Marvell Technology Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
Marvell Technology is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 19.8% and 21.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 18.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 30% in 3 years.
Key information
19.8%
Earnings growth rate
18.54%
EPS growth rate
| Semiconductor earnings growth | 25.6% |
| Revenue growth rate | 21.6% |
| Future return on equity | 30.05% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 21 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 15
Marvell Q1 Preview: Results Need To Marvel To Support Gains
Summary Shares in Marvell Technology, Inc. are powering higher, with gains of over 30% in the last month alone. The company recently received a +$2B investment from Nvidia as part of a new partnership. The infusion should bode well for Marvell’s forward outlook. With Q1 on deck, I am expecting MRVL's results to continue marveling its bullish investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 07
MRVL: Accelerating Custom AI Silicon Supercycle and 1.6T Optical Interconnect Inflection Point Drive >50% Data Center Growth
Vestra has increased revenue growth from 21.5% to 44.9%.
Narrative Update • May 05
MRVL: Nvidia And Cloud Partnerships Will Shape AI Data Center Outlook
Analysts have lifted the Marvell Technology price target by about $21 to roughly $176, citing higher modeled fair value, slightly lower discount rates, modestly stronger revenue growth assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent research highlighting data center strength, AI partnerships, and product roadmap updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Marvell Technology has leaned positive, with a series of upgraded views, higher price targets, and fresh coverage that point to growing confidence in the company’s execution and growth prospects.
Narrative Update • Apr 20
MRVL: AI Hype Around Data Center Programs Will Eventually Disappoint
Analysts have lifted the price target on Marvell Technology by about $3 to reflect updated views on higher revenue growth potential, a richer future P/E assumption around 37x, and recent research highlighting AI data center demand, broader hyperscale programs, and partnerships with Nvidia and Mojo Vision as key supports for the long-term story. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Marvell Technology reflects an active debate around how much optimism is already reflected in the shares, even as many firms highlight AI data center exposure, custom compute programs, and optical networking as important parts of the story.
New Narrative • Apr 20
From AI Infrastructure Plumber to Full-Stack AI Factory Architect
Key Takeaways • Marvell is the only player simultaneously covering custom ASIC design, 1.6T optical DSP, silicon photonics (Celestial AI), and CXL switching — a full-stack moat no single competitor replicates today. • NVIDIA's $2B equity investment (March 31, 2026) into Marvell via NVLink Fusion is not a component deal — it is an ecosystem architecture deal.Narrative Update • Apr 06
MRVL: Nvidia Alliance Will Drive AI Data Center And Optics Upside
Analysts raised the Marvell Technology price target to $155.02 from $147.95, citing updated expectations for faster revenue growth, higher profit margins, and the support of recent data center and AI partnerships, including the Nvidia agreement and collaborations around optics and micro-LED platforms. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Marvell Technology lean strongly positive, with several bullish analysts pointing to data center and AI exposure, execution on custom compute programs, and expanding optics capabilities as key parts of the story.Narrative Update • Mar 22
MRVL: AI Data Center And Optics Momentum Will Offset XPU Sustainability Risks
Marvell Technology's updated fair value estimate moved from $90.00 to about $85.78, as analysts adjusted their models to reflect higher projected revenue growth and profit margins, alongside a lower future P/E multiple. This revision is supported by recent price target updates that cite stronger data center momentum, AI driven custom compute and optics demand, and new partnerships such as the Mojo Vision micro-LED collaboration.
Narrative Update • Mar 08
MRVL: AI Data Center Interconnect Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have nudged our Marvell Technology fair value estimate higher to $118.93. This move is supported by Street price target increases across firms citing stronger data center momentum in custom compute, optics, and switching, as well as improved multi year visibility from the latest Q4 beat and raised outlook.New Narrative • Mar 06
Marvell Technology Inc. (MRVL): The Celestial Interconnect – Powering the AI Backbone in 2026.
