Onto Innovation (ONTO) Stock Overview
Engages in the design, development, manufacture, and support of process control tools that perform macro-defect inspection and metrology in the United States, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, China, Southeast Asia, Asia, and Europe. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 6/6 |
| Past Performance | 1/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
ONTO Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
Onto Innovation
26.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
Onto Innovation: The Advanced Packaging Chokepoint 51.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
View narrativeFU
Published 15 May
Onto Innovation Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$281.26 |
| 52 Week High | US$386.46 |
| 52 Week Low | US$107.55 |
| Beta | 1.58 |
| 1 Month Change | -16.63% |
| 3 Month Change | -13.16% |
| 1 Year Change | 153.43% |
| 3 Year Change | 126.11% |
| 5 Year Change | 264.94% |
| Change since IPO | 705.44% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Sep 03
ONTO: AI Inspection Demand And Rigaku X-Ray Alliance Will Drive Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Onto Innovation stock from $436.61 to $450.00, reflecting higher assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and an updated P/E multiple following a wave of new Buy and Overweight initiations and price target increases tied to AI driven inspection and metrology demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Onto Innovation highlights a cluster of bullish calls that focus on AI driven demand for inspection and metrology, record backlog levels and expectations for sustained execution on growth projects.Seeking Alpha • Aug 29
Onto Innovation: AI's Next Bottleneck Is Yield
Summary Onto Innovation is rated Buy, supported by robust process-control demand in advanced semiconductor packaging and expanding product breadth. ONTO's Q2 revenue rose 35% YoY to $343M, with non-GAAP operating margin at 30% and EPS at $1.93; management guides for accelerating growth in H2. Backlog conversion, Dragonfly G5 adoption, and integration of Semilab USA and Rigaku partnerships are key to sustaining above-market earnings growth. At ~$292, ONTO trades at a slight premium to historical multiples, leaving limited margin for execution errors but offering ~20% upside to $350 fair value. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Aug 18
ONTO: AI Packaging Demand And X-Ray Partnership Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Onto Innovation to about $388 per share from roughly $370, citing higher Street price targets around $360 to $450, as well as expectations for AI driven inspection and metrology demand, stronger revenue growth, wider profit margins and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Onto Innovation has been active, with a cluster of new initiations and higher price targets that focus on AI driven inspection and metrology demand, advanced packaging exposure and the current valuation setup.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Sep 03
ONTO: AI Inspection Demand And Rigaku X-Ray Alliance Will Drive Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Onto Innovation stock from $436.61 to $450.00, reflecting higher assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and an updated P/E multiple following a wave of new Buy and Overweight initiations and price target increases tied to AI driven inspection and metrology demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Onto Innovation highlights a cluster of bullish calls that focus on AI driven demand for inspection and metrology, record backlog levels and expectations for sustained execution on growth projects.Seeking Alpha • Aug 29
Onto Innovation: AI's Next Bottleneck Is Yield
Summary Onto Innovation is rated Buy, supported by robust process-control demand in advanced semiconductor packaging and expanding product breadth. ONTO's Q2 revenue rose 35% YoY to $343M, with non-GAAP operating margin at 30% and EPS at $1.93; management guides for accelerating growth in H2. Backlog conversion, Dragonfly G5 adoption, and integration of Semilab USA and Rigaku partnerships are key to sustaining above-market earnings growth. At ~$292, ONTO trades at a slight premium to historical multiples, leaving limited margin for execution errors but offering ~20% upside to $350 fair value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Aug 18
ONTO: AI Packaging Demand And X-Ray Partnership Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Onto Innovation to about $388 per share from roughly $370, citing higher Street price targets around $360 to $450, as well as expectations for AI driven inspection and metrology demand, stronger revenue growth, wider profit margins and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Onto Innovation has been active, with a cluster of new initiations and higher price targets that focus on AI driven inspection and metrology demand, advanced packaging exposure and the current valuation setup.Narrative Update • Aug 03
ONTO: AI Packaging And Metrology Exposure Will Shape Future Upside Potential
Onto Innovation's updated fair value estimate has increased from $355.60 to $369.60 as analysts factor in higher price targets tied to AI infrastructure spending, stronger expectations for G5 tool demand, and a larger role for the company across advanced packaging and metrology. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Onto Innovation gives you a mostly constructive picture, with several firms lifting price targets and starting coverage at premium levels.
