NVIDIA Corporation

NasdaqGS:NVDA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.3t

NVIDIA Future Growth

Future criteria checks 6/6

NVIDIA is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 26.5% and 29.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 26.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 78% in 3 years.

Key information

26.5%

Earnings growth rate

26.93%

EPS growth rate

Semiconductor earnings growth30.5%
Revenue growth rate29.3%
Future return on equity77.96%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated11 Sep 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 11

Nvidia On The Offensive

Summary Nvidia Corporation stands out as the premier AI beneficiary, uniquely positioned to receive capex flows from the rest of the Magnificent 7. NVDA's financials are exceptional: sales grew 126%, 114%, and 65% over the last three fiscal years; EPS surged 288%, 131%, and 60%. My five-year target price for NVDA stock is $444.71, implying 75-80%+ upside from the recent close of $218.36. The $12.9B Hugging Face acquisition secures NVDA's influence in the open-source AI ecosystem as rivals seek chip independence. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Sep 04

NVIDIA — Selling the Picks & Shovels of the AI Build-Out

NVIDIA is my highest-conviction "picks-and-shovels" bet on the AI build-out: it sells the compute that everyone else needs, with a CUDA software moat that keeps customers locked in. This is the core engine of my long-term AI thesis.
Narrative Update • Sep 03

NVDA: AI Infrastructure Financing And Export Controls Will Shape Future Returns Balance

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Nvidia from $198.85 to $205.19. The change reflects updated views on the company’s AI systems leadership, growing CPU contribution and financing partnerships that shape expectations for future earnings power and risk.
New Narrative • Aug 30

NVIDIA is the toll booth on the largest infrastructure build-out in commercial history

NVIDIA is the toll booth on the largest infrastructure build-out in commercial history, and it holds that position through a two-layer lock-in that most investors misidentify. The layer everyone names — CUDA and the framework libraries — is measurably eroding on a dated, shipping timetable.
New Narrative • Aug 28

Nvidia Isn’t Cisco. And It’s Still Cheap

I was wrong about NVIDIA as a previous shareholder. I totally missed the AI boom.
New Narrative • Aug 26

NVDA | Nvidia Corporation: What They Said vs. What They Did

TheGapReport: NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Q2 2027 (may 20 - aug 26) NVIDIA's Q2 fiscal 2027 results, arrived with a structural admission that management had not offered 90 days earlier: supply is now the binding constraint on the company's growth, not demand, not product readiness, not market development. The $96 billion quarter — record revenue, fourth consecutive year-over-year acceleration — lands differently when the accompanying FY2028 guide of approximately 70% growth is immediately qualified as supply-constrained, with unconstrained demand running "a lot higher." ✅ Delivered Vera Rubin Launch — Production and Ramp In May, Colette Kress said Vera Rubin production shipments would commence in the second half of fiscal 2027, starting in Q3.
Narrative Update • Aug 12

The May 20 catalyst resolved as a beat: raising my base fair value from $167 to ~$250

Scoring the thesis. My base case framed the 20 May FY2027 Q1 print as the defining test, and it landed decisively bullish: record revenue of $81.6B (+85% YoY, +20% QoQ) versus the ~$78.8B Street estimate; Data Center $75.2B (+92% YoY), about 87% of revenue — exactly the mix my base case assumed; gross margin ~75%, a touch better than the 74% I modelled; and roughly $20B returned to shareholders.
Narrative Update • Jul 31

NVDA: AI Infrastructure Commitments And Capital Returns Will Extend Data Center Supercycle

Analysts lifted their Nvidia price target to $330 from $310, citing continued strength in AI data center demand, tighter supply across key components, and reinforced confidence in the company’s role at the center of surging hyperscaler and enterprise AI infrastructure spending. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Nvidia shows a wide range of views on how much AI infrastructure spending, product execution, and competitive moves are already reflected in the stock.
Narrative Update • Jul 16

NVDA: AI Infrastructure Demand And Export Controls Will Shape Future Returns Balance

Nvidia's analyst price target has been raised to $330 from $310, with analysts pointing to strong AI data center demand, rising hyperscaler and cloud AI capex, and continued confidence in the company's full stack GPU and CPU leadership as key supports for the higher valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nvidia shows a wide range of viewpoints, even as many price targets move higher.
Narrative Update • Jun 30

NVDA: AI Data Center Demand And CPU Expansion Will Sustain Leadership

Nvidia's updated analyst price target has shifted from about $335 to roughly $405 per share. Analysts point to a higher assumed revenue growth outlook tied to AI data center demand, tighter CPU and GPU networking integration, and ongoing CPU opportunities highlighted in recent research as key factors behind the change.
Narrative Update • Jun 16

NVDA: AI Infrastructure Demand And Export Controls Will Shape Future Stock Leadership

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Nvidia stock from $184.19 to $194.77, citing higher assumed revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as they factor in continued demand for AI infrastructure and Nvidia's role across GPUs, CPUs, and networking. Analyst Commentary Wall Street coverage of Nvidia stock remains active, with a long list of recent reports adjusting price targets and framing expectations around AI infrastructure demand, product ramps, and competitive positioning.
Analysis Article • Jun 12

Software stocks just gave investors a masterclass

Software stocks crashed on fears AI would make them obsolete, then they came roaring back. This edition of Market Insights aims to hand investors a repeatable playbook for separating real risk from market panic.
Analysis Article • Jun 12

Software stocks just gave investors a masterclass

Software stocks crashed on fears AI would make them obsolete, then they came roaring back. This edition of Market Insights aims to hand investors a repeatable playbook for separating real risk from market panic.
Analysis Article • Jun 02

We Think Shareholders Should Be Aware Of Some Factors Beyond NVIDIA's (NASDAQ:NVDA) Profit

Even though NVIDIA Corporation ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) posted strong earnings recently, the stock hasn't reacted in a large...
Narrative Update • Jun 02

NVDA: AI Infrastructure Backlog And Capital Returns Will Extend Data Center Supercycle

Analysts have lifted their NVIDIA fair value estimate from $268.61 to $296.81, reflecting higher projected profitability and AI infrastructure demand, as well as ongoing price target increases across recent research that highlights the Blackwell and Rubin platforms, data center visibility through 2027, and expanded capital return plans. Analyst Commentary Recent research around NVIDIA centers on how durable its AI leadership and earnings power could be, and what risks might justify more cautious valuation frameworks.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:NVDA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
1/31/2029884,959475,493441,194455,01737
1/31/2028677,920376,287323,965336,02557
1/31/2027411,293242,389194,109200,82150
7/26/2026302,970192,880114,006134,360N/A
4/26/2026253,491159,613106,076125,648N/A
1/25/2026215,938120,06783,676102,718N/A
10/26/2025187,14299,19877,32483,159N/A
7/27/2025165,21886,59772,02377,035N/A
4/27/2025148,51576,77472,06476,158N/A
1/26/2025130,49772,88060,85364,089N/A
10/27/2024113,26963,07456,54658,959N/A
7/28/202496,30753,00846,78648,664N/A
4/28/202479,77442,59839,33440,524N/A
1/28/202460,92229,76027,02128,090N/A
10/29/202344,87018,88917,51518,839N/A
7/30/202332,68110,32610,32311,899N/A
4/30/202325,8784,7935,1016,821N/A
1/29/202326,9744,3683,8085,641N/A
10/30/202228,5665,9574,8296,426N/A
7/31/202229,7387,7416,2647,553N/A
5/1/202229,5419,4587,9268,965N/A
1/30/202226,9149,7528,1329,108N/A
10/31/202124,2748,2067,1568,142N/A
8/1/202121,8977,0786,6657,902N/A
5/2/202119,2565,3275,5166,787N/A
1/31/202116,6754,3324,6945,822N/A
10/25/202014,7773,8264,2305,220N/A
7/26/202013,0653,3884,9615,581N/A
4/26/202011,7783,319N/A4,950N/A
1/26/202010,9182,796N/A4,761N/A
10/27/201910,0182,411N/A4,194N/A
7/28/201910,1852,743N/A3,041N/A
4/28/201910,7293,291N/A3,018N/A
1/27/201911,7164,141N/A3,743N/A
10/28/201812,4224,694N/A4,203N/A
7/29/201811,8774,301N/A4,873N/A
4/29/201810,9843,784N/A4,665N/A
1/28/20189,7143,047N/A3,502N/A
10/29/20178,9762,582N/A2,865N/A
7/30/20178,3442,288N/A2,140N/A
4/30/20177,5421,965N/A1,635N/A
1/29/20176,9101,666N/A1,672N/A
10/30/20166,1381,220N/A1,462N/A
7/31/20165,439923N/A1,285N/A
5/1/20165,164688N/A1,248N/A
1/31/20165,010614N/A1,175N/A
10/25/20154,860600N/A1,107N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NVDA's forecast earnings growth (26.5% per year) is above the savings rate (3.7%).

Earnings vs Market: NVDA's earnings (26.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (17.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NVDA's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: NVDA's revenue (29.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NVDA's revenue (29.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NVDA's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (78%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/14 05:25
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/07/26
Annual Earnings2026/01/25

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NVIDIA Corporation is covered by 94 analysts. 57 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stefan ChangAletheia Analyst Network Limited
Brett SimpsonArete Research Services LLP
James FontanelliArete Research Services LLP