Stock Analysis

Cipher Mining Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CIFR) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 33% Slump

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NasdaqGS:CIFR

The Cipher Mining Inc. (NASDAQ:CIFR) share price has softened a substantial 33% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 77%, which is great even in a bull market.

Even after such a large drop in price, Cipher Mining may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 5.4x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

See our latest analysis for Cipher Mining

NasdaqGS:CIFR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 15th 2025

What Does Cipher Mining's Recent Performance Look Like?

Cipher Mining certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Cipher Mining will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Cipher Mining's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 76% gain to the company's top line. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 71% as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 26%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Cipher Mining's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Cipher Mining's P/S?

Even after such a strong price drop, Cipher Mining's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look into Cipher Mining shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Cipher Mining that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.