential risks to my bearish thesis, but I assign a low probability to D-Wave's success. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 17

D-Wave Quantum: A Hot Stock, But I'll Pass

Summary I love the idea of quantum computing space, but D-Wave Quantum Inc.’s revenue visibility is too uncertain for my investment style. Paying 75x forward sales is a tough pill to swallow, especially when growth isn’t guaranteed. While D-Wave has a strong cash position, I question the sustainability of its recent momentum. I’ll be watching QBTS stock from the sidelines but need more consistent growth before jumping in. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 10

D-Wave: I No Longer See An Asymmetric Risk/Reward Bet

Summary I believe D-Wave thrived in a bull market, but the current macro environment no longer supports high-risk, high-beta plays. I believe D-Wave's stock moves more on external factors than on company achievements, as seen in weak reactions to major announcements like the first-ever HPC customer. I see paying 9.5x book value for a cash-burning company with $178M in reserves as unsustainable, especially in a tightening market. This year, I foresee a shift from speculative tech stocks to consumer defensives as inflation concerns and GDP slowdown reshape investor priorities. Given D-Wave’s 4.1 beta and broader market trends, I anticipate a significant decline, potentially into the $2–$3 range, before it finds a bottom. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 24

D-Wave Quantum: Another Rally To Sell

Summary D-Wave Quantum's stock has soared recently, but the business prospects haven't improved proportionally, leading to a bearish investment thesis. Despite having advanced quantum technology, D-Wave faces stiff competition from tech giants like Microsoft, limiting its market potential and revenue growth. The company raised significant cash through ATM offerings, but it remains far from achieving meaningful revenues, with 2025 estimates at just $16 million. Investors should consider cashing out during the rally, as D-Wave's high valuation and competition risk make it a less attractive long-term investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 22

D-Wave Quantum: Large TAM And First-Mover Advantage

Summary D-Wave Quantum, the first commercial quantum computing company, serves over 130 clients, including major firms like Mastercard and Lockheed Martin, with strong growth momentum. The company has a large and rapidly growing TAM, with significant potential in quantum hardware, software, and services, driven by its full stack offerings. Despite recent stock volatility due to comments from NVIDIA and Meta CEOs, QBTS CEO asserts the company is commercially ahead of competitors. Given the high volatility, I recommend a Hold rating on QBTS, awaiting more clarity on the commercialization roadmap before making a buying decision. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 14

D-Wave: The Only Quantum Computing Company For A Decade

Summary D-Wave has a significant first-mover advantage with commercially useful quantum annealing technology, unlike competitors who are decades away from viable quantum gate computers. A Recent capital raise at a higher share price reduced forecast dilution, and changes to its business model, including premium pricing, improve the margin outlook. D-Wave's sale of its first quantum computer and record bookings suggest it will exceed revenue forecasts, perhaps doubling medium-term revenue targets. Despite market volatility, D-Wave's unique position and growing commercial traction make it a strong buy, poised to outperform other quantum computing stocks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 04

D-Wave Quantum Stock Is Trading Above Its Fundamental Worth, But It's Too Risky To Bet Against It

Summary D-Wave has a notorious track record of missing revenue expectations. Its revenues are also declining YoY. The company is unprofitable and cash-burning, but has ample liquidity for 2–3 years due to a recent $175 million equity raise. D-Wave is trading at high valuations in an overhyped sector. At a 157x 1-yr forward P/Revenues, I can't make a good argument for being bullish, especially considering weak revenue progress. D-Wave is seeing strong technical bullish action on the monthly charts, and it is risky to go against such momentum. I am keeping an eye on the growing short interest levels, as that may increase the chances of a final short squeeze before an eventual reversal. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 28

Quantum Could Be 2025's Buzzword, But I Think D-Wave Quantum Is Dangerously Poised

Summary Quantum computing, leveraging qubits and superposition, promises significant advancements in optimization, drug discovery, financial modeling, and cryptography, despite current challenges in error rates and scalability. D-Wave Quantum, specializing in quantum annealing, offers a cloud-based service called Leap, attracting partnerships with major data operators despite being far from profitability. The company's share price surged in 2024, creating a gap between valuation and fundamentals, with a high price-to-sales ratio indicating speculative investment risks. Investors should exercise caution, as valuation metrics suggest shares could be significantly overvalued, emphasizing the need for thorough research and awareness of potential market corrections. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 16

D-Wave Quantum: Not Chasing This Rally Based Solely On Hope

Summary Quantum computing, while promising, is far from commercially viable; companies like D-Wave Quantum Inc. face significant financial challenges and high error rates in current technology. D-Wave Quantum's financials show minimal revenue growth, substantial operating losses, and continuous shareholder dilution, making it a risky investment. The recent hype around quantum computing stocks, driven by legislative support and advancements from major tech firms, has inflated valuations without fundamental operational shifts. The long-term viability of quantum computing companies depends on overcoming scalability issues and securing substantial funding, with big tech likely leading future advancements. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 27

Why I'm Doubling Down On D-Wave Quantum During This Pullback

Summary I believe D-Wave’s Leap platform stands out in quantum computing as a service, offering a reliable quantum annealing system actively used by big industry players. The integration of the Advantage2 processor in the Leap platform and the National Quantum Initiative Act reauthorization are two catalysts that could drive a significant increase in the share price. The 41% YoY growth in QCaaS revenue reflects a transition to stable, subscription-based income, with major clients like Lockheed Martin and Mastercard. Risks include a cash runway of six months, ongoing dilution risks, and the potential for a pullback below $2 before the catalysts materialize. While the stock faces short-term risks, I maintain a strong buy rating, betting on the narrative-driven growth of quantum computing. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 19

The Trump-Musk Effect: Can D-Wave Quantum Sustain Its Meteoric Rise Amid Financial Turmoil?

Summary D-Wave Quantum has experienced significant volatility, driven by the "Trump-Elon trade" hype, but financial struggles persist, warranting a Consensus Hold rating. The Trump-Elon effect has fueled speculative momentum in quantum computing stocks, with D-Wave gaining 64.4% amid political and investor excitement. Despite operational achievements and strategic partnerships, D-Wave's Q3 earnings reveal mounting losses, declining revenue, and significant financial distress. Investors should approach D-Wave cautiously, balancing speculative potential with the company's fundamental weaknesses and meme-stock tendencies. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:QBTS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028142-170-152-1368
12/31/202785-178-152-15616
12/31/202642-131-135-13716
3/31/202612-368-103-98N/A
12/31/202525-355-76-72N/A
9/30/202524-399-55-52N/A
6/30/202522-282-53-51N/A
3/31/202521-132-52-50N/A
12/31/20249-144-45-43N/A
9/30/20249-74-61-59N/A
6/30/202410-67-60-58N/A
3/31/202410-76-60-59N/A
12/31/20239-83-61-61N/A
9/30/20238-84-57-57N/A
6/30/20237-79-53-53N/A
3/31/20237-66-50-49N/A
12/31/20227-54-46-45N/A
9/30/20227-50-42-42N/A
6/30/20227-43-37-36N/A
3/31/20227-34-35-33N/A
12/31/20216-32-37-35N/A
12/31/20205-10-30-29N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: QBTS is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: QBTS is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: QBTS is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: QBTS's revenue (45.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: QBTS's revenue (45.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: QBTS is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/01 17:22
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/01 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

D-Wave Quantum Inc. is covered by 19 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David WilliamsBenchmark Company
Craig EllisB. Riley Securities, Inc.
William Kingsley CraneCanaccord Genuity