Marvell Technology is currently solidified as the primary architect of the "AI Interconnect," trading at $89.57 as of the March 6, 2026, market close. The stock experienced a massive 18.35% surge today, fueled by a stellar Q4 earnings beat and a significant guidance raise that caught Wall Street off guard.Narrative Update • Feb 22
MRVL: AI Optics And ASIC Exposure Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Marvell Technology by a few dollars, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions around future P/E multiples. They continue to factor in solid revenue growth and margin expectations supported by recent research commentary on AI optics and ASIC exposure.Narrative Update • Feb 07
MRVL: AI Infrastructure Demand And ASIC Execution Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts now see Marvell Technology's fair value at about $116, up from roughly $92. This reflects updated assumptions around AI infrastructure demand, ASIC revenue potential and a slightly lower future P/E multiple, even as some recent price targets have been trimmed.Narrative Update • Jan 24
MRVL: AI Infrastructure Exposure Will Support Future Earnings Despite ASIC Uncertainty
Analysts have kept Marvell Technology's fair value estimate steady at $90.00, with only small tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions as they balance bullish views on AI infrastructure exposure against more cautious takes on ASIC competitiveness and long term earnings visibility. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Marvell Technology reflects a split view, with some firms highlighting AI infrastructure exposure while others focus on execution risks and valuation sensitivity tied to long term earnings expectations.Narrative Update • Jan 10
MRVL: AI Infrastructure Exposure Will Face Policy And ASIC Execution Crosswinds
Narrative Update: Marvell Technology Analysts have lifted their average fair value estimate for Marvell Technology from about $82.64 to $90.00. This change is supported by research citing the company's role in AI infrastructure, including custom ASIC and connectivity offerings.Analysis Article • Jan 03
At US$89.39, Is Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) Worth Looking At Closely?
Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Marvell Technology, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MRVL ). The company's stock...Narrative Update • Dec 26
MRVL: AI Infrastructure Demand Will Drive Upside For Custom ASIC Business
The analyst price target for Marvell Technology has been raised from about $113 to roughly $148 per share, as analysts factor in stronger AI driven revenue growth, resilient custom ASIC and connectivity demand, and higher sector multiples despite lingering concerns about long term ASIC estimates. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight that Marvell's accelerating exposure to AI infrastructure, particularly in custom ASICs and high speed connectivity, is driving upward revisions to both revenue expectations and perceived earnings durability.Narrative Update • Dec 12
MRVL: AI Infrastructure Demand Will Face Policy And Execution Crosswinds Ahead
Analysts have lifted their average price target for Marvell Technology significantly, from about $59 to roughly $83 per share. They cite stronger long term AI infrastructure demand, accelerating custom ASIC and connectivity growth, and higher expected valuation multiples, despite some lingering concerns about execution and margin pressure.Analysis Article • Dec 10
Marvell Technology's (NASDAQ:MRVL) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
Marvell Technology, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) stock was strong after they recently reported robust earnings. However, we...Narrative Update • Nov 28
MRVL: AI Infrastructure Expansion And Geopolitical Shifts Will Guide Balanced Performance Ahead
Marvell Technology's analyst price target has increased from $90.07 to $91.73. Analysts cite improved visibility in AI infrastructure demand and positive updates from industry events as supporting factors.Narrative Update • Nov 14
MRVL: AI Infrastructure Momentum And Geopolitics Will Shape Balanced Outlook Ahead
Marvell Technology's analyst price targets have increased notably in recent weeks, with forecasts now reaching as high as $115 per share. Analysts point to accelerating AI infrastructure growth and stronger custom ASIC and connectivity outlooks as key drivers.Narrative Update • Oct 31
MRVL: Custom AI Chip Demand And Supply Chain Shifts Will Shape Outlook
Marvell Technology's analyst price target has been raised by analysts, increasing from around $89.67 to $90.07. This change reflects growing confidence in the company's ongoing momentum in AI infrastructure and custom ASIC growth.Narrative Update • Oct 17
AI Cloud Design Wins Will Expand Data Center Reach
Marvell Technology's analyst price target has increased by approximately $2.44 to $89.67, as analysts point to strengthening AI infrastructure demand and continued growth expectations across its key business segments. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage of Marvell Technology reflects both optimism about the company's prospects in AI infrastructure and increased scrutiny on segment performance and near-term execution.Analysis Article • Oct 08
Optimistic Investors Push Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) Shares Up 37% But Growth Is Lacking
Marvell Technology, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 37% after a shaky period...Narrative Update • Oct 03
AI Cloud Design Wins Will Expand Data Center Reach
Marvell Technology's analyst price target has risen significantly, increasing from $80 to $95. Analysts cite updated management discussions and higher sector valuation multiples in recent weeks as reasons for the increase.Analysis Article • Sep 02
Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) Just Reported Earnings, And Analysts Cut Their Target Price
There's been a notable change in appetite for Marvell Technology, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) shares in the week since its...Narrative Update • Aug 30
Co-Packaged Optics Will Transform Future AI Data Centers
Marvell Technology’s consensus price target has been revised down to $86.75, as weaker near-term guidance and softness in custom silicon and data center revenues overshadow optimism around AI-driven growth and long-term EPS potential. Analyst Commentary Weaker near-term guidance and declining custom silicon and data center revenues have driven down sentiment, with particular disappointment around the outlook for ASICs despite strengthening Trainium builds.Analysis Article • Jul 11
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL)?
