Keel Infrastructure Corp.

NasdaqGM:KEEL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.1b

Keel Infrastructure Balance Sheet Health

Financial Health criteria checks 2/6

Keel Infrastructure has a total shareholder equity of $328.7M and total debt of $1.0B, which brings its debt-to-equity ratio to 312.1%. Its total assets and total liabilities are $1.4B and $1.1B respectively.

Key information

312.07%

Debt to equity ratio

US$1.03b

Debt

Interest coverage ration/a
CashUS$715.52m
EquityUS$328.72m
Total liabilitiesUS$1.09b
Total assetsUS$1.42b

Recent financial health updates

No updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Aug 11

KEEL: Power Capacity Pivot To AI Hosting Will Drive Future Rerating

Keel Infrastructure's analyst price target has been revised from $3.00 to $4.50, with analysts pointing to recalibrated cash burn expectations and evolving views on high performance compute and AI colocation demand as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Keel Infrastructure shows a mix of optimism on high performance compute and AI colocation demand alongside rising questions about funding needs, cash burn and execution timing.
Seeking Alpha Aug 11

Keel Infrastructure: Beware Delta-Of-Ruin Profile

Summary Keel Infrastructure is rated Avoid/Hold due to a high-risk capital structure and regulatory headwinds threatening long-term viability. KEEL's strategy to withhold 2027 capacity aims to extract premium lease rates but exposes the company to liquidity burn and refinancing risks. Regulatory crackdowns on behind-the-meter load defection, especially FERC/PJM tariffs, could compress margins and disrupt the company's yield-on-cost assumptions. Monitoring lease structure outcomes, liquidity runway, and regulatory developments is critical for reassessing KEEL's risk/reward profile. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Jul 27

KEEL: AI Power Pivot And HPC Colocation Pipeline Will Drive Upside

The analyst price target for Keel Infrastructure has been revised upward to $6.55 from $6.22, with analysts pointing to increased Street price targets, supportive views on high performance compute and AI colocation demand, and an updated fair value and discount rate framework as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Street research on Keel Infrastructure has focused on how its power portfolio, contract pipeline, and customer mix could influence execution risk and valuation as the company positions itself around high performance compute and AI colocation.
Narrative Update Jul 10

KEEL: Repurposed Power Capacity Will Support Rising AI Compute Demand

Analysts have raised their price target for Keel Infrastructure to $9.94 from $7.00, citing stronger expectations for revenue growth, slightly lower discount rate assumptions, and updated views on profit margins and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts covering Keel Infrastructure are highlighting the company’s role in repurposing power assets that were previously tied to bitcoin mining, now aimed at supplying high performance compute capacity for large cloud and hyperscale customers.
Narrative Update Jun 26

KEEL: AI Power Reuse And Funding Will Shape Risk Balance

Analysts have raised their price targets for Keel Infrastructure toward $10, reflecting updated assumptions that include a higher fair value estimate, a lower discount rate, and stronger expectations for revenue growth and profit margins as the company repurposes power assets for high performance compute demand. Analyst Commentary Current analyst commentary on Keel Infrastructure centers on its move to repurpose existing power assets for high performance compute customers and how that shift might influence valuation, capital returns, and execution risk.
New Narrative May 25

Power Constraints And Cost Pressures Will Challenge Long Term AI Infrastructure Ambitions

Catalysts About Keel Infrastructure Keel Infrastructure develops large scale powered land sites in North America into high performance computing campuses leased to hyperscalers, neocloud, enterprise and government customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
New Narrative May 05

Long Term Power Access And AI Data Center Leases Will Drive A Transformational Future

Catalysts About Keel Infrastructure Keel Infrastructure develops and owns high power, North American HPC and AI data center sites for hyperscalers and neocloud customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
New Narrative Apr 21

Secured Power Capacity And Hyperscaler Leasing Will Reshape This AI Data Center Platform

Catalysts About Keel Infrastructure Keel Infrastructure develops and owns power rich, institutional grade data center campuses in North America for high performance computing and AI tenants. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: KEEL's short term assets ($896.5M) exceed its short term liabilities ($55.1M).

Long Term Liabilities: KEEL's short term assets ($896.5M) do not cover its long term liabilities ($1.0B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: KEEL's net debt to equity ratio (94.4%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: KEEL's debt to equity ratio has increased from 5.8% to 312.1% over the past 5 years.


Balance Sheet


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss-making in the past, we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: KEEL has sufficient cash runway for more than a year based on its current free cash flow.

Forecast Cash Runway: KEEL has less than a year of cash runway if free cash flow continues to reduce at historical rates of 28.3% each year


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/08/23 20:35
End of Day Share Price 2026/08/21 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

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Analyst Sources

Keel Infrastructure Corp. is covered by 12 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian KinstlingerAlliance Global Partners
Martin TonerATB Cormark
Nicholas GilesB. Riley Securities, Inc.