JinkoSolar Holding Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
JinkoSolar Holding is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 100.8% and 14.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 100.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 2.4% in 3 years.
Key information
100.8%
Earnings growth rate
100.68%
EPS growth rate
| Semiconductor earnings growth | 26.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 14.6% |
| Future return on equity | 2.37% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 29 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 26
JKS: Future Returns Will Hinge On Energy Storage Execution
Analysts have trimmed their JinkoSolar Holding price target from $35.23 to $30.90, reflecting updated assumptions around slower revenue growth, thinner profit margins, and a higher future P/E following recent mixed research that includes caution after a Q4 miss alongside a pair of upgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for JinkoSolar Holding, with some analysts turning more constructive following upgrades, while others remain cautious after the Q4 miss and the cut to the price target.
Narrative Update • May 09
JKS: Future Execution And Technology Progress May Support Bullish Repricing
Analysts have reduced their average price target for JinkoSolar stock from $66.10 to about $59.06, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E after mixed signals from recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view, with some analysts cautious after the Q4 miss and others taking a more constructive stance on JinkoSolar stock.
Narrative Update • Apr 23
JKS: Execution And Margin Risks Will Likely Restrain Future Share Upside
The analyst price target for JinkoSolar Holding has been raised from $17.00 to $19.00, as analysts factor in updated views on revenue growth, improved profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple, as echoed in recent research updates following the Q4 results and subsequent upgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around JinkoSolar highlights a split in sentiment, with some firms turning more constructive while others remain cautious after the Q4 results.Analysis Article • Apr 20
Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (NYSE:JKS) After Its Latest Results
It's been a sad week for JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. ( NYSE:JKS ), who've watched their investment drop 10% to...Narrative Update • Apr 09
JKS: Ongoing Losses And Margin Pressures Will Likely Cap Share Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target on JinkoSolar Holding to $17.00, citing updated assumptions that reflect slightly higher projected revenue growth, a modestly stronger profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around JinkoSolar highlights a mix of optimism on the business outlook and caution on the stock, with the updated US$17.00 price target framed around more measured assumptions for revenue, margins, and future P/E.Narrative Update • Mar 25
JKS: Elevated Execution Risks Will Likely Sustain Pressure On Thin Margins
Analysts have lifted their price target on JinkoSolar Holding to $17.00 from $17.00, citing updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a lower profit margin outlook, and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more cautious tone around JinkoSolar, even as some forecasts adjust underlying assumptions on growth, margins, and valuation multiples.Narrative Update • Mar 11
JKS: Large Expected 2025 Net Loss Will Limit Benefits From Margin Improvement
Analysts have reaffirmed their $17.00 price target on JinkoSolar Holding, citing small adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions rather than a change in their overall valuation view. What's in the News JinkoSolar issued preliminary unaudited earnings guidance for the year ended December 31, 2025, indicating an expected net loss attributable to shareholders of Jiangxi Jinko in the range of RMB 5,900 million to RMB 6,900 million (Corporate Guidance).Narrative Update • Feb 24
JKS: Large Expected Net Loss Will Constrain Benefits From Margin Improvement
Analysts held their average JinkoSolar price target steady at $17.00. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly stronger profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple that together support an unchanged fair value view.Narrative Update • Feb 08
JKS: Policy And Profitability Risks Will Limit Benefits From Margin Improvement
Analysts have lifted their price targets on JinkoSolar, with changes such as US$17 to US$25 and US$18 to US$20, citing improving gross margins driven by lower unit costs and a stronger outlook for energy storage shipments, while still flagging policy risks that could affect profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent research on JinkoSolar highlights a split view.Seeking Alpha • Feb 03
JinkoSolar: Facing A Double-Edged Sword
Summary JinkoSolar is initiated at Buy with a $29.8 target, implying 16% upside from current levels. JKS faces near-term margin and liquidity pressure but benefits from premium Tiger Neo modules and potential market share gains post-export tax rebate removal. The transition to high-power, high-efficiency modules is expected to drive margin stabilization and competitive positioning through 2026. Risks include a temporary Q1 2026 sales surge and subsequent demand volatility as export tax rebates expire and market dynamics shift. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jan 25
JKS: FEOC And Solar 4 Policy Headwinds Will Constrain Future Profitability
