Texas Instruments Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 3/6
Texas Instruments's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -10.4%, while the Semiconductor industry saw earnings growing at 1.3% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 1.5% per year. Texas Instruments's return on equity is 32%, and it has net margins of 28.9%.
Key information
-10.43%
Earnings growth rate
-10.11%
EPS growth rate
| Semiconductor Industry Growth | 27.66% |
| Revenue growth rate | -1.45% |
| Return on equity | 31.99% |
| Net Margin | 28.94% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 13
TXN: Capex Plans And Inventory Range Will Shape Next Free Cash Flow Cycle
Analysts have lifted the implied fair value for Texas Instruments to $280.63 from $222.96, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the main factors behind their higher price targets across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Texas Instruments has leaned more positive, with a cluster of higher price targets and several rating upgrades from large firms and independent research houses.
Narrative Update • Apr 28
TXN: Higher Inventory And Capex Plans Will Pressure Free Cash Flow
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Texas Instruments from $160 to about $209.61 as they factor in expectations for higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, and a richer future P/E multiple, following a wave of higher Street price targets and several recent upgrades. Analyst Commentary Street research around Texas Instruments has been active, with a cluster of higher price targets and several upgrades pointing to a more constructive stance on the shares.Seeking Alpha • Apr 27
Texas Instruments: The Backbone Of The Data Center Revolution
Summary Texas Instruments Incorporated is positioned for significant growth as global data center capacity is expected to double by 2030, driving demand for analog and power chips. TXN’s acquisition of Silicon Labs enhances its technology stack and is expected to deliver $450M in synergies through integration and insourcing. Strong balance sheet, operational leverage, and power infrastructure tailwinds are projected to sustain TXN’s momentum through at least the end of the decade. I reiterate TXN as a Strong Buy rating with a $415/share price target, supported by robust analog and embedded processing demand and domestic production expansion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Apr 16
Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN): The "Analog Anchor" and the FY2026 Structural Inflection
Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) , the bedrock of the global analog semiconductor market, demonstrated a shift in its strategic gears as of Thursday, April 16, 2026 , signaling that its massive multi-year investment cycle is finally transitioning toward harvest.Narrative Update • Apr 13
TXN: Capex Discipline And Inventory Reset Will Shape Next Free Cash Flow Cycle
Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Texas Instruments by about $4 to $222.96, reflecting a series of recent price target hikes and upgrades that cite expectations for revenue trends, capital spending plans and free cash flow recovery, even as some remain cautious on longer term margin and inventory assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Texas Instruments reflects a mix of optimism on free cash flow and capital deployment, alongside some caution on how inventory plans and future capital spending could affect margins and valuation over time.
Narrative Update • Mar 30
TXN: Updated Capex And Inventory Plan Will Support Stronger Long Term Cash Generation
Analysts have nudged Texas Instruments' average price target higher into the mid $200s, citing a series of raised Street targets and updated views on capex, inventory levels and free cash flow scenarios that align with slightly stronger revenue growth and margin assumptions in the refreshed model. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Texas Instruments has centered on capex, inventory policy and free cash flow, with analysts recalibrating their models around the company’s updated capital management framework.Narrative Update • Mar 16
TXN: Evolving Capex And Inventory Framework Will Support Stronger Future Cash Generation
Texas Instruments' analyst price targets have broadly moved higher, with several firms lifting their views by $5 to $45 as analysts factor in updated capex plans, inventory intentions, and expectations for the company's revenue and free cash flow scenarios. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are largely focused on Texas Instruments' updated capital plans, inventory framework, and potential for free cash flow, using these inputs to refresh their valuation work and lift price targets across the board.Narrative Update • Mar 02
TXN: Higher Capex And Inventory Levels Will Set Up Future Rebound
The analyst price target for Texas Instruments has increased from $245 to $270, as analysts incorporate updated views on capital expenditure intensity, inventory levels, and revenue and free cash flow scenarios reflected in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Texas Instruments points to a more constructive tone from bullish analysts, who are updating their models around capital intensity, inventory levels, and potential free cash flow outcomes.Narrative Update • Feb 16
TXN: Higher Street Conviction And Tariff Uncertainty Will Shape Next Cycle
The analyst fair value estimate for Texas Instruments has shifted from about $191 to roughly $219. Analysts attribute this change to updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple following a wave of recent price target increases across the Street.Analysis Article • Feb 05
Investors Appear Satisfied With Texas Instruments Incorporated's (NASDAQ:TXN) Prospects As Shares Rocket 26%
Despite an already strong run, Texas Instruments Incorporated ( NASDAQ:TXN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain...Narrative Update • Feb 02
TXN: Richer P E Framework Will Test 30% Margin Assumptions
Analysts have raised their price target framework for Texas Instruments to $160.00 from $141.27, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly richer future P/E multiple, and a profit margin outlook that now centers closer to 30%. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Texas Instruments has been active, with several firms revisiting their models and resetting price targets.Narrative Update • Jan 19
TXN: Inventory Discipline And Tariff Uncertainty Will Guide Cyclical Recovery Path
