MongoDB Valuation

Is MDB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MDB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MDB ($246.61) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($183.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MDB is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MDB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MDB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue10.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-76.4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MDB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MDB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.2x
OKTA Okta
6.9x11.1%US$16.5b
NET Cloudflare
18.6x21.2%US$28.1b
VRSN VeriSign
11.5x3.8%US$17.6b
AKAM Akamai Technologies
3.9x7.0%US$15.5b
MDB MongoDB
10.2x14.9%US$19.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MDB is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.2x) compared to the peer average (10.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MDB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US IT Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MDB is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.2x) compared to the US IT industry average (2.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MDB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MDB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio10.2x
Fair PS Ratio8.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MDB is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MDB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$246.61
US$305.13
+23.7%
13.2%US$400.00US$215.00n/a28
Aug ’25US$239.33
US$305.13
+27.5%
13.2%US$400.00US$215.00n/a28
Jul ’25US$263.51
US$331.47
+25.8%
26.2%US$700.00US$250.00n/a29
Jun ’25US$236.06
US$337.02
+42.8%
27.5%US$700.00US$250.00n/a31
May ’25US$373.33
US$446.59
+19.6%
15.4%US$700.00US$272.00n/a32
Apr ’25US$356.09
US$449.23
+26.2%
15.6%US$700.00US$272.00n/a31
Mar ’25US$436.84
US$469.80
+7.5%
14.6%US$700.00US$250.00n/a31
Feb ’25US$409.07
US$464.06
+13.4%
14.2%US$700.00US$250.00n/a31
Jan ’25US$408.85
US$457.88
+12.0%
10.9%US$500.00US$250.00n/a28
Dec ’24US$435.23
US$433.88
-0.3%
12.7%US$500.00US$250.00n/a28
Nov ’24US$339.02
US$427.69
+26.2%
14.1%US$500.00US$250.00n/a27
Oct ’24US$345.86
US$432.50
+25.1%
14.1%US$500.00US$250.00n/a25
Sep ’24US$392.88
US$421.58
+7.3%
16.1%US$495.00US$250.00n/a26
Aug ’24US$424.57
US$402.68
-5.2%
16.5%US$490.00US$210.00US$239.3325
Jul ’24US$410.99
US$398.08
-3.1%
16.4%US$490.00US$210.00US$263.5125
Jun ’24US$293.96
US$264.66
-10.0%
16.1%US$365.00US$180.00US$236.0624
May ’24US$225.77
US$256.16
+13.5%
14.3%US$365.00US$180.00US$373.3324
Apr ’24US$233.12
US$252.36
+8.3%
14.5%US$365.00US$180.00US$356.0925
Mar ’24US$209.97
US$262.92
+25.2%
16.9%US$365.00US$205.00US$436.8425
Feb ’24US$228.17
US$258.25
+13.2%
18.8%US$365.00US$170.00US$409.0724
Jan ’24US$196.84
US$262.09
+33.1%
18.8%US$365.00US$170.00US$408.8523
Dec ’23US$161.94
US$304.33
+87.9%
28.6%US$575.00US$190.00US$435.2321
Nov ’23US$181.45
US$348.05
+91.8%
20.8%US$575.00US$210.00US$339.0220
Oct ’23US$198.56
US$360.55
+81.6%
19.3%US$575.00US$210.00US$345.8620
Sep ’23US$241.11
US$369.48
+53.2%
16.6%US$575.00US$300.00US$392.8819
Aug ’23US$318.02
US$372.69
+17.2%
18.7%US$575.00US$270.00US$424.5719

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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