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for JinkoSolar Holding from US$20.00 to US$17.00. This change reflects updated assumptions around higher revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, and recent Street research that highlights improving gross margins alongside ongoing policy-related risks and a growing contribution from energy storage systems.Narrative Update • Jan 10
JKS: Policy Threats Around FEOC And Solar 4 Will Restrain Profitability
Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their blended price target range for JinkoSolar into the low to mid US$20s, citing sequential gross margin improvements, reiterated 2025 module shipment guidance, and a stronger outlook for energy storage contributions, alongside ongoing policy related profitability risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for JinkoSolar, with price targets lifted into the US$20 range but commentary that leans cautious on execution, policy exposure, and earnings quality.Narrative Update • Dec 27
JKS: Policy Risks Around FEOC And Solar 4 Will Cap Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their price targets on JinkoSolar Holding, with new estimates moving up into the low to mid $20 range. They point to improving gross margins, steady shipment guidance, and a stronger long term revenue mix from energy storage despite ongoing policy risks.Narrative Update • Dec 12
JKS: Policy Headwinds Will Limit Benefits From Rising Energy Storage Margins
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for JinkoSolar Holding from $17.00 to $20.00 per share, citing improving gross margins driven by lower unit costs and a stronger long term outlook for higher margin energy storage systems, despite ongoing policy related risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a cautiously constructive but still guarded stance on JinkoSolar, with price targets moving higher but ratings generally remaining restrained.Narrative Update • Nov 28
JKS: Future Results Will Rely On Energy Storage Amid Policy Headwinds
JinkoSolar Holding's analyst price target has increased, rising by $8 to a range of $20 to $25 per share. Analysts cite improved gross margins, strong energy storage shipments, and raised revenue growth expectations, despite ongoing profitability risks.Analysis Article • Nov 20
Earnings Update: JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (NYSE:JKS) Just Reported Its Third-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts
The quarterly results for JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. ( NYSE:JKS ) were released last week, making it a good time to...Narrative Update • Nov 12
JKS: Fair Value May Remain Resilient Despite US Clean Energy Policy Risks
Analysts have maintained JinkoSolar Holding's fair value estimate at $37.42. This reflects a stable outlook, as modest changes in projected revenue growth and discount rates offset slight adjustments in expected profit margin and forward P/E ratio.Narrative Update • Oct 28
Future Policy Headwinds Will Challenge Solar Expansion And Operational Progress
Analysts have raised their price target for JinkoSolar Holding from $33.52 to $37.42. They cite stronger projected revenue growth and improved profit margins as key factors behind the upward revision.Narrative Update • Sep 18
Supply Chain Optimization And ESS Expansion Will Secure Future Competitiveness
Despite a notably improved net profit margin and a sharp decrease in the forward P/E ratio, JinkoSolar Holding’s consensus analyst price target has been revised downward from $37.22 to $33.52. What's in the News JinkoSolar plans to sell up to 300.2 million A shares of its key subsidiary, Jiangxi Jinko, reducing its stake from 58.59% to approximately 55.59% in order to strengthen cash flow, support ongoing operations, and preserve future shareholder return capacity (Key Developments, 2025-09-12).Narrative Update • Aug 26
Supply Chain Optimization And ESS Expansion Will Secure Future Competitiveness
JinkoSolar’s consensus price target has increased, reflecting a sharply lower future P/E that indicates improved forward earnings expectations, despite a decline in net profit margin, resulting in a revised fair value of $37.22. What's in the News The Environmental Protection Agency, under the Trump administration, plans to terminate $7 billion in rooftop solar grants awarded to 60 recipients, potentially impacting broad expansion of distributed solar projects across the U.S. (The Washington Post) JinkoSolar successfully commissioned 21.6 MWh of energy storage systems for Distributed Energy Infrastructure, advancing reliable, dispatchable solar energy solutions under Massachusetts’ SMART program.Analysis Article • Jul 03
JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (NYSE:JKS) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 33%
JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. ( NYSE:JKS ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 33% share price jump in...Analysis Article • Jul 03
JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (NYSE:JKS) Stock Catapults 33% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry
The JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. ( NYSE:JKS ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...Analysis Article • Mar 29
Analysts Just Slashed Their JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (NYSE:JKS) Earnings Forecasts
Today is shaping up negative for JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. ( NYSE:JKS ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a...
