Commvault Systems, Inc.

NasdaqGS:CVLT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.9b

Commvault Systems Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Commvault Systems is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 26.1% and 10.1% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 31% per annum.

Key information

26.1%

Earnings growth rate

30.95%

EPS growth rate

Software earnings growth19.8%
Revenue growth rate10.1%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated07 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Apr 21

CVLT: Potential Sale And CFO Hire Will Reset Market Confidence

Analysts have trimmed the blended fair value estimate for Commvault Systems by about $2 to $136.46. This reflects a cluster of recent price target cuts and new neutral ratings that balance earlier bullish initiation against ongoing questions around AI risk, execution on potential asset sales, and leadership hiring.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 14

Commvault Systems: Circling The Wagons On Takeover Interest (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Commvault Systems (CVLT) is a strong buy, with management urged to reject any buyout below $130/share given sector M&A multiples and growth prospects. Despite a 60% share price drop and ARR headwinds, CVLT's cyber resiliency positioning, 22% ARR growth, and over $1B run-rate sales support long-term upside. Private equity interest, notably from Thoma Bravo, highlights undervaluation; current multiples (3.3x TTM sales) are well below recent sector deals. Risks include sector-wide multiple compression and ARR/customer churn, but CVLT's SaaS model and AI-driven demand remain compelling for patient investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 06

CVLT: CFO Hire And AI Security Alliances Will Rebuild Market Confidence

Analysts have trimmed the updated fair value estimate for Commvault Systems by about $1 to $138.38. This reflects slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and P/E multiples following a series of recent price target reductions and mixed research commentary.
Narrative Update • Mar 23

CVLT: AI Disintermediation Reset And CFO Hire Could Unlock Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for Commvault Systems by under $1 to $139.50. This reflects broader cuts across the Street as they factor in modestly higher discount rates, muted initial FY27 guidance, and ongoing execution and competitive questions.
Narrative Update • Mar 08

CVLT: AI Disintermediation Risk Reset Will Support Future Upside Potential

Commvault Systems' analyst price targets have been reset lower by several firms, often by $20 to $67 at a time. Analysts are factoring in AI-related disintermediation risk, questions around a potential Life Sciences and Healthcare segment sale, and softer peer multiples and security budget expectations.
Narrative Update • Feb 22

CVLT: Reset Sector Multiples Will Support Future Upside From Current Levels

Analysts have reduced their average price target on Commvault Systems by $67 to $140.33, citing modestly lower peer multiples, more cautious security spending, and increasing competitive concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Commvault Systems reflects a broad reset in expectations, with multiple firms cutting their price targets by amounts ranging from $10 to $67 and an average target now sitting at $140.33.
Narrative Update • Feb 08

CVLT: Reset Multiples And Higher Margins Will Create Future Upside Potential

Analysts have reset their price expectations for Commvault Systems, trimming the fair value estimate from about $175 to roughly $140 as they incorporate lower Street price targets, slightly higher discount rates, modestly softer revenue growth assumptions and a reduced future P/E, partly balanced by higher projected profit margins. Analyst Commentary Street research over the recent period has been dominated by a series of lower price targets for Commvault Systems, with multiple firms adjusting their views on valuation in light of changing sector multiples, security spending expectations and competitive considerations.
Analysis Article • Feb 01

Commvault Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVLT) Stocks Pounded By 31% But Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Commvault Systems, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CVLT ) share price has dived 31% in the last...
New Narrative • Jan 29

AI Resilience And Cloud Sovereignty Tailwinds Will Drive Long Term Upside Potential

Catalysts About Commvault Systems Commvault Systems provides data protection, cyber resilience and recovery software and SaaS for enterprises across hybrid and multi cloud environments. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Jan 24

CVLT: Shorter Contracts And Margin Pressure Will Create Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Commvault Systems to about $175 per share from roughly $187, reflecting a series of reduced price targets that cite slightly lower peer multiples, increased caution around security budgets, competitive concerns, and a less favorable margin outlook tied to shorter term contracts. Analyst Commentary Street research on Commvault Systems has centered on recalibrating price targets, with analysts weighing solid fundamental pillars against pockets of execution and competitive risk.
Narrative Update • Jan 09

CVLT: Shorter Contracts And Margin Pressure Will Set Up Attractive Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Commvault Systems, with one firm cutting its view to US$167 from US$217. This contributes to a slightly lower fair value estimate of about US$187, reflecting concerns about shorter contract durations and a softer margin outlook after the recent Q2 earnings miss.
Analysis Article • Jan 05

Commvault Systems (NASDAQ:CVLT) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Narrative Update • Dec 20

CVLT: Shorter Contracts Will Pressure Margins Yet Support Attractive Upside Potential

