Shift Technologies, Inc.

OTCPK:SFTG.Q Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.7k

Shift Technologies Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

We currently don't have sufficient analyst coverage to forecast growth and revenue for Shift Technologies.

Key information

n/a

Earnings growth rate

n/a

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth9.9%
Revenue growth raten/a
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

None

Last updatedn/a

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article Nov 13

Analysts Just Made A Major Revision To Their Shift Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:SFT) Revenue Forecasts

One thing we could say about the analysts on Shift Technologies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SFT ) - they aren't optimistic, having...
Seeking Alpha Aug 10

Shift Technologies: More Roadkill In The Online Auto Retailing Space

Today, we take our first look at Shift Technologies, a fast-growing name in the ecommerce auto retailing space that just made a major purchase. Despite over 100% revenue growth last quarter, the company is far away from profitability. Shift Technologies just reported second quarter results. The company also disclosed it will acquire CarLotz. As overall auto sales in the U.S. are now declining, how will the company fare in the quarters ahead? An investment analysis follows in the paragraphs below. Sooner or later in life, we will all take our own turn being in the position we once had someone else in. ― Ashly Lorenzana Today, we put the spotlight on Shift Technologies (SFT) for the first time in this column. The company is in what has become a fast-growing part of auto retailing market, but one that has attracted myriad competitors. Despite solid revenue growth the stock finds itself deep in Busted IPO territory. The company just announced a major acquisition. Can the shares rebound? An analysis follows below. Seeking Alpha Company Overview: Shift Technologies is based in San Francisco. The company provides an ecommerce platform for buying and selling used cars and is in both the Retail and Wholesale parts of the market. Shift's platform enables mobile digital transaction, such as at-home car searching, scheduling an on-demand test drive, and purchasing at home or at the preferred site of a test drive, as well as provides financing and services. It also offers add on services such as vehicle service contracts wheel and tire coverage, and prepaid maintenance plans. The company came public via a merger with sponsored blank-check company, INSU Acquisition late in 2020. In March of this year, Shift agreed to acquire certain assets of Fair Technologies for a combination of cash and shares of Shift's Class A common stock. Part of the purchase was financed via notes at 6% interest due in 2025. Fair Technologies ran an online auto marketplace and the deal expanded the company's inventory, capabilities and added engineering and design team talent. The purchase provided customers greater access to a larger selection of owned and third-party vehicles for a test drive or direct purchase. The stock currently trades around $1.30 a share and has an approximate market capitalization of $110 million. First Quarter Results: On May 11th, the company posted first quarter numbers. The company had a GAAP loss of 70 cents a share, more than a dime a share less than expectations. Revenues rose more than 105% on a year-over-year basis to nearly $220 million. Even that robust growth was nearly $15 million below the consensus. The company sold 6,741 ecommerce vehicles during the quarter, up over 50% from the levels of 1Q2021. Second Quarter Results: The company reported second quarter results yesterday. Once again the company missed expectations both on the top and bottom lines. Shift Technologies posted a non-GAAP loss of 64 cents a share as revenue growth slowed to some 44% on a year-over-year basis to $223.7 million. The company also disclosed it will acquire CarLotz (LOTZ) in an all-stock deal. CarLotz had just over 2,400 vehicle sales in the second quarter. Growth is noticeably slowing in recent quarters. Year over year sales comparisons are also going to get harder in coming quarters as the company focuses on more profitable sales. In addition, overall autos sales are contracting as one can see here in July auto sales that show all the major manufacturing seeing significant demand challenges. This is due to higher interest rates, continued supply chain challenges and ebbing demand due to a fast slowing economy, which is likely in recession as I detailed earlier this week. Analyst Commentary & Balance Sheet: The analyst community is largely negative on the company at the moment. Since the last earnings report, four analyst firms including William Blair and BTIG have maintained downgraded the shares to a Hold rating. Only Piper Sandler ($9 price target) and Cantor Fitzgerald ($4 price target) have remained in the Bull camp. Approximately 20% of the shares outstanding are currently held short. There has been no insider activity in the shares for more than a year. The company ended the first quarter with just over $105 million worth of cash and marketable securities on the balance sheet after burning through $88 million worth of cash during the quarter. $38 million of that was to build inventory and additional funds were used for last year's incentive payment. Management anticipates cash burn will be reduced substantially in the coming quarters. Long term debt stands at approximately $145 million.
Seeking Alpha May 19

Shift: The Clock Is Ticking. Going Bankrupt, Or To The Moon?