Narrative Update • Jul 20
ONTO: AI Packaging And Advanced Nodes Will Drive The Next Leg Higher
Onto Innovation's analyst price target has been revised higher from $220 to $330, with analysts pointing to stronger modeled revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a richer future P/E multiple supported by AI related demand for advanced packaging, metrology, and the Dragonfly G5 platform. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Onto Innovation highlights a wide range of opinions on how much of the AI related opportunity is already reflected in the stock price.Narrative Update • Jul 06
ONTO: AI Packaging And Rigaku Metrology Partnership Will Drive Future Upside
Onto Innovation's analyst price target has shifted higher, with the fair value estimate moving from $370.00 to about $436.61 as analysts point to stronger expected revenue growth, increased future P/E assumptions, and supportive commentary around AI infrastructure demand and G5 tool momentum. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Onto Innovation centers on the stock's role in AI infrastructure and advanced packaging, with bullish analysts highlighting specific product cycles, end market exposure, and a series of higher price targets that feed into the current fair value framework.Narrative Update • Jun 22
ONTO: AI Packaging Demand And Rigaku Partnership Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects
Onto Innovation's analyst price target has moved modestly higher to about $356 from roughly $352, as analysts highlight stronger than expected demand for the Dragonfly G5 platform and broader advanced packaging and metrology exposure, reflected in recent initiations and target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Onto Innovation highlights a cluster of optimistic views around the company’s position in advanced packaging, metrology and the Dragonfly G5 platform, alongside a few areas where execution and valuation expectations remain key watchpoints for investors.Analysis Article • Jun 16
Onto Innovation (ONTO) Stock Could Be 11.6% Undervalued After Dragonfly G5 Orders And Rigaku Deal
Onto Innovation (ONTO) is back in focus after stronger customer uptake of its inspection tools, the launch of its Dragonfly G5 system with substantial orders, and a new Rigaku partnership including a planned equity stake. See our latest analysis for Onto Innovation. Onto Innovation’s recent news has arrived alongside strong share price momentum, with a 7 day share price return of 24.9%, a 90 day share price return of 70.88%, and a 1 year total shareholder return of 239.8%. This suggests...Narrative Update • Jun 04
ONTO: AI And Rigaku Partnership Will Support Higher Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Onto Innovation to $370 from $355, reflecting increased confidence in the AI focused Dragonfly G5 platform and the recent Q1 update. The revision also incorporates a richer assumed future P/E of about 45x, along with adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin, and discount rate assumptions.Analysis Article • May 18
We Think You Can Look Beyond Onto Innovation's (NYSE:ONTO) Lackluster Earnings
Investors were disappointed with the weak earnings posted by Onto Innovation Inc. ( NYSE:ONTO ). However, our analysis...Narrative Update • May 17
ONTO: HBM Demand And Rigaku Partnership Will Shape Future Upside Potential
Onto Innovation's updated analyst fair value estimate has shifted from about $281 to roughly $352, with analysts citing higher modeled revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and slight adjustments to the discount rate and future P/E assumptions as the reasons for the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Onto Innovation has been active, with several firms adjusting ratings and price targets in both directions.
