Stock Analysis

Adobe’s AI Expansion and Google Partnership Might Change The Case For Investing In Adobe (ADBE)

  • At Adobe MAX 2025, Adobe announced a sweeping set of new AI-powered tools across its Creative Cloud applications and revealed expanded partnerships with Google Cloud and YouTube to integrate industry-leading generative AI models and enable direct content publishing for creators. These updates include new AI assistants, improved video and image generation capabilities, enhanced enterprise content supply chain solutions, and the rollout of customizable, brand-specific AI models for both professionals and businesses.
  • The collaboration with Google Cloud and YouTube stands out, as it brings together cutting-edge AI technology with Adobe’s creative software, offering users greater flexibility, efficiency, and access to a wider ecosystem of advanced generative models.
  • We'll examine how Adobe's integration of Google’s advanced AI models into its creative apps could reshape the company's investment narrative.

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Adobe Investment Narrative Recap

To be an Adobe shareholder, you need to believe that the company's rapid AI innovation, especially the integration of third-party models through Creative Cloud, will help Adobe maintain its leadership as creators' needs evolve. The recent Adobe MAX updates, such as new partnerships with Google Cloud and YouTube, showcase Adobe's focus on expanding its ecosystem and product reach. However, in the short term, the biggest catalyst remains continued product adoption among professionals and enterprises, while execution complexity in integrating multiple AI models is an ongoing risk. At this stage, these announcements do not appear to materially change the company’s most immediate risks or catalysts.

The expanded partnership with Google Cloud, giving Adobe customers access to powerful generative AI models directly in their preferred apps, stands out as especially relevant. As organizations seek to create more content across channels, this collaboration could help streamline creative workflows and improve adoption of Adobe’s new subscription offerings, an area closely linked to growth catalysts. The impact will depend on how smoothly Adobe can blend partner models with its core products without adding friction for users or operational complexity behind the scenes.

But, while AI might unlock new opportunities, investors should be aware that increased reliance on external partners can also...

Read the full narrative on Adobe (it's free!)

Adobe's outlook anticipates $29.3 billion in revenue and $8.7 billion in earnings by 2028. This projection is based on a 9.0% annual revenue growth rate and a $1.8 billion increase in earnings from the current $6.9 billion level.

Uncover how Adobe's forecasts yield a $456.18 fair value, a 39% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

ADBE Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
ADBE Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Some of the lowest analyst forecasts before this news expected Adobe’s revenue to grow just 7 percent annually and profit margins to drop slightly. These analysts are far more cautious about risks around AI execution and user adoption, so it’s worth exploring how much your own views align with their more reserved expectations, and considering if the latest product launches might change those assumptions.

Explore 87 other fair value estimates on Adobe - why the stock might be worth as much as 83% more than the current price!

Build Your Own Adobe Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Adobe research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Adobe research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Adobe's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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