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BIT Mining Limited's (NYSE:BTCM) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
BIT Mining Limited (NYSE:BTCM) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 11% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, BIT Mining may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.9x and even P/S higher than 12x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for BIT Mining
How BIT Mining Has Been Performing
For instance, BIT Mining's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on BIT Mining's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For BIT Mining?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like BIT Mining's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 86%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 91% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we understand why BIT Mining's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What Does BIT Mining's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in BIT Mining have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of BIT Mining confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for BIT Mining (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of BIT Mining's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if BIT Mining might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:BTCM
BIT Mining
Operates as a cryptocurrency mining company in the Mainland China, the United States, and Hong Kong.