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Xanadu Quantum Technologies Limited

NasdaqGM:XNDU Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.9b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
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Xanadu Quantum Technologies Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Xanadu Quantum Technologies's earnings are forecast to decline at 22.6% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 26.5% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 73.1% per annum.

Key information

-22.6%

Earnings growth rate

73.12%

EPS growth rate

Software earnings growth20.5%
Revenue growth rate26.5%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated01 Sep 2026

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 25

Xanadu: Great Science, Too Much Success Priced In

Summary Xanadu demonstrates credible quantum technology, but current ~$3B valuation overprices the probability of timely technical success. Photon loss remains the core technical hurdle; management estimates a 5–10x gap remains to fault tolerance, with a new loss roadmap expected soon. XNDU holds $312.8M in cash and ample funding options, providing sufficient runway to reach key milestones without immediate dilution risk. At $10.95, XNDU trades above my base-case scenario; I rate it Sell until concrete technical progress justifies the current valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGM:XNDU - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202810-89-204-641
12/31/20279-102-135-843
12/31/20268-111-94-743
6/30/20267-106-81-71N/A
3/31/20267-79-66-59N/A
12/31/20255-71-77-68N/A
9/30/20253-58-65-55N/A
6/30/20253-49-60-50N/A
3/31/20252-46-56-49N/A
12/31/20242-46-48-42N/A
12/31/20232-36-40-30N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: XNDU is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: XNDU is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: XNDU is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: XNDU's revenue (26.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: XNDU's revenue (26.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if XNDU's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/09 06:42
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/09 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Xanadu Quantum Technologies Limited is covered by 3 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William Kingsley CraneCanaccord Genuity
Todd CouplandCIBC Capital Markets
Nehal ChokshiNorthland Capital Markets

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