El Puerto de Liverpool. de Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

El Puerto de Liverpool. de is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5.2% and 6.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 4.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.8% in 3 years.

Key information

5.2%

Earnings growth rate

4.9%

EPS growth rate

Multiline Retail earnings growth	19.0%
Revenue growth rate	6.2%
Future return on equity	12.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	17 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

OTCPK:ELPQ.F - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (MXN Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	241,989	24,939	17,069	N/A	8
12/31/2025	228,380	23,039	15,734	N/A	12
12/31/2024	214,068	22,283	11,254	N/A	12
9/30/2024	207,815	22,168	12,976	23,374	N/A
6/30/2024	203,461	21,720	16,579	26,757	N/A
3/31/2024	198,811	20,204	14,078	24,339	N/A
12/31/2023	195,160	19,487	14,895	23,361	N/A
9/30/2023	190,268	18,412	12,370	19,920	N/A
6/30/2023	186,621	17,524	10,267	17,358	N/A
3/31/2023	181,594	17,296	14,341	20,717	N/A
12/31/2022	176,271	17,385	12,346	18,677	N/A
9/30/2022	168,875	16,670	12,006	18,661	N/A
6/30/2022	162,650	15,863	15,591	21,417	N/A
3/31/2022	157,628	14,410	19,400	24,698	N/A
12/31/2021	150,967	12,868	20,789	26,123	N/A
9/30/2021	142,749	9,673	16,291	21,102	N/A
6/30/2021	137,834	6,521	24,618	29,178	N/A
3/31/2021	115,042	621	8,277	12,882	N/A
12/31/2020	116,181	750	10,662	15,022	N/A
9/30/2020	119,903	3,559	11,777	15,586	N/A
6/30/2020	123,135	6,324	-2,872	2,008	N/A
3/31/2020	144,105	12,241	8,777	14,470	N/A
12/31/2019	144,849	12,383	8,679	15,201	N/A
9/30/2019	141,723	11,960	7,126	13,053	N/A
6/30/2019	140,822	11,988	9,768	15,981	N/A
3/31/2019	137,740	11,662	9,415	16,087	N/A
12/31/2018	135,533	11,704	8,460	14,997	N/A
9/30/2018	131,686	11,264	6,496	15,115	N/A
6/30/2018	129,468	10,607	N/A	16,275	N/A
3/31/2018	126,779	10,097	N/A	14,873	N/A
12/31/2017	122,168	9,886	N/A	13,360	N/A
9/30/2017	112,928	9,089	N/A	11,207	N/A
6/30/2017	107,669	9,431	N/A	11,577	N/A
3/31/2017	102,009	9,548	N/A	9,966	N/A
12/31/2016	100,442	10,140	N/A	12,256	N/A
9/30/2016	97,755	9,831	N/A	9,732	N/A
6/30/2016	95,611	9,618	N/A	8,409	N/A
3/31/2016	93,394	9,291	N/A	8,114	N/A
12/31/2015	91,293	9,211	N/A	9,069	N/A
9/30/2015	87,392	8,573	N/A	12,561	N/A
6/30/2015	85,254	8,371	N/A	12,177	N/A
3/31/2015	82,906	8,119	N/A	12,023	N/A
12/31/2014	81,214	7,763	N/A	11,656	N/A
9/30/2014	78,616	7,519	N/A	8,997	N/A
6/30/2014	76,921	7,576	N/A	7,323	N/A
3/31/2014	75,296	7,685	N/A	5,458	N/A
12/31/2013	74,105	7,702	N/A	6,506	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ELPQ.F's forecast earnings growth (5.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: ELPQ.F's earnings (5.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ELPQ.F's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ELPQ.F's revenue (6.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ELPQ.F's revenue (6.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ELPQ.F's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 15:48
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/11 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 24 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Gustavo Teran	Actinver Case de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V.
Benjamin Theurer	Barclays
Miguel Ulloa Suárez	BBVA Corporate and Investment Bank