Semtech Corporation

NasdaqGS:SMTC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.4b

Semtech Valuation

Is SMTC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SMTC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SMTC ($63.55) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($51.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SMTC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SMTC?

Key metric: As SMTC is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SMTC. This is calculated by dividing SMTC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SMTC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio6.3x
SalesUS$851.23m
Market CapUS$5.39b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SMTC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SMTC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.2x
CRUS Cirrus Logic
2.8x2.3%US$5.3b
TSEM Tower Semiconductor
4.1x9.2%US$5.7b
RMBS Rambus
10.8x14.1%US$5.6b
OLED Universal Display
11x14.9%US$7.1b
SMTC Semtech
6.3x18.6%US$5.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SMTC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.3x) compared to the peer average (7.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SMTC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Semiconductor Industry?

19 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings
0.8x10.5%US$1.58b
JKS JinkoSolar Holding
0.09x9.6%US$1.27b
DQ Daqo New Energy
0.9x24.0%US$1.16b
PENG Penguin Solutions
0.8x11.9%US$986.40m
SMTC 6.3xIndustry Avg. 4.1xNo. of Companies19PS03.67.210.814.418+
19 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SMTC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.3x) compared to the US Semiconductor industry average (4.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SMTC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SMTC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio6.3x
Fair PS Ratio5.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SMTC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SMTC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$63.55
US$74.20
+16.8%
8.5%US$85.00US$65.00n/a10
Dec ’25US$64.04
US$72.70
+13.5%
10.2%US$85.00US$60.00n/a10
Nov ’25US$44.54
US$55.60
+24.8%
17.0%US$80.00US$46.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$42.08
US$55.60
+32.1%
17.0%US$80.00US$46.00n/a10
Sep ’25US$43.82
US$55.60
+26.9%
17.0%US$80.00US$46.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$30.81
US$51.80
+68.1%
9.4%US$60.00US$45.00n/a10
Jul ’25US$31.50
US$51.80
+64.4%
9.4%US$60.00US$45.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$38.89
US$44.05
+13.3%
16.2%US$60.00US$36.00n/a10
May ’25US$37.64
US$40.65
+8.0%
10.5%US$50.00US$36.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$29.37
US$40.15
+36.7%
12.5%US$50.00US$31.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$22.30
US$31.40
+40.8%
17.6%US$42.00US$25.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$19.77
US$31.40
+58.8%
17.6%US$42.00US$25.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$21.91
US$30.50
+39.2%
20.6%US$42.00US$22.00n/a10
Dec ’24US$16.82
US$32.70
+94.4%
19.3%US$46.00US$24.00US$64.0410
Nov ’24US$13.43
US$32.90
+145.0%
18.4%US$46.00US$25.00US$44.5410
Oct ’24US$25.75
US$35.67
+38.5%
19.3%US$49.00US$30.00US$42.089
Sep ’24US$26.56
US$39.00
+46.8%
23.1%US$56.00US$28.00US$43.8210
Aug ’24US$28.80
US$39.00
+35.4%
23.1%US$56.00US$28.00US$30.8110
Jul ’24US$25.46
US$38.80
+52.4%
22.3%US$54.00US$28.00US$31.5010
Jun ’24US$22.23
US$39.56
+77.9%
28.6%US$62.00US$25.00US$38.899
May ’24US$19.25
US$40.11
+108.4%
26.6%US$62.00US$28.00US$37.649
Apr ’24US$24.14
US$41.75
+72.9%
25.1%US$62.00US$28.00US$29.378
Mar ’24US$31.10
US$42.50
+36.7%
22.7%US$63.00US$32.00US$22.308
Feb ’24US$34.42
US$42.50
+23.5%
22.7%US$63.00US$32.00US$19.778
Jan ’24US$28.69
US$42.50
+48.1%
22.7%US$63.00US$32.00US$21.918
Dec ’23US$29.82
US$42.50
+42.5%
22.7%US$63.00US$32.00US$16.828

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 03:07
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/10/27
Annual Earnings2024/01/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Semtech Corporation is covered by 29 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Tristan GerraBaird
Cody AcreeBenchmark Company
Sumit DhandaBofA Global Research