New Narrative • May 15
Onto Innovation: The Advanced Packaging Chokepoint 51.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
Onto Innovation is emerging as one of the most strategically important semiconductor equipment companies in the AI supply chain. While much investor attention remains focused on GPU manufacturers and memory suppliers, the next bottleneck increasingly lies in advanced packaging — the complex process of stacking, connecting, and inspecting AI chips and HBM memory at nanometer precision.Narrative Update • May 01
ONTO: HBM Agreements And Guidance Will Support Higher Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Onto Innovation to $355 from $300, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple, supported by a series of recent price target increases and upgrades across firms such as B. Riley, Evercore ISI, Oppenheimer, Stifel, and Cantor Fitzgerald.Narrative Update • Apr 17
ONTO: HBM Demand And Advanced Packaging Progress Will Shape A Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Onto Innovation by about $15 to roughly $281. They cite a series of higher price targets across the Street, supported by expectations for steady revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Apr 03
ONTO: HBM Demand And New Contracts Will Drive Stronger Earnings Power
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Onto Innovation from $200 to $300, citing a series of recent price target increases tied to expectations for stronger revenue growth, high bandwidth memory related demand, and product momentum such as Dragonfly G5. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are clustering around higher fair value assumptions for Onto Innovation, with a series of price target increases and rating upgrades pointing to rising confidence in the company’s execution and exposure to high bandwidth memory demand.Narrative Update • Mar 20
ONTO: HBM Orders And 2026 Shift To Back End Tools Will Test Expectations
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Onto Innovation to $220 from $160, citing higher price targets across Wall Street that reference expectations for stronger revenue, a large high bandwidth memory equipment agreement, and continued optimism about the product roadmap and margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Onto Innovation has centered on stronger high bandwidth memory exposure, a sizeable US$240m volume purchase agreement, and management's updated revenue commentary for the first half of 2026.Narrative Update • Mar 06
ONTO: High Bandwidth Memory Demand Will Drive A More Constructive Medium Term Outlook
Analysts have raised their blended price target for Onto Innovation from $237.86 to $265.71, citing stronger expected revenue growth, higher future P/E assumptions, and continued interest in high bandwidth memory orders and product developments as key reasons for the change. Analyst Commentary Bullish and more cautious analysts are largely aligned on Onto Innovation's exposure to high bandwidth memory and advanced packaging, but they are assigning different levels of confidence around how consistently management can translate that exposure into results and how much of that is already reflected in the share price.Narrative Update • Feb 20
ONTO: Higher Street Conviction Will Shape A Balanced Medium Term Outlook
The updated analyst price target for Onto Innovation moves from about $172 to roughly $238, as analysts generally point to higher Street targets in the $200 to $275 range, along with stronger confidence around the product roadmap, including progress on Dragonfly G5, while using a slightly lower discount rate and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Onto Innovation has centered on updated price targets in the roughly US$200 to US$275 range, shifts in ratings, and how the company is positioned around product execution, including Dragonfly G5, and broader semiconductor capital equipment trends.Narrative Update • Feb 06
ONTO: Elevated Expectations May Confront Rotation Toward Back End Equipment In 2026
Analysts have raised their price targets on Onto Innovation from $54 to $60, citing updated models that reflect slightly higher estimated revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins, and a marginally lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Onto Innovation highlights both optimism around the business model and some emerging caution on how the stock is positioned within the broader semiconductor supply chain.Narrative Update • Jan 22
ONTO: Elevated Expectations May Clash With Memory Cycle And Order Volatility
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Onto Innovation from $90 to $160, citing higher assumed revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, and a richer future P/E multiple supported by recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Onto Innovation has leaned supportive on the stock, with multiple firms adjusting their price targets higher and updating models following company events such as the Semilab International acquisition.Narrative Update • Jan 08
ONTO: Memory And Semilab Integration Will Shape Balanced Medium Term Outlook
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Onto Innovation to $172 from $157, citing higher assumed profit margins and a slightly richer future P/E multiple, supported by recent price target increases tied to high bandwidth memory exposure and the Semilab International acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Onto Innovation centers on its exposure to high bandwidth memory, the impact of the Semilab International acquisition, and how the stock is valued relative to peers.Narrative Update • Dec 23
ONTO: Semilab Acquisition Set To Drive Stronger Earnings Power Ahead
Onto Innovation's analyst price target has been raised from $160 to $200 per share, as analysts factor in stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a modestly richer future earnings multiple supported by recent target hikes following the Semilab acquisition and an improving memory spending outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have steadily raised their price targets on Onto Innovation in recent months, citing improving fundamentals, strategic execution, and leverage to a recovering memory cycle.Analysis Article • Dec 23
Onto Innovation Inc.'s (NYSE:ONTO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 25% Share Price Bounce
Onto Innovation Inc. ( NYSE:ONTO ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...Narrative Update • Dec 09