The analyst price target for Texas Instruments has moved modestly higher to reflect an updated fair value of about $191 compared with roughly $189 previously. Analysts are factoring in recent Street research that balances concerns about pressure on margins and fab utilization with continued long-term confidence, as reflected in multiple target increases and maintained positive ratings.Narrative Update • Jan 05
TXN: Margin Reset And Cyclical Softness Will Set Up Future Rebound
Narrative Update Analysts have reduced the implied fair value for Texas Instruments to $245 from $260. This reflects updated views on higher required returns, more moderate revenue growth, softer profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple following recent price target cuts and more cautious commentary on margins, utilization, and end demand.Narrative Update • Dec 14
TXN: Inventory Discipline And Shifting Tariff Landscape Will Shape Cyclical Recovery Path
Analysts have trimmed their blended price target on Texas Instruments by less than $1 to approximately $189. This reflects slightly lower margin expectations and a slower than typical early-cycle recovery, even as revenue growth assumptions edge modestly higher.Narrative Update • Nov 28
TXN: Inventory Discipline And Tariff Delay Will Support Modest Recovery Ahead
Analysts have lowered their price targets for Texas Instruments, with estimates now ranging from $150 to $210. This reflects concerns about margin pressures, mixed earnings results, stabilizing rather than improving inventory cycles, and the company's exposure to macroeconomic headwinds.Narrative Update • Nov 14
TXN: Dividend Increase And Inventory Management Will Support Future Shareholder Returns
Texas Instruments’ analyst price target has been reduced by analysts from approximately $190 to $189 per share. They cite ongoing gross margin pressure, inventory normalization, a lack of near-term catalysts, and broader market uncertainty as primary factors influencing their outlook.Narrative Update • Oct 31
TXN: Gross Margins And Low Inventories Will Drive Recovery If Demand Normalizes
Texas Instruments' analyst price target has decreased by approximately $13 to around $190, as analysts cite narrowing margins, slower revenue growth, and macroeconomic uncertainty for their more cautious outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports reveal a mix of cautiousness and confidence regarding Texas Instruments, with notable opinions on the company’s valuation, earnings prospects, and sector dynamics.Narrative Update • Oct 16
Industrial Automation And Automotive Semiconductors Will Shape Future Markets
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Texas Instruments, reducing it by $2.36 to $203.06. This adjustment is attributed to a muted pace of recovery, cautious management outlooks, and persistent uncertainty around tariffs and market inventories.Analysis Article • Oct 16
Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $1.42
The board of Texas Instruments Incorporated ( NASDAQ:TXN ) has announced that the dividend on 12th of November will be...Analysis Article • Sep 23
Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $1.42
The board of Texas Instruments Incorporated ( NASDAQ:TXN ) has announced that the dividend on 12th of November will be...Analysis Article • Aug 01
Texas Instruments Incorporated Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Texas Instruments Incorporated ( NASDAQ:TXN ) just released its quarterly report and things are looking bullish. The...Analysis Article • Jun 18
Texas Instruments Incorporated's (NASDAQ:TXN) P/E Is On The Mark
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may...Analysis Article • Jun 02
Are Texas Instruments Incorporated (NASDAQ:TXN) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Texas Instruments is US$149 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
Texas Instruments Q1: Better Than Feared For Now
Summary Texas Instruments Incorporated reports a genuine recovery in analog demand, especially in the industrial sector, after seven quarters of decline. Despite improved margins and revenue growth, tariff risks pose significant challenges for sustained growth. Management emphasizes flexibility in production to mitigate geopolitical risks, but Chinese revenue exposure remains a concern. Given the uncertainties, I prefer Infineon or NXPI over TXN stock for better positioning in the current cycle. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNew Narrative • Apr 08
300-Millimeter Capacity Expansion Will Unlock Market Opportunities
Declines in industrial and automotive markets suppress revenue growth, affecting a significant portion of the business.New Narrative • Apr 07
Expanding 300-Millimeter Capacity Will Shape The Semiconductor Landscape
Strategic investment in manufacturing capabilities is expected to bolster revenue growth and profitability through efficient demand fulfillment and reduced production costs.Seeking Alpha • Mar 28
Texas Instruments: Decent Potential, But Currently Overvalued
Summary I rate Texas Instruments as a HOLD due to its overvaluation and low financial growth, despite future potential in the EV markets. TXN's revenue growth is driven mainly by the analog segment, particularly in the automotive and industrial sectors, but overall financial growth remains low. The company's high P/E and P/FCF ratios, declining net income, and falling free cash flow indicate overvaluation and potential risks for dividend sustainability. Intrinsic value calculations suggest TXN is overvalued by approximately 28.53%, reinforcing my HOLD rating despite the promising growth in the EV market. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 21
Texas Instruments Looks Appealing With Expected Cash Flow Improvements (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Texas Instruments' stock has become more appealing due to a slight price drop and improved clarity on CapEx spending, so I'm upgrading my rating to a buy. Despite weak margins in 2024, signs of semiconductor industry recovery and expected earnings growth make current valuations reasonable. Texas Instruments' strong dividend yield and commitment to returning cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks enhance its investment appeal. Investors should monitor TXN's margins and CapEx spending in 2025 and 2026, as these are crucial for future share price and dividend growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 17