Let's talk about the popular Marvell Technology, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MRVL ). The company's shares saw a significant share...Analysis Article • Jun 26
Optimistic Investors Push Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) Shares Up 25% But Growth Is Lacking
Marvell Technology, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MRVL ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/31/2029 | 19,506 | 5,080 | 4,705 | 5,765 | 18 |
| 1/31/2028 | 14,901 | 3,278 | 3,638 | 4,037 | 40 |
| 1/31/2027 | 10,890 | 1,821 | 2,764 | 3,088 | 40 |
| 1/31/2026 | 8,195 | 2,670 | 1,392 | 1,751 | N/A |
| 11/1/2025 | 7,793 | 2,474 | 1,577 | 1,891 | N/A |
| 8/2/2025 | 7,235 | -103 | 1,530 | 1,845 | N/A |
| 5/3/2025 | 6,502 | -491 | 1,370 | 1,690 | N/A |
| 2/1/2025 | 5,767 | -885 | 1,390 | 1,681 | N/A |
| 11/2/2024 | 5,376 | -1,478 | 1,411 | 1,714 | N/A |
| 8/3/2024 | 5,279 | -966 | 1,399 | 1,681 | N/A |
| 5/4/2024 | 5,347 | -980 | 1,147 | 1,487 | N/A |
| 2/3/2024 | 5,508 | -933 | 1,020 | 1,371 | N/A |
| 10/28/2023 | 5,500 | -556 | 851 | 1,175 | N/A |
| 7/29/2023 | 5,618 | -378 | 766 | 1,083 | N/A |
| 4/29/2023 | 5,794 | -167 | 1,021 | 1,302 | N/A |
| 1/28/2023 | 5,920 | -163 | 1,072 | 1,289 | N/A |
| 10/29/2022 | 5,844 | -142 | 1,075 | 1,284 | N/A |
| 7/30/2022 | 5,518 | -218 | 897 | 1,137 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 5,077 | -498 | 827 | 1,028 | N/A |
| 1/29/2022 | 4,462 | -421 | 632 | 819 | N/A |
| 10/30/2021 | 3,917 | -411 | 469 | 631 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 3,456 | -371 | 504 | 624 | N/A |
| 5/1/2021 | 3,108 | -252 | 523 | 628 | N/A |
| 1/30/2021 | 2,969 | -277 | 698 | 817 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 2,889 | 1,479 | 596 | 715 | N/A |
| 8/1/2020 | 2,801 | 1,419 | 420 | 523 | N/A |
| 5/2/2020 | 2,730 | 1,520 | 265 | 370 | N/A |
| 2/1/2020 | 2,699 | 1,584 | 274 | 360 | N/A |
| 11/2/2019 | 2,726 | -449 | N/A | 411 | N/A |
| 8/3/2019 | 2,915 | -420 | N/A | 645 | N/A |
| 5/4/2019 | 2,924 | -356 | N/A | 634 | N/A |
| 2/2/2019 | 2,866 | -179 | N/A | 597 | N/A |
| 11/3/2018 | 2,736 | 130 | N/A | 610 | N/A |
| 8/4/2018 | 2,502 | 333 | N/A | 527 | N/A |
| 5/5/2018 | 2,441 | 462 | N/A | 566 | N/A |
| 2/3/2018 | 2,409 | 433 | N/A | 571 | N/A |
| 10/28/2017 | 2,360 | 321 | N/A | 570 | N/A |
| 7/29/2017 | 2,367 | 255 | N/A | 475 | N/A |
| 4/29/2017 | 2,360 | 182 | N/A | 434 | N/A |
| 1/28/2017 | 2,301 | 75 | N/A | -358 | N/A |
| 10/29/2016 | 2,274 | 185 | N/A | -424 | N/A |
| 7/30/2016 | 2,325 | 44 | N/A | -479 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 2,439 | -791 | N/A | -512 | N/A |
| 1/30/2016 | 2,602 | -738 | N/A | 205 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 2,967 | -734 | N/A | 307 | N/A |
| 8/1/2015 | 3,222 | -561 | N/A | 422 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: MRVL's forecast earnings growth (19.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: MRVL's earnings (19.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: MRVL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: MRVL's revenue (21.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: MRVL's revenue (21.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: MRVL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (30%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/24 01:03 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Marvell Technology, Inc. is covered by 65 analysts. 40 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| James Fontanelli | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Brett Simpson | Arete Research Services LLP |
| James Kelleher | Argus Research Company |