UiPath Valuation

Is PATH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PATH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PATH ($14.24) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($16.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PATH is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PATH?

Key metric: As PATH is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PATH. This is calculated by dividing PATH's market cap by their current revenue.
What is PATH's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.7x
SalesUS$1.38b
Market CapUS$7.83b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PATH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PATH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.5x
CVLT Commvault Systems
8.5x10.4%US$7.6b
TENB Tenable Holdings
5.8x9.3%US$5.1b
QLYS Qualys
9.5x7.2%US$5.6b
DLB Dolby Laboratories
6x5.6%US$7.7b
PATH UiPath
5.7x9.7%US$7.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PATH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.7x) compared to the peer average (7.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PATH's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

80 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VYX NCR Voyix
0.6x-23.2%US$2.12b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.7x15.8%US$704.88m
0.6x1.1%US$397.21m
XPER Xperi
0.8x1.8%US$390.47m
PATH 5.7xIndustry Avg. 5.3xNo. of Companies80PS048121620+
80 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PATH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.7x) compared to the US Software industry average (5.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PATH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PATH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.7x
Fair PS Ratio7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PATH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PATH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$14.24
US$15.53
+9.1%
9.7%US$19.00US$13.00n/a17
Nov ’25US$12.57
US$15.53
+23.5%
9.7%US$19.00US$13.00n/a17
Oct ’25US$12.40
US$15.76
+27.1%
9.9%US$19.00US$13.50n/a17
Sep ’25US$12.88
US$15.18
+17.8%
11.8%US$19.00US$13.00n/a17
Aug ’25US$11.80
US$15.47
+31.1%
12.8%US$19.00US$13.00n/a17
Jul ’25US$12.88
US$16.21
+25.8%
19.2%US$26.00US$13.00n/a17
Jun ’25US$12.26
US$16.00
+30.5%
20.2%US$26.00US$12.00n/a17
May ’25US$19.24
US$27.89
+44.9%
8.3%US$32.00US$24.00n/a20
Apr ’25US$22.19
US$27.99
+26.1%
8.3%US$32.00US$24.00n/a20
Mar ’25US$23.63
US$25.00
+5.8%
13.3%US$30.00US$17.00n/a18
Feb ’25US$23.11
US$24.17
+4.6%
15.2%US$30.00US$17.00n/a18
Jan ’25US$24.84
US$23.72
-4.5%
15.1%US$30.00US$17.00n/a18
Dec ’24US$25.04
US$23.56
-5.9%
14.7%US$30.00US$17.00n/a18
Nov ’24US$15.52
US$20.11
+29.6%
15.4%US$29.00US$16.00US$12.5718
Oct ’24US$17.11
US$20.11
+17.5%
15.4%US$29.00US$16.00US$12.4018
Sep ’24US$15.89
US$18.94
+19.2%
12.7%US$25.00US$16.00US$12.8817
Aug ’24US$17.79
US$18.88
+6.1%
13.0%US$25.00US$16.00US$11.8017
Jul ’24US$16.57
US$18.88
+14.0%
13.0%US$25.00US$16.00US$12.8817
Jun ’24US$17.93
US$18.88
+5.3%
13.0%US$25.00US$16.00US$12.2617
May ’24US$14.15
US$19.68
+39.1%
15.1%US$27.50US$16.00US$19.2417
Apr ’24US$17.56
US$19.66
+11.9%
15.3%US$27.50US$15.00US$22.1916
Mar ’24US$14.58
US$17.17
+17.7%
22.7%US$27.50US$12.00US$23.6318
Feb ’24US$17.10
US$17.17
+0.4%
22.7%US$27.50US$12.00US$23.1118
Jan ’24US$12.71
US$17.44
+37.2%
21.4%US$27.50US$12.00US$24.8418
Dec ’23US$12.92
US$17.36
+34.4%
22.0%US$27.50US$12.00US$25.0418
Nov ’23US$12.33
US$17.63
+43.0%
23.1%US$30.00US$12.00US$15.5219

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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