ONTO: Memory Upswing And Semilab Synergies Will Drive Balanced Medium Term Upside
Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Onto Innovation higher by a mid single digit percentage into the high $150s, reflecting growing confidence in upside from the Semilab acquisition, a strengthening memory and high bandwidth memory spending cycle, and the potential for multiple expansion as orders recover. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight a constructive setup for Onto Innovation, pointing to rising price targets as evidence that the Semilab acquisition, memory cycle tailwinds, and a potential rerating in the companys valuation multiple are not yet fully reflected in the share price.Narrative Update • Nov 25
ONTO: Memory Spending Rebound Will Drive Market Share Gains And Upside Potential
Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Onto Innovation from $149.38 to $157.00. They cite recent model updates driven by accelerating revenue growth expectations, improved profit margins, and optimism following strategic acquisitions and industry tailwinds.Narrative Update • Nov 06
ONTO: Memory Spending Upswing And Market Share Recovery Will Drive Fair Value Stability
Onto Innovation's analyst price target has risen significantly, climbing from a prior consensus of $115 to $145 to a range of $160 to $170, as analysts cite renewed confidence in the company's positioning for re-accelerating memory spending and improved growth prospects in the coming year. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports on Onto Innovation highlight a surge in optimism regarding the company’s positioning in the semiconductor sector.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Raise Onto Innovation Price Target Amid Growth Momentum and Market Share Recovery Efforts
Onto Innovation's analyst price target has increased from $136.25 to $149.38, as analysts cite expectations of industry order upside and renewed growth momentum in the company’s core markets. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from street research highlight both the positive momentum and the potential risks analysts see for Onto Innovation in the months ahead.Narrative Update • Oct 08
AI Packaging And Semilab Acquisition Will Drive Expansion
Analysts have raised Onto Innovation's fair value estimate slightly from $133.75 to $136.25 per share. They cite renewed optimism for accelerated growth and market share recovery, despite near-term challenges.Analysis Article • Oct 02
After Leaping 29% Onto Innovation Inc. (NYSE:ONTO) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
The Onto Innovation Inc. ( NYSE:ONTO ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of...Narrative Update • Sep 24
AI Packaging And Semilab Acquisition Will Drive Expansion
Analyst sentiment on Onto Innovation has turned more positive due to expectations of revenue acceleration, market share recovery, and strengthening end markets, resulting in a higher consensus price target of $133.75. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts expect growth to reaccelerate in the second half of 2026 despite near-term hurdles.Narrative Update • Aug 08
AI Packaging And Semilab Acquisition Will Drive Expansion
Analysts have lowered Onto Innovation’s price target from $134.62 to $126.88, citing near-term headwinds, reduced growth visibility, and the absence of positive catalysts ahead of the next-generation Dragonfly platform launch. Analyst Commentary Expectation of continued headwinds impacting Onto Innovation over the next 3-6 months.Shareholder Returns
| ONTO | US Semiconductor | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 4.9% | -0.5% | -2.2% |
| 1Y | 153.4% | 50.1% | 13.1% |
Return vs Industry: ONTO exceeded the US Semiconductor industry which returned 50.1% over the past year.
Return vs Market: ONTO exceeded the US Market which returned 13.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| ONTO volatility | |
|---|---|
| ONTO Average Weekly Movement | 13.5% |
| Semiconductor Industry Average Movement | 11.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.9% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 15.4% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 2.9% |
Stable Share Price: ONTO's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: ONTO's weekly volatility (13%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1940 | 1,867 | Mike Plisinski | www.ontoinnovation.com |
Onto Innovation Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and support of process control tools that perform macro-defect inspection and metrology in the United States, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, China, Southeast Asia, Asia, and Europe. The company offers lithography systems and process control analytical software; and automated and integrated metrology systems, silicon wafer all-surface inspection, macro defect inspection, automated defect classification and pattern analysis, yield analysis, opaque film metrology, 4D business, advanced packaging lithography, process control software, and yield management software products. It also provides process and yield management solutions, and device packaging and test facilities through standalone systems for optical metrology, macro-defect inspection, packaging lithography, and transparent and opaque thin film measurements.
Onto Innovation Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| ONTO fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$13.20b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$132.61m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$1.12b |
104.1x
P/E Ratio12.3x
P/S RatioIs ONTO overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| ONTO income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$1.12b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$498.55m |
| Gross Profit | US$621.59m |
| Other Expenses | US$488.99m |
| Earnings | US$132.61m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 2.70 |
| Gross Margin | 55.49% |
| Net Profit Margin | 11.84% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 76.5% |
How did ONTO perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/11 21:52 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/03 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Onto Innovation Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Ted Moreau | Barrington Research Associates, Inc. |
| Craig Ellis | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Christopher Muse | Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. |