New Narrative • Feb 15
Achieving 262% Efficiency With N-type TOPCon Will Improve Competitiveness
Investment in advanced N-type TOPCon technology and supply chain optimization is expected to enhance efficiency, competitiveness, and ultimately boost revenue and margins.Seeking Alpha • Feb 07
Jinko Solar: Thrived Against All Odds Showing Solar Market Resilience
Summary JinkoSolar is rated a buy due to its strong operational efficiency and resilience amid 2024's solar market headwinds, particularly in Europe. Despite a 70% decline in module prices, JinkoSolar maintained a 60% overseas shipment rate, showcasing its robust market leadership and efficient production. Significant R&D investments and strategic partnerships, including a $1 billion deal with Saudi Arabia, bolster JinkoSolar's market position and future growth potential. JinkoSolar is undervalued with a P/B ratio of 0.35, indicating a market mispricing and supporting the buy recommendation despite regulatory and economic risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 23
JinkoSolar: Bullish Chart, But Macro Risks Must Be Weighed (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Solar stocks, including the Invesco Solar ETF, have struggled in 2024, with TAN down 37% year-to-date, significantly underperforming the S&P 500. JinkoSolar has seen a 50%+ decline since August 2022, but I am upgrading shares to a hold due to potential earnings turnaround and favorable technical chart signals. JKS's Q3 results were mixed, with a revenue beat but an EPS miss; rising interest rates and US-China trade tensions remain key risks. Despite macroeconomic challenges, JKS shows a bullish reversal pattern, holding the 200-day moving average, making it a stock to watch in 2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 13
JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (NYSE:JKS) Stock Catapults 30% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry
Despite an already strong run, JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. ( NYSE:JKS ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...Analysis Article • Oct 25
Is JinkoSolar Holding (NYSE:JKS) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Seeking Alpha • Oct 11
JinkoSolar: Still Time To Buy On Deep Value
Summary JinkoSolar shows deep value with a 20% price increase since July, despite an expected Q3 decline; Q4 and FY25 forecast strong growth and a 25%+ 12-month return. Q2 saw a 21.6% year-over-year revenue drop and a net loss, but JinkoSolar remains the largest photovoltaic module provider, poised for future stabilization. Valuation metrics indicate JinkoSolar is undervalued; growth catalysts include N-type TOPCon technology and international expansion, predicting a $32.45 stock price by late 2025. Debt remains a concern, but improving operating efficiency and favorable near-term macroeconomics support a bullish outlook, especially amid rising sentiment for Chinese stocks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Sep 27
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.'s (NYSE:JKS) Earnings Yet
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...Seeking Alpha • Sep 24
Red, Blue, And Green Energy: JinkoSolar's Future In The Election Crossfire
Summary JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. is a global leader in solar tech but struggles with profitability and stock performance, heavily reliant on government policies and market pressures. Despite a low valuation and high dividend yield, JinkoSolar's declining earnings and financial challenges make it a risky investment, especially with the upcoming U.S. election. JinkoSolar's strong production capacity and technological advancements are notable, but the solar industry’s dependence on subsidies and policies creates uncertainty. Given the current dynamics, I rate JKS as a “Hold” due to its profitability issues and the potential impact of the U.S. election on the industry. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Sep 02
News Flash: 6 Analysts Think JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (NYSE:JKS) Earnings Are Under Threat
One thing we could say about the analysts on JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. ( NYSE:JKS ) - they aren't optimistic, having...Seeking Alpha • Jul 16
JinkoSolar: Deep Value Opportunity, Despite Balance Sheet Concerns
Summary JinkoSolar's balance sheet shows high debt, but management is actively working on improving it, evidenced by a reduction from $4.38B to $3.66B in total debt. The firm’s new N-type panels are expected to drive growth, with efficiency reaching 26.5% by end-2024, but the current negative free cash flow due to high capex is a concern. Valuation is attractive with a price-to-book ratio under 0.5, and if the debt issue is managed, potential for high long-term returns exists; stock price could appreciate 50% by end-2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jul 04
We Think JinkoSolar Holding (NYSE:JKS) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Jun 13
JinkoSolar Holding's (NYSE:JKS) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 94,997 | 1,171 | 3,399 | N/A | 6 |
| 12/31/2027 | 85,124 | 985 | 3,211 | N/A | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 71,820 | -1,175 | 8,247 | N/A | 6 |
| 3/31/2026 | 63,903 | -3,590 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 65,498 | -4,445 | -2,218 | 1,082 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 68,642 | -3,422 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 83,056 | -1,874 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 92,256 | 55 | 7,481 | 16,850 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 104,436 | 561 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 111,762 | 1,861 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 118,394 | 3,268 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 118,679 | 3,447 | -2,024 | 13,826 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 115,850 | 4,083 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 103,536 | 3,310 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 91,692 | 1,380 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 83,127 | 621 | -18,095 | -5,801 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 69,513 | 195 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 58,564 | -161 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 47,651 | 529 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 40,827 | 721 | -8,255 | 431 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 33,863 | 105 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 34,064 | -83 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 34,586 | 169 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 35,129 | 230 | -3,554 | 591 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 35,234 | 977 | -3,402 | -398 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 33,946 | 1,334 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 32,408 | 1,141 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 29,746 | 899 | N/A | 1,411 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 27,937 | 644 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 27,150 | 469 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 26,298 | 443 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 25,043 | 406 | N/A | 615 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 23,675 | 314 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 23,400 | 136 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 25,263 | 85 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 26,473 | 142 | N/A | -177 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 25,242 | 265 | N/A | -2,355 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 24,154 | 466 | N/A | -2,305 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 21,896 | 669 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 21,401 | 991 | N/A | -1,803 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 21,731 | 1,289 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 20,452 | 1,272 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 17,986 | 1,098 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 15,454 | 767 | N/A | 1,339 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 12,974 | 567 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 11,482 | 653 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: JKS is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: JKS is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: JKS is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: JKS's revenue (14.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: JKS's revenue (14.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: JKS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (2.4%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/03 03:46 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/03 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. is covered by 19 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Wanping Yeh | Barclays |
| null null | China International Capital Corporation Limited |
| Pierre Maccagno | Colliers Securities |