Universal Display Corporation

NasdaqGS:OLED Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.3b

Universal Display Valuation

Is OLED undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OLED when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OLED ($156.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($177.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OLED is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OLED?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

OLED key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue11.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA26.1x
PEG Ratio2.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OLED's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OLED vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45x
MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings
97.3x34.8%US$7.1b
RMBS Rambus
18.3x-10.5%US$6.1b
CRUS Cirrus Logic
26.4x15.7%US$4.5b
LSCC Lattice Semiconductor
38x-12.9%US$9.3b
OLED Universal Display
36.7x16.4%US$7.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OLED is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.7x) compared to the peer average (45x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OLED's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OLED is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.7x) compared to the US Semiconductor industry average (27.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OLED's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OLED PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.7x
Fair PE Ratio24.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OLED is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OLED forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$156.44
US$202.09
+29.2%
11.6%US$260.00US$170.00n/a11
Apr ’25US$166.43
US$202.09
+21.4%
11.6%US$260.00US$170.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$174.68
US$200.91
+15.0%
12.0%US$260.00US$170.00n/a11
Feb ’25US$171.03
US$194.09
+13.5%
12.7%US$250.00US$165.00n/a11
Jan ’25US$191.26
US$181.96
-4.9%
15.7%US$250.00US$148.50n/a12
Dec ’24US$176.35
US$167.32
-5.1%
6.8%US$185.00US$148.50n/a11
Nov ’24US$137.08
US$173.32
+26.4%
8.2%US$196.00US$148.50n/a11
Oct ’24US$156.99
US$174.55
+11.2%
8.0%US$196.00US$150.00n/a11
Sep ’24US$164.14
US$175.83
+7.1%
7.9%US$196.00US$150.00n/a12
Aug ’24US$143.66
US$161.17
+12.2%
11.0%US$190.00US$135.00n/a12
Jul ’24US$144.13
US$157.46
+9.2%
13.9%US$190.00US$113.50n/a12
Jun ’24US$147.65
US$157.46
+6.6%
13.9%US$190.00US$113.50n/a12
May ’24US$133.65
US$157.13
+17.6%
14.1%US$191.00US$113.50n/a12
Apr ’24US$155.13
US$155.46
+0.2%
13.6%US$191.00US$113.50US$166.4312
Mar ’24US$139.15
US$151.96
+9.2%
11.9%US$191.00US$113.50US$174.6812
Feb ’24US$135.84
US$142.38
+4.8%
15.4%US$191.00US$113.50US$171.0312
Jan ’24US$108.04
US$137.00
+26.8%
20.2%US$191.00US$82.00US$191.2611
Dec ’23US$112.89
US$137.91
+22.2%
20.0%US$191.00US$82.00US$176.3511
Nov ’23US$96.97
US$149.09
+53.7%
17.9%US$197.00US$95.00US$137.0811
Oct ’23US$94.35
US$151.00
+60.0%
18.6%US$208.00US$95.00US$156.9911
Sep ’23US$108.91
US$148.42
+36.3%
19.8%US$208.00US$95.00US$164.1412
Aug ’23US$115.86
US$159.83
+38.0%
23.7%US$238.00US$105.00US$143.6612
Jul ’23US$102.22
US$176.33
+72.5%
26.0%US$253.00US$105.00US$144.1312
Jun ’23US$125.80
US$180.92
+43.8%
24.5%US$253.00US$105.00US$147.6512
May ’23US$127.73
US$187.00
+46.4%
24.4%US$253.00US$110.00US$133.6512
Apr ’23US$167.39
US$188.67
+12.7%
24.0%US$253.00US$110.00US$155.1312

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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