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Paya Holdings Valuation

Is PAYA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PAYA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$7.76
Fair Value
25.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: PAYA ($9.74) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($7.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PAYA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PAYA?

Key metric: As PAYA is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PAYA. This is calculated by dividing PAYA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is PAYA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4.6x
SalesUS$282.74m
Market CapUS$1.29b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PAYA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PAYA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.3x
FSLY Fastly
2.6x9.2%US$1.4b
VNET VNET Group
2.2x9.7%US$2.4b
GDYN Grid Dynamics Holdings
6.1x15.9%US$2.0b
DAVA Endava
2.1x9.2%US$2.0b
PAYA Paya Holdings
4.6x9.5%US$1.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PAYA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PAYA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US IT Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KD Kyndryl Holdings
0.6x1.1%US$9.98b
DXC DXC Technology
0.3x-3.3%US$4.05b
RXT Rackspace Technology
0.2x0.4%US$659.95m
UIS Unisys
0.2x3.4%US$495.94m
PAYA 4.6xIndustry Avg. 3.7xNo. of Companies25PS02.85.68.411.214+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PAYA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the US IT industry average (1.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PAYA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PAYA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.6x
Fair PS Ratio2.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PAYA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
US$9.75
Fair Value
0.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2023/02/23 01:42
End of Day Share Price 2023/02/21 00:00
Earnings2022/12/31
Annual Earnings2022/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Paya Holdings Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark PalmerBTIG
Joseph VafiCanaccord Genuity
Joshua SieglerCantor Fitzgerald & Co.