In my opinion, Shift is being priced for an imminent bankruptcy, with the used auto e-commerce platform's stock trading at ~1x cash levels. While Shift's liquidity situation remains challenging, the business is performing within management's guideposts, and the outlook for 2022 remains unchanged despite macro challenges. In this note, I discuss Shift's Q1 2022 results and its liquidity position. Furthermore, I lay out the binary nature of this bet. I rate Shift a strong buy at $1 per share due to the asymmetric risk/reward on offer.
Seeking Alpha Mar 22

Shift Q4 Review: I Am More Bullish Than Ever

On 15th March, Shift delivered another record-breaking quarterly report with Q4 2021 sales and margins coming ahead of guidance. Despite guiding for some softness in Q1 results, Shift's management is looking at another year of rapid growth in 2022, with significant improvement in operational margins. On the earnings call, Shift's management expressed confidence in its path to profitability and its ability to attract investors. Softbank is financing Shift's $20M acquisition of Fair's dealer listing marketplace, and it is also an equity investor in Shift now. This is a great sign of confidence in Shift's business and management team. Shift's stock is trading at net cash levels, i.e., the stock is pricing in bankruptcy. With a clear path to profitability, Shift is a mispriced security, and I am more bullish on it than ever.
Seeking Alpha Jan 12

Shift Is Now A Deep Value Play

In today's note, we will discuss Shift's latest quarterly report, in which the company grew at 200% y/y. The violent sell-off in growth stocks has left Shift trading below 1x of the cash on its balance sheet. It is fair to say, Shift is now in deep-value territory. While Shift's growth is enormous and the future appears brighter than ever, the company is not without risks, the details of which, I will share with you today. I continue to remain bullish on Shift's business, and as such, I rate it a strong buy at $3.
Seeking Alpha Nov 30

What Happened To Shift Technologies

Shift Technologies reported strong Q3 earnings results. Yet, sellers have taken the stock down 30% post-earnings. The most likely cause of the severe weakness appears to be overhang from an expired lock-up period and the prospect of absorbing a massive percentage of outstanding shares.
Seeking Alpha Oct 17

Shift Technologies: Significantly Undervalued

The DCF model indicates intrinsic value of $17.9. The company enjoys quite high consumer satisfaction level. The management is successfully improving margins and is expected to generate positive earnings in upcoming years.
Seeking Alpha Jul 29

Shift: Shifts Gears Fast But Let's Connect The Dots First

The company's digital and inventory health remain strong, with a large room for improvement. Undoubtedly, growth and operational scale are the catalysts for improving margins and positive cash flow generation. Despite the unpredictability of cash flows and the reliance on external parties for financing, the overall market's and company's outlook are optimistic. SFT is the cheapest 'vehicle' to profit from the used car market boom. The company maintains attractive valuation metrics, considerably lower than its two leading competitors.
Analysis Article Mar 11

Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their Shift Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:SFT) Price Target To US$12.33

Shift Technologies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SFT ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell...
Analysis Article Mar 10

News Flash: Analysts Just Made A Meaningful Upgrade To Their Shift Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:SFT) Forecasts

Shift Technologies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SFT ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making...

In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Shift Technologies has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.

This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by SimplyWall St do have past financial data.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

OTCPK:SFTG.Q - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/2023329-136-87-77N/A
3/31/2023505-163-62-48N/A
12/31/2022671-172-125-110N/A
9/30/2022801-240-186-171N/A
6/30/2022819-201-185-168N/A
3/31/2022750-181-253-238N/A
12/31/2021637-166-225-211N/A
9/30/2021514-116-179-168N/A
6/30/2021394-102-221-212N/A
3/31/2021272-90-152-146N/A
12/31/2020196-59-91-86N/A
9/30/2020150-75-60-55N/A
6/30/2020136-71-31-25N/A
3/31/2020146-69-38-31N/A
12/31/2019166-80-35-28N/A
12/31/2018132-45-68-64N/A
12/31/201795-26-35-32N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: Insufficient data to determine if SFTG.Q's forecast earnings growth is above the savings rate (2.5%).

Earnings vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if SFTG.Q's earnings are forecast to grow faster than the US market

High Growth Earnings: Insufficient data to determine if SFTG.Q's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if SFTG.Q's revenue is forecast to grow faster than the US market.

High Growth Revenue: Insufficient data to determine if SFTG.Q's revenue is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if SFTG.Q's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/09/30 19:00
End of Day Share Price 2024/09/27 00:00
Earnings2023/06/30
Annual Earnings2022/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Shift Technologies, Inc. is covered by 12 analysts. 0 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael WardBenchmark Company
Marvin FongBTIG
Benjamin SherlundCantor Fitzgerald & Co.