Inchcape Valuation

Is IHCP.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IHCP.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IHCP.F ($9.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($24.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IHCP.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IHCP.F?

Key metric: As IHCP.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for IHCP.F. This is calculated by dividing IHCP.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is IHCP.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11x
EarningsUK£279.00m
Market CapUK£3.06b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IHCP.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IHCP.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.7x
LKQ LKQ
13.8x14.0%US$10.1b
GCT GigaCloud Technology
6.6x22.3%US$852.2m
GPC Genuine Parts
15.7x7.7%US$17.2b
POOL Pool
30.7x6.2%US$13.6b
IHCP.F Inchcape
11x9.6%US$3.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IHCP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the peer average (16.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IHCP.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Retail Distributors Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IHCP.F 11.0xIndustry Avg. 18.2xNo. of Companies41PE01632486480+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IHCP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the Global Retail Distributors industry average (19x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IHCP.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IHCP.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate IHCP.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IHCP.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$13.23
0%
6.9%US$14.22US$11.42n/a9
Nov ’25US$9.26
US$13.56
+46.4%
6.9%US$14.58US$11.71n/a9
Oct ’25n/a
US$14.73
0%
6.1%US$16.32US$13.38n/a10
Sep ’25n/a
US$14.28
0%
5.9%US$15.79US$12.95n/a10
Aug ’25US$11.00
US$13.86
+26.0%
7.0%US$15.55US$12.11n/a10
Jul ’25n/a
US$13.59
0%
7.0%US$15.26US$11.88n/a10
Jun ’25US$10.44
US$13.59
+30.2%
7.0%US$15.26US$11.88n/a10
May ’25n/a
US$13.60
0%
7.0%US$15.27US$11.89n/a10
Apr ’25n/a
US$13.70
0%
7.4%US$15.37US$11.71n/a10
Mar ’25US$8.75
US$14.30
+63.5%
8.7%US$16.20US$11.74n/a10
Feb ’25n/a
US$14.30
0%
8.7%US$16.20US$11.74n/a10
Jan ’25n/a
US$14.64
0%
9.4%US$16.60US$11.75n/a10
Dec ’24US$7.83
US$14.23
+81.8%
6.9%US$15.80US$12.99n/a9
Nov ’24n/a
US$14.23
0%
6.9%US$15.80US$12.99US$9.269
Oct ’24n/a
US$14.56
0%
7.1%US$15.80US$13.19n/a9
Sep ’24n/a
US$15.14
0%
6.8%US$16.61US$13.86n/a8
Aug ’24US$10.83
US$15.14
+39.8%
6.8%US$16.61US$13.86US$11.008
Jul ’24n/a
US$14.71
0%
7.1%US$16.19US$13.51n/a8
Jun ’24US$9.49
US$14.71
+55.0%
7.1%US$16.19US$13.51US$10.448
May ’24US$9.90
US$14.77
+49.2%
7.8%US$16.34US$13.20n/a8
Apr ’24n/a
US$14.44
0%
7.8%US$15.98US$12.90n/a8
Mar ’24n/a
US$14.15
0%
7.7%US$15.65US$12.64US$8.758
Feb ’24n/a
US$14.09
0%
8.7%US$15.88US$12.83n/a7
Jan ’24n/a
US$10.68
0%
4.9%US$11.25US$9.75n/a5
Dec ’23n/a
US$10.68
0%
4.9%US$11.25US$9.75US$7.835
Nov ’23n/a
US$10.68
0%
4.9%US$11.25US$9.75n/a5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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