Stock Analysis

Pixelworks (NASDAQ:PXLW) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

NasdaqGM:PXLW
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

So, the natural question for Pixelworks (NASDAQ:PXLW) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

View our latest analysis for Pixelworks

SWOT Analysis for Pixelworks

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
Opportunity
  • Has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on current free cash flows.
  • Good value based on P/S ratio compared to estimated Fair P/S ratio.
Threat
  • Not expected to become profitable over the next 3 years.

Does Pixelworks Have A Long Cash Runway?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. In March 2023, Pixelworks had US$63m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$18m. Therefore, from March 2023 it had 3.5 years of cash runway. A runway of this length affords the company the time and space it needs to develop the business. Importantly, if we extrapolate recent cash burn trends, the cash runway would be noticeably longer. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:PXLW Debt to Equity History May 11th 2023

How Well Is Pixelworks Growing?

Pixelworks boosted investment sharply in the last year, with cash burn ramping by 50%. That's not ideal, but we're made even more nervous given that operating revenue was flat over the same period. Taken together, we think these growth metrics are a little worrying. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

Can Pixelworks Raise More Cash Easily?

Pixelworks seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Since it has a market capitalisation of US$90m, Pixelworks' US$18m in cash burn equates to about 20% of its market value. That's fairly notable cash burn, so if the company had to sell shares to cover the cost of another year's operations, shareholders would suffer some costly dilution.

So, Should We Worry About Pixelworks' Cash Burn?

Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Pixelworks' cash runway was relatively promising. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Pixelworks' situation. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Pixelworks that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.