Texas Instruments Q4 Preview: Fixing Inventory Levels (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Texas Instruments Incorporated's inventory issues are improving, offering potential for outperformance in 2025, though shares remain expensive and Q4 earnings are critical. Despite past revenue declines and overvaluation, TXN is starting to manage inventory better, presenting a unique opportunity. Texas Instruments' analog technology is crucial for AI applications, but the market remains pessimistic; I believe there's room for shares to beat expectations. Valuation metrics are stretched; while the company has potential in AI, inventory control and future growth remain key uncertainties, leading to a cautious hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 27
Why Texas Instruments Leads In Capital Allocation
Summary I rate Texas Instruments as a "hold" due to strategic, long-term investments and growth in the Chinese auto industry. I believe Texas Instruments will maintain a strong position in the market, with a market share remaining around 18%-19%. Texas Instruments, a top 15 semiconductor company, excels in the analog market with a strong history and commitment to capital allocation. With a 7.3% position at an average price of $152.59 and a fair value of $160.60, I see no reason to buy more or sell at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 02
Texas Instruments: Stuck In The Middle, Borderline Hold
Summary Texas Instruments offers stability and a 2.7% dividend yield, making it attractive in a tech sector with few high-yield options. My portfolio strategy includes TXN for sector diversification, but I prefer high-yield stocks and covered call ETFs for income and downside protection. TXN's profitability secures its place on my watchlist, but its limited short-term growth potential keeps my position size lower. Since purchasing TXN, I've seen a 13% gain in 7 months, but I remain cautious due to its lack of compelling short-term catalysts. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Texas Instruments makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 18,438 | 5,336 | 1,863 | 2,076 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 17,682 | 4,973 | 1,874 | 2,083 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 17,266 | 5,016 | 1,748 | 2,053 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 16,675 | 5,015 | 1,717 | 2,027 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 16,049 | 4,848 | 1,802 | 1,998 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 15,641 | 4,775 | 1,785 | 1,959 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 15,711 | 4,940 | 1,705 | 1,928 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 16,092 | 5,284 | 1,730 | 1,907 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 16,801 | 5,877 | 1,726 | 1,886 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 17,519 | 6,476 | 1,841 | 1,863 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 18,112 | 7,064 | 1,833 | 1,837 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 18,821 | 7,649 | 1,825 | 1,797 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 19,502 | 8,216 | 1,802 | 1,734 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 20,028 | 8,709 | 1,614 | 1,670 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 20,190 | 8,885 | 1,690 | 1,625 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 19,592 | 8,540 | 1,662 | 1,582 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 18,960 | 8,183 | 1,655 | 1,559 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 18,344 | 7,736 | 1,658 | 1,554 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 17,588 | 7,288 | 1,656 | 1,553 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 16,762 | 6,696 | 1,650 | 1,551 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 15,421 | 6,145 | 1,625 | 1,539 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 14,461 | 5,568 | 1,616 | 1,530 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 13,735 | 4,951 | 1,629 | 1,528 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 13,689 | 5,021 | 1,625 | 1,521 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 14,118 | 4,944 | 1,650 | 1,532 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 14,383 | 4,985 | 1,650 | 1,544 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 14,750 | 5,152 | 1,679 | 1,558 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 15,240 | 5,294 | 1,683 | 1,569 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 15,589 | 5,391 | 1,699 | 1,563 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 15,784 | 5,537 | 1,716 | 1,559 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 15,817 | 4,649 | 1,724 | 1,545 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 15,672 | 4,363 | 1,745 | 1,530 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 15,348 | 4,016 | 1,742 | 1,524 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 14,961 | 3,648 | 1,754 | 1,508 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 14,625 | 4,339 | 1,758 | 1,462 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 14,184 | 4,072 | 1,777 | 1,440 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 13,764 | 3,835 | 1,797 | 1,403 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 13,370 | 3,550 | 1,798 | 1,356 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 13,145 | 3,341 | 1,785 | 1,322 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 12,899 | 3,121 | 1,764 | 1,285 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 12,858 | 2,998 | 1,766 | 1,264 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 13,000 | 2,943 | 1,776 | 1,267 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 13,080 | 2,931 | 1,772 | 1,285 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 13,152 | 2,958 | 1,801 | 1,301 |
Quality Earnings: TXN has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: TXN's current net profit margins (28.9%) are lower than last year (30.2%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: TXN's earnings have declined by 10.4% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: TXN's earnings growth over the past year (10.1%) exceeds its 5-year average (-10.4% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: TXN earnings growth over the past year (10.1%) did not outperform the Semiconductor industry 14.5%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: TXN's Return on Equity (32%) is considered high.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/18 03:32 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/15 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Texas Instruments Incorporated is covered by 65 analysts. 35 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| George Chang | Aletheia Analyst Network Limited |
| Alexi Unger | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Brett Simpson | Arete Research Services LLP |