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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Altair Engineering Inc. (NASDAQ:ALTR)
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 10.3x Altair Engineering Inc. (NASDAQ:ALTR) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.8x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
See our latest analysis for Altair Engineering
How Altair Engineering Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Altair Engineering has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Altair Engineering.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Altair Engineering's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.8%. Revenue has also lifted 25% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 9.4% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 13% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Altair Engineering's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
It comes as a surprise to see Altair Engineering trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Altair Engineering that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:ALTR
Altair Engineering
Provides software and cloud solutions in the areas of simulation and design, high-performance computing, data analytics, and artificial intelligence in the United States and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.