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Commvault Systems, trimming fair value by about $0.34 per share to approximately $193.36. They are factoring in slightly lower discount rates, a leaner future P E multiple, and near term margin pressure stemming from shorter contract durations, despite an overall positive quarter.
Narrative Update • Dec 06

CVLT: Shorter Contracts Will Shape Margins Yet Support Attractive Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Commvault Systems by $50 to $167, reflecting concerns that shorter term contract durations and the resulting pressure on margins could weigh on the shares in the near term, despite an otherwise solid quarter. Analyst Commentary Street research following the latest quarterly results highlights a mixed but generally constructive view on Commvault Systems, with the reduced price target reflecting a recalibration of expectations rather than a fundamental shift in the long term thesis.
Narrative Update • Nov 22

CVLT: Shorter Contracts Will Define Revenue Predictability And Near-Term Performance

Commvault Systems' analyst price target has been reduced by $1 to $193.70, as analysts cite concerns over shorter contract durations and a tempered margin outlook. This comes despite generally positive recent results.
Narrative Update • Nov 08

CVLT: Future Revenue Predictability Will Depend On Contract Duration Trends

Analysts have reduced their price target for Commvault Systems from $217 to $167. They cite investor concerns around shorter contract durations and a lower margin outlook following the company's recent earnings report.
Analysis Article • Nov 06

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Commvault Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVLT) Shares Dive 28%

Commvault Systems, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CVLT ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow...
Narrative Update • Oct 24

Expanding Margins And Cloud Momentum Will Drive Future Outperformance

Analysts have increased their price target for Commvault Systems by approximately $6.47 to $214.56 per share. They cite stronger revenue growth, expanding profit margins, and continued confidence in the company's robust market momentum and execution.
Analysis Article • Jul 28

Commvault Systems' (NASDAQ:CVLT) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Analysis Article • Jun 23

What Commvault Systems, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CVLT) P/S Is Not Telling You

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.6x Commvault Systems, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CVLT ) may be sending very bearish...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 21

Hold On Commvault Systems As Its Rich Valuation Offsets Secular Tailwinds

Summary CVLT basically delivers enterprise data protection across hybrid and multi‑cloud environments. For example, its Metallic BaaS suite and “Commvault Cloud” unify backup, cyber‑resilience, and AI‑driven recovery. Its latest quarter showed again promising revenue growth, with an ongoing revenue mix shift toward subscriptions. They’ve also managed to increase their market share slightly since 2019, which I think shows they’ve got a solid value add in this sector. Unfortunately, I believe CVLT’s strong subscription and revenue growth is offset by its expensive valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:CVLT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
3/31/20291,6451953383472
3/31/20281,45713429930717
3/31/20271,30612225526517
3/31/20261,18471237245N/A
12/31/20251,14787181189N/A
9/30/20251,09680209216N/A
6/30/20251,05381190194N/A
3/31/202599676204207N/A
12/31/2024944171207210N/A
9/30/2024898177219225N/A
6/30/2024866175206209N/A
3/31/2024839169200204N/A
12/31/2023819-1187192N/A
9/30/2023798-18174177N/A
6/30/2023785-27183187N/A
3/31/2023785-36167170N/A
12/31/202278716187190N/A
9/30/202279426183186N/A
6/30/202278423159162N/A
3/31/202277034173177N/A
12/31/202175532149155N/A
9/30/202174124138145N/A
6/30/2021734-19138146N/A
3/31/2021723-31116124N/A
12/31/2020697-288492N/A
9/30/2020685-317076N/A
6/30/202068236973N/A
3/31/2020671-68588N/A
12/31/2019688-17N/A93N/A
9/30/2019695-3N/A123N/A
6/30/20196975N/A117N/A
3/31/20197114N/A110N/A
12/31/20187144N/A97N/A
9/30/2018711-68N/A97N/A
6/30/2018710-70N/A89N/A
3/31/2018699-62N/A84N/A
12/31/2017681-60N/A90N/A
9/30/20176681N/A85N/A
6/30/20176592N/A96N/A
3/31/2017645-1N/A100N/A
12/31/20166385N/A108N/A
9/30/20166268N/A97N/A
6/30/2016608-1N/A87N/A
3/31/20165942N/A84N/A
12/31/2015586-2N/A83N/A
9/30/2015584-4N/A88N/A
6/30/201559412N/A110N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CVLT's forecast earnings growth (26.1% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: CVLT's earnings (26.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (17% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CVLT's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CVLT's revenue (10.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CVLT's revenue (10.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if CVLT's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

Discover growth companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/01 11:06
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/01 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2026/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Commvault Systems, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Shrenik KothariBaird
Joel FishbeinBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Joel FishbeinBTIG