Stock Analysis

Is It Time To Consider Buying MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:MTSI)?

NasdaqGS:MTSI
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While MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:MTSI) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of US$72.37 and falling to the lows of US$60.75. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings' current trading price of US$66.60 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings

Is MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Still Cheap?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 14.25x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 17.86x, which means if you buy MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:MTSI Earnings and Revenue Growth April 5th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected next year, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, at least in the near future.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? MTSI seems priced close to industry peers right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on MTSI, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on MTSI for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. This means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help gel your views